The average margin of victory in the 2018 elections was the smallest it had been in even-year congressional races since 2012. Margin of victory—or MOV—is the difference between the share of votes cast for the winning candidate and the share cast for the losing one. Since it is June, the sixth month of…
June 10, 2019: Sen. Jon Tester endorsed Steve Bullock for president. Most Democrats spent the weekend campaigning in Iowa at party and Pride events. Share the latest from the campaign trail. There are eight new candidates running since last week, including three Democrats, three Republicans, and one Libertarian. Nineteen candidates are no longer running. In total, 733…
The Democratic National Committee (DNC) provided additional guidance Thursday on its polling criteria for this month’s presidential debate, knocking Montana Gov. Steve Bullock (D) out of qualifying. The DNC will not count two ABC News/Washington Post polls that used open-ended questioning. Without those polls, Bullock now has only two of three necessary polls to…
On May 30, 2019, the Alabama Legislature gave final approval to Senate Bill 313, which would amend the Alabama Constitution to state that "only a citizen of the United States," rather than "every citizen of the United States," has the right to vote in Alabama (emphasis added). Sen. Del Marsh (R-12) introduced the constitutional…
June 3, 2019: Larry Hogan announced he will not challenge Donald Trump in the Republican primary in 2020. Kirsten Gillibrand released her LGBT policy platform. Here’s the latest from the campaign trail. There are six new candidates running since last week, including one Democrat and one Republican. In total, 744 individuals are currently filed with…