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2,164 major party candidates filed for 2020 races, no congressional retirements in last week

As of December 30, 2019, 2,164 major party candidates have filed with the Federal Elections Commission (FEC) to run for the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives in 2020.

So far, 319 candidates are filed to run for Senate. Of those, 272—143 Democrats and 129 Republicans—are from one of the two major political parties. In 2018, 527 candidates filed with the FEC to run for U.S. Senate, including 137 Democrats and 240 Republicans.

For U.S. House, 2,028 candidates are filed with the FEC to run in 2020. Of those, 1,892—935 Democrats and 957 Republicans—are from one of the two major political parties. In 2018, 3,244 candidates filed with the FEC, including 1,566 Democrats and 1,155 Republicans.

There were no retirement announcements from members of Congress in the past week. To date, four senators (three Republicans and one Democrat) and 34 representatives (25 Republicans and nine Democrats) are not running for re-election. In 2018, 55 total members of Congress—18 Democrats and 37 Republicans—did not seek re-election.

On November 3, 2020, 35 Senate seats and all 435 House seats are up for election. Of those Senate seats, 33 are regularly scheduled elections, while the other two are special elections in Arizona and Georgia. Twelve are Democratic-held seats and 23 are Republican-held seats. In the House, where all seats are up for election, Democrats currently hold a majority with 233 seats.

Additional Reading:
United States Senate elections, 2020
United States House of Representatives election, 2020
List of U.S. Congress incumbents who are not running for re-election in 2020



Andrew Yang leads in pageviews for a second consecutive week

Each week, we report the number of pageviews received by 2020 presidential campaigns on Ballotpedia. These numbers show which candidates are getting our readers’ attention.

Andrew Yang’s campaign page on Ballotpedia received 1,605 views for the week of December 22-28. Yang’s pageview figure represents 14.5% of the presidential campaign pageviews for the week. Bernie Sanders had 11.0% of the pageviews for the week, followed by Tom Steyer with 9.0%. This is Yang’s second consecutive week leading in pageviews.

Every Democratic candidate had fewer pageviews last week than the week before. The three candidates with the smallest week-over-week decreases in pageviews were Andrew Yang (-33.7%), Michael Bloomberg (-35.6%), and Bernie Sanders (-40.0%).

Andrew Yang remains the leader in overall pageviews this year with 156,561. He is followed by Pete Buttigieg with 148,465 and by Joe Biden with 139,937.

Click here for more information on pageviews and detailed lifetime stats.



Federal Register weekly update; first week since July with no new presidential documents

The Federal Register is a daily journal of federal government activity that includes presidential documents, proposed and final rules, and public notices. It is a common measure of an administration’s regulatory activity.

During the week of December 23 to December 27, the Federal Register increased by 1,342 pages, bringing the year-to-date total to 71,734 pages. The week’s Federal Register featured a total of 408 documents, including 323 notices, zero presidential documents, 50 proposed rules, and 35 final rules.

One final rule was deemed significant under E.O. 12866—meaning that it could have large impacts on the economy, environment, public health, or state or local governments. Significant actions may also conflict with presidential priorities or other agency rules.

During the same week in 2018, the number of pages in the Federal Register increased by 1,600 pages for a year-to-date total of 67,676 pages. As of December 28, the 2019 total led the 2018 total by 4,058 pages.

The Trump administration has added an average of 1,380 pages to the Federal Register each week in 2019 as of December 28. Over the course of 2018, the Trump administration added an average of 1,301 pages to the Federal Register each week. During the Obama administration, the Federal Register increased by an average of 1,658 pages per week.

According to government data, the Federal Register hit an all-time high of 95,894 pages in 2016.

Ballotpedia maintains page counts and other information about the Federal Register as part of its Administrative State Project. The project is a neutral, nonpartisan encyclopedic resource that defines and analyzes the administrative state, including its philosophical origins, legal and judicial precedents, and scholarly examinations of its consequences. The project also monitors and reports on measures of federal government activity.

Click here to find more information about weekly additions to the Federal Register in 2018 and 2017.

Additional reading:
Click here to find yearly information about additions to the Federal Register from 1936 to 2016.


Kentucky, New Hampshire House of Representatives special elections

Two new state legislative special elections have been added to our list. The special elections are for the District 67 and 99 seats in the Kentucky House of Representatives on February 25, 2020. There are no primaries, and the deadline for parties to nominate candidates is January 7.

A new state legislative special election has been added to our list. The special election is for the Merrimack 24 seat in the New Hampshire House of Representatives on March 10, 2020. The primary is on January 21, and the filing deadline is on December 27, 2019.



Two nonprofit groups challenge Rhode Island donor disclosure law

On Nov. 21, 2019, two nonprofit groups – the Gaspee Project and the Illinois Opportunity Project – filed suit in U.S. District Court, alleging that a Rhode Island law requiring issue advocacy groups to disclose personal information about their donors to the public violates donors’ free-speech and privacy rights.

Who are the parties to the suit? The plaintiffs are two nonprofit groups: the Gaspee Project and the Illinois Opportunity Project, both 501(c)(4) organizations subject to the challenged law. They are represented by the Liberty Justice Center. The defendants are Diane Mederos, Stephen Erickson, Jennifer Johnson, Richard Pierce, Isadore Ramos, David Sholes, and William West, all members of the Rhode Island Board of Elections.

What is at issue? The law in question (H7859, enacted in 2012) requires issue advocacy groups to disclose to the public personal information about their donors who contribute more than $1,000. Groups must report the donor’s name, job title, employer, home address, and donation amount. This information is then posted to a government website. The law also requires that, in the weeks leading up to an election, groups publish the names of their top five contributors on any advertising or messages.

What are the arguments? Daniel R. Suhr, an attorney for the Liberty Justice Center, said, “This case is about freedom of speech and association. We think the marketplace of ideas operates best when we have the most robust conversation and people can controversial things without fear of retaliation. From the beginning of our nation, our country has had a proud tradition of anonymous speech in the public square. And that stems from a commitment to focusing on ideas, rather than who is paying for the message.”

Austin Graham, legal counsel for the Campaign Legal Center, which supports the Rhode Island law, said, “It’s about providing voters with more information to fully evaluate political advertising and messaging, which in turn allows them to fully participate in the democratic process. It’s the marketplace of ideas. Informed decisions in the political marketplace, like the economic marketplace, depend on the free flow of information about sources of political messages supporting or opposing candidates.”

Have other courts ruled on the constitutionality of similar laws? On Sept. 30, Judge Denise Cote, of the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, 2016 law requiring 501(c)(3) and 501(c)(4) groups to disclose personal information about their donors in select circumstances. Under the New York law, 501(c)(3) groups were required to disclose the identities of donors who contributed more than $2,500 in a calendar year if the 501(c)(3) group made in-kind contributions to a 501(c)(4) group that engaged in lobbying activity. 501(c)(4) groups were required to disclose the identities of donors who contributed more than $1,000 if the 501(c)(4) group spent $10,000 or more per calendar year on covered communications (i.e., communications that advocate for or against an identified elected official).

On Oct. 2., Judge Brian R. Martinotti, of the U.S. District Court for the District of New Jersey, enjoined the state from enforcing its donor disclosure law, adopted on June 17, while litigation is underway. Under the New Jersey law, 501(c)(4) and 527 entities that spend $3,000 or more annually to influence or provide political information about the outcome of any election or policy proposal must disclose the identities of their donors who contribute $10,000 or more.

Case information: The case name and number are Gaspee Project et al. v Mederos et al., 1:19-cv-00609. The suit was filed in the U.S. District Court for the District of Rhode Island. The presiding judge is Mary McElroy, who was appointed to the court by Donald Trump (R).

What we’re reading

The big picture

Number of relevant bills by state: We’re currently tracking 74 pieces of legislation dealing with donor disclosure. On the map below, a darker shade of green indicates a greater number of relevant bills. Click here for a complete list of all the bills we’re tracking.

Disclosure Digest map December 23, 2019.png

Number of relevant bills by current legislative status

Disclosure Digest status chart December 23, 2019.png

Number of relevant bills by partisan status of sponsor(s)

Disclosure Digest partisan chart December 23, 2019.png

Recent legislative actions

No legislative actions have occurred since our last issue.



Signatures filed for indirect initiative to ban abortion procedure in Michigan

 

On December 23, 2019, the campaign Michigan Values Life filed 379,418 signatures for a ballot initiative to ban an abortion procedure. The ballot initiative defines the procedure as dismemberment abortion, which is also known as dilation and evacuation abortion.

The ballot initiative would define dismemberment abortion as an abortion which uses an instrument, device, or object to “dismember a living fetus by disarticulating limbs or decapitating the head from the fetal torso or removing the dismembered fetal body parts from the uterus regardless of whether the fetal body parts are removed by the same instrument, device, or object or by suction or other means.”

At least 340,047 (89.6 percent) of the submitted signatures need to be valid. As an indirect initiative, the proposal would first go to the Michigan State Legislature if enough signatures are verified. The legislature would have 40 days to pass the initiative. The governor’s signature is not needed on an indirect initiative passed by the legislature. Currently, Republicans control both legislative houses, while a Democrat, Gretchen Whitmer, is the governor. House Speaker Lee Chatfield (R-107) said that he expected the legislature to pass the ballot initiative.

If enough signatures are verified and the indirect initiative is not passed by the legislature, the initiative would appear on the ballot for November 3, 2020. Speaking about the scenario of the initiative going to the ballot, Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) said, “I will actively campaign against adoption.”

According to Bridge Magazine, dilation and evacuation (D&E) abortions are the most common type of second-trimester abortion. Mississippi and West Virginia have active bans on D&E abortions. Courts have struck down bans in several other states.

As of December 2019, one abortion-related ballot measure has qualified for the 2020 ballot. In Louisiana, voters will decide a constitutional amendment stating that “nothing in this constitution shall be construed to secure or protect a right to abortion or require the funding of abortion.” Signatures are also being collected for a 22-week abortion ban ballot initiative in Colorado. In Michigan, a campaign for a second ballot initiative that would restrict abortions when a fetal heartbeat is present is also collecting signatures. The latest that signatures can be filed for an indirect initiative in Michigan is May 27, 2020.

Click here to learn more.

Related pages:
Michigan 2020 ballot measures
Michigan Fetal Heartbeat Abortion Ban Initiative (2020)
Abortion regulations by state



Department of Labor proposes rule requiring mid-level public-sector unions to disclose finances

On Dec. 17, the U.S. Department of Labor proposed a regulation that would require mid-level public-sector unions (i.e., state, regional, or district affiliates of national-level unions) to disclose their finances to the federal government if their parent organizations represent private-sector workers.

What are the current regulations? Since 2010, mid-level unions representing public-sector employees exclusively have not been subject to federal financial reporting requirements, even if their parent unions do represent some private-sector workers. The Labor-Management Reporting and Disclosure Act requires all unions representing private-sector workers to file regular financial disclosure reports with the U.S. Department of Labor.

What is the proposed regulation? The proposed regulation would restore a 2003 rule that required intermediate public-sector union affiliates to disclose their finances if their parent unions represented some private-sector workers. The 2003 rule was enacted by the Bush administration and later rescinded by the Obama administration. According to the U.S. Department of Labor, the proposal would result in expanded disclosure filings by mid-level affiliates of the National Education Association, the American Federation of Teachers, the Fraternal Order of Police, and the International Association of Firefighters. Membership and financial figures for these unions are as follows:

What are the reactions?

  • In July 2018, the Department of Labor indicated it was considering the rule change. At that time, NEA general counsel Alice O’Brien said, “Given the strength of the pedigree of the current rule, any attempt by DOL to proceed with the proposed rule would be another attack on unions by this administration.”
  • Also in July 2018, Glenn Spencer, vice president of employment policy at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, said, “The [Labor-Management Reporting and Disclosure Act] is meant to be construed broadly and it’s meant to extend coverage as widely as possible.”

What comes next? The proposed rule was published in the Federal Register on Dec. 17. The Department of Labor will accept public comments on the proposal until Feb. 18, 2020.

What we’ve been reading

The big picture

Number of relevant bills by state

We are currently tracking 107 pieces of legislation dealing with public-sector employee union policy. On the map below, a darker shade of green indicates a greater number of relevant bills. Click here for a complete list of all the bills we’re tracking.

Union Station map December 20, 2019.png

Number of relevant bills by current legislative status

Union Station status chart December 20, 2019.png

Number of relevant bills by partisan status of sponsor(s)

Union Station partisan chart December 20, 2019.png

Recent legislative actions

No legislative actions have occurred since our last issue.



Two states expanded felon voting rights in December

Kentucky and New Jersey both expanded voting rights for convicted felons this past month.

Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear (D) issued an executive order on December 12 which allows individuals convicted of certain felonies to regain the right to vote upon completion of sentence, including prison time, probation, and parole. Rights are restored at that time regardless of whether the person has paid all fines or restitution. However, individuals who are convicted of treason, election bribery, and certain violent felonies do not regain voting rights. Previously, individuals convicted of any felony, as well as some misdemeanors, were permanently disenfranchised unless their voting rights were restored by reversible pardons offered by the state’s governor.

On December 18, New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy (D) signed legislation restoring voting rights to the state’s convicted felons once they complete their prison sentences. The law is scheduled to take effect on March 17, 2020. State law previously barred felons from voting until completion of their full sentences, including prison time, probation, and parole.

Voting rights for convicted felons vary substantially from state to state. Two states, Maine and Vermont, allow felons to vote while incarcerated, and one state, Iowa, permanently disenfranchises felons. In the other 47 states, felons cannot vote while incarcerated but regain the right to vote at some point after their release, although eight of those states permanently disenfranchise felons who commit certain categories of crimes. Seventeen states automatically restore voting rights after release from incarceration, and the rest restore voting rights at a different point, such as completion of probation or parole.

Click here to learn more.

Additional reading:
Election governance in New Jersey – Convicted felon voting rules
Election governance in Kentucky – Convicted felon voting rules



DNC raises polling and fundraising thresholds for January debate

The Democratic National Committee released the criteria to qualify for the January 14, 2020, presidential primary debate, raising both the polling and fundraising thresholds.

Each candidate has to receive 5% support or more in at least four national or early state polls or 7% support or more in at least two single state polls to meet the debate’s polling threshold. The four early states are Iowa (Feb. 3), New Hampshire (Feb. 11), Nevada (Feb. 22), and South Carolina (Feb. 29).

Candidates also have to meet a fundraising threshold of 225,000 unique donors and a minimum of 1,000 donors in at least 20 states.

Candidates have until Jan. 10 to qualify. Former Vice President Joe Biden, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, and Sens. Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren have already met both requirements.

While former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has reached the polling requirement, he is not accepting contributions to his campaign and is unlikely to cross the fundraising threshold.

Neither Tom Steyer nor Andrew Yang, both of whom participated in the December debate, have qualified yet. Steyer needs to cross the donor threshold and reach the polling threshold in two more polls. Yang has met the donor threshold but needs three more polls.

The debate will take place at Drake University in Des Moines, Iowa, roughly three weeks before the state caucuses.

Click here to learn more.

 



Since 1776, 217 state governors have resigned their office

Since 1776, 217 state governors have resigned before completing their terms. Before serving as president, Andrew Johnson (D) resigned twice as governor of Tennessee (once in 1857 and once in 1865), so there have been 218 gubernatorial resignations.

Of the 218 resignations, more than three-quarters (166) happened because the governor was elected or appointed to another office. Thirty-seven took place for various personal reasons, such as illness or policy disputes with the state legislature. The remaining 15 resignations occurred following allegations of misconduct on the governor’s part.

Twelve governors of New Jersey have resigned, more than any other state. Governors of Maine and South Carolina follow with 10 resignations each, and then Virginia with nine. Florida, Hawaii, and Washington are the only states which have never had a governor resign.

The most recent gubernatorial resignation took place in Missouri on June 1, 2018, when Eric Greitens (R) resigned amid allegations of sexual misconduct and misuse of campaign information.

Click here to learn more about gubernatorial resignations in your state.

Additional reading:
Governor
How gubernatorial vacancies are filled
State executive offices