Year: 2024
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Joe Biden (D) maintains lead in PredictIt’s presidential general election market
As of May 14, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market shows President Joe Biden (D) at $0.51 and former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.48. Biden has held the lead in this market since March 31, 2024. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which rises and falls…
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South Dakota voters will decide on initiative to ban sales tax on groceries
In South Dakota, an initiative to prohibit sales and use taxes on groceries was certified for the Nov. 5, 2024, ballot. On May 13, the secretary of state’s office verified that the campaign behind the initiative, TakeItBack, submitted enough valid signatures to qualify for the ballot. On April 24, the campaign submitted about 25,000 signatures,…
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Second-lowest number of incumbents defeated in Pennsylvania House primaries
Two challengers defeated incumbents in the April 23 primaries for the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. This is the second-lowest number of incumbents defeated since Ballotpedia began gathering data in 2010. The defeated incumbents are: The only other year with fewer incumbent defeats was 2010 when one Republican was defeated. Conversely, a decade-high of 10 incumbent…
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Update on 2024 ballot measure certifications: 13 new certified measures, 13 pending signature verification
For 2024, 105 statewide ballot measures have been certified for the ballot in 35 states, five more measures than the average (100) for this point in the election cycle from 2012 to 2022. The average number of statewide ballot measures certified for an even-numbered year during this period was 157. Here’s an update on the…
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Fifteen candidates are running in the June 11 Republican primary election for the U.S. Senate in Nevada
Fifteen candidates are running in the June 11 Republican primary election for the U.S. Senate in Nevada. Two candidates, Sam Brown (R) and Jim Marchant (R), lead in polling and media attention. According to Nevada Current Deputy Editor April Corbin Girnus , Nevada congressional candidates’ stances on former President Donald Trump (R) and his policies are a “terse political minefield…
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Alabama is third state to ban RCV this year
On May 10, Alabama Governor Kay Ivey (R) signed SB 186 into law, banning the use of ranked-choice voting (RCV) in the state. The new law makes Alabama the eighth state to ban RCV and the third state to do so this year after Kentucky and Oklahoma. Every state that has passed a law banning RCV has done so with a Republican-controlled legislature,…
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Colorado becomes third state set to vote on removing same-sex marriage bans in November
Colorado will join two other states voting on removing same-sex marriage bans from their state constitutions in November. Colorado voters will decide whether or not to remove the provision of the state constitution that says that “only a union of one man and one woman shall be valid or recognized as a marriage in this…