General elections for the Wisconsin State Assembly will take place on Nov. 3.
According to reporting from the Wisconsin Examiner, President Donald Trump's (R) low approval rating and voter dissatisfaction with Republican leadership in Washington could benefit Democrats in Wisconsin. In an interview with The New York Times, Wisconsin Assembly Speaker Robin Vos (R) said Republicans have recruited "pragmatic center-right candidates." Marquette Law School research fellow John Johnson says, "There are demonstrably enough voters in those [key] districts who will vote for a Democrat, so that’s the optimistic case for Assembly Democrats. The optimistic case for Assembly Republicans is that Assembly Republican candidates tend to be more popular than other kinds of Republicans, and so that’s what they’re going to be counting on."
Heading into the election, Republicans have a 54-45 majority. All districts are up for election this year. Democrats need to win at least five Republican districts, while maintaining their own, to gain a majority in the Assembly. Republicans can lose no more than four districts to maintain their majority. Republicans have held a majority since 2011.
Wisconsin has a divided government, with Republicans holding majorities in both legislative chambers and Tony Evers (D) serving as governor. If Democrats win a majority in the Assembly and the Senate, and maintain the governorship, they will gain a Democratic trifecta. If Republicans maintain majorities in both legislative chambers and win the governorship, they will gain a Republican trifecta. If neither party wins control of the legislature and governorship, Wisconsin will remain divided.
The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee (DLCC) has targeted 12 districts, including four that Democrats already hold. The Republican State Leadership Committee (RSLC) includes Wisconsin in its Top Defensive Battleground Chambers list and has targeted 10 districts, including eight that Republicans already hold.
Ballotpedia considers 13 districts to be battlegrounds. These include districts that had a margin of victory within five percentage points in 2024, DLCC and RSLC targets, and districts with an election forecast rating of Toss-up, Lean D/R, or Tilt D/R. Democrats represent four battlegrounds and Republicans represent nine. Three districts are open, while the other 10 districts have an incumbent running. To read more about these districts, click here.
The Wisconsin State Assembly is one of 88 state legislative chambers with elections in 2026. The primary was on Aug. 11.


