As of Oct. 6, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market showed Vice President Kamala Harris at $0.54 and former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.50. Harris has held the lead in this market since Aug. 1, 2024. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which rises and falls…
Joyce Craig (D), Kelly Ayotte (R), and Stephen Villee (L) are running in the general election for Governor of New Hampshire on Nov. 5, 2024. Incumbent Chris Sununu (R) did not run for re-election. As of Sept. 17, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales, and Larry J. Sabato’s…
As of Sept. 26, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market showed Vice President Kamala Harris at $0.57 and former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.46. Harris has held the lead in this market since Aug. 1, 2024. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which rises and falls…
In the 37 states that have held primaries so far this year, 136 state legislative incumbents—3.4% of all incumbents seeking re-election—have lost. That’s less than at this point in 2022, when 174, or 4.6%, of incumbents had lost in primaries. Four of the 136 defeated incumbents were legislative leaders: three Republican state senators and one…
Ten candidates are running in the top-two primary for Washington’s 5th Congressional District on August 6, 2024. Four candidates lead in media attention, campaign finance, and endorsements: Bernadine Bank (D), Michael Baumgartner (R), Carmela Conroy (D), and Jacquelin Maycumber (R). Washington uses a top-two primary system, in which all candidates appear on the same ballot,…
Sam Liccardo (D) and Evan Low (D) are running in the general election for California’s 16th Congressional District on November 5, 2024. Incumbent Anna Eshoo (D) is retiring from public office. In the all-party top-two primary on March 5, 2024, Liccardo finished first with 21.1%. Low finished in second place with 16.6% after a recount.…
Incumbent U.S. Sen. Bob Casey Jr. (D), David McCormick (R), and five other candidates are running for the U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania on Nov. 5, 2024. According to the AP’s Marc Levy, “McCormick’s candidacy is shaping up as the strongest challenge to Casey in his three reelection bids…The Senate candidates will share a ticket with…
Josh Stein (D), Mark K. Robinson (R), Wayne Turner (G), and Mike Ross (L) are running in the general election for Governor of North Carolina on November 5, 2024. Incumbent Governor Roy Cooper (D) is term-limited. Politico called the race the most important and likely the most expensive governor’s race of 2024. The election will help determine North Carolina’s trifecta status. Heading into the 2024 election, Republicans have majorities…
Incumbent Matt Gaetz (R) and Aaron Dimmock (R) are running in the Republican primary for Florida’s 1st Congressional District on August 20, 2024. Former president Donald Trump (R) endorsed Gaetz in the primary, and former Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy (R) endorsed Dimmock. Gaetz, who was first elected to Congress in 2016, received national…
Incumbent Andrea Salinas (D) and Mike Erickson (R) are running in the general election for Oregon’s 6th Congressional District on November 5, 2024. The race is a rematch from 2022, when Salinas defeated Erickson 50.1% to 47.7%. This is the second general election in the district’s history. It was first created as a result of…