Who is on the bubble to qualify for the first Democratic presidential primary debate?

The first set of Democratic presidential primary debates is a month away and 20 presidential candidates have met the polling or fundraising criteria to qualify. If any additional candidates qualify, the Democratic National Committee will use a series of tiebreakers to determine who keeps their spot on the stage and who is removed. The debates will take place on June 26 and June 27 in Miami, Florida.
 
First priority will go to candidates who have reached both the polling and fundraising thresholds. Next up will be candidates with the highest polling average. The final tiebreaker will be candidates with the highest number of contributors.
 
Thirteen candidates have met both the polling and fundraising requirements, likely locking in their spots on the stage:
 
• Joe Biden
• Cory Booker
• Pete Buttigieg
• Julián Castro
• Tulsi Gabbard
• Kamala Harris
• Jay Inslee
• Amy Klobuchar
• Beto O’Rourke
• Bernie Sanders
• Elizabeth Warren
• Marianne Williamson
• Andrew Yang
 
Seven candidates have met the polling requirements only:
 
• Bill de Blasio
• Steve Bullock
• John Delaney
• Kirsten Gillibrand
• John Hickenlooper
• Tim Ryan
• Eric Swalwell
 
The four candidates who have not yet qualified by any method—Michael Bennet, Mike Gravel, Wayne Messam, and Seth Moulton—will have until June 12 to do so.
 
There has been some debate over whether de Blasio’s performance in a Reuters poll released earlier this month gave him the third and final poll he needed to qualify.
 
FiveThirtyEight elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley, who counts the poll as qualifying, said the Democratic National Committee (DNC) will be “’using the top-line number listed in the original public release from the approved sponsoring organization/institution’ for what it’s counting and the first column in the [Reuters] poll has de Blasio at 1%. The Reuters story also lists those figures.”



About the author

Emily Aubert

Emily Aubert is a staff writer at Ballotpedia and can be reached at emily.aubert@ballotpedia.org

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