“I don’t think [candidates] decide to get out: It’s decided for them: when their money dries up, when they can’t pay their staff, they can’t pay for travel.
If they’re wealthy like Tom Steyer, I guess that doesn’t matter. But we’re not even there yet, because we haven’t even had the second debate. They’re looking for their moment that they are ‘made’—and then, when that’s over, reality is going to sink in with them, their staffers and their donors.
That’s what creates the psychology that the press and the pundits and the donors ‘don’t know what I know. I know how to win. I’ve done it before. They were all wrong before.’ And it’s hard to argue with that. So they continue running until they run out of fuel.”
– Larry Sabato, University of Virginia Center for Politics
CNN announced the lineup for each night of the second presidential primary debatein Detroit, Michigan.
CNN used a random drawing to distribute the 20 presidential candidates who qualified across the two debate segments.
PoliticointerviewedJohn Delaney about the upcoming debate, social media, government experience, climate change, healthcare, the 2016 presidential election, and other topics.
In an interview with The National Interest, Mike Gravel discussed his presidential campaign, foreign policy, and the debate qualifications. He said his campaign would “make an investigation whether or not the DNC turned my name into these various polls that were being taken.”
BustleinterviewedAmy Klobuchar about gun violence and domestic violence, college affordability, abortion, and the Democratic primary.
Wayne Messamappeared in Jackson, Mississippi, for the annual National Black Caucus of Local Elected Officials.
In an interview on WBUR’s Here & Now, Seth Moulton spoke about veterans’ advocacy, House leadership, national security, and healthcare.
O’Rourke announced a Social Security policy proposal that would give credits to caregivers to children under 12 and family members with health conditions. The credits, available for up to five years, would be equal to half of the average earnings of a fulltime worker. Fulltime students aged 22 or younger would also be allowed to collect a deceased parent’s Social Security benefits.
“The Rust Belt bus tours and campaign cattle calls are far more about lingering post-traumatic stress from the Democrats’ 2016 loss than any current electoral strategy. While the traditionally blue states are likely to be crucial to Democrats in a general election, none of the three are scheduled to hold their primary vote before Super Tuesday, the dozen-state primary that’s widely expected to winnow the field in early March.”
– Lisa Lerer and Reid J. Epstein, The New York Times
The lineup for the July 30-31, 2019, Democratic primary debate will be determined Thursday night during a live drawing on CNN.
D.C. statehood group 51 for 51 announced it was spending six figures on digital and print ads criticizing Michael Bennet for his support of the filibuster, which the group believes is preventing Washington, D.C., from gaining statehood.
In an interview on Recode Decode with Kara Swisher, Bennet spoke about education, tech companies, and privacy.
Jess O’Connell and Sonal Shah are joiningButtigieg’s campaign as senior adviser and national policy director, respectively. O’Connell was the CEO of the Democratic National Committee in 2017 and Shah was the founding executive director of the Beeck Center for Social Impact and Innovation.
In an interview with The Keene Sentinel editorial board, John Hickenlooperdiscussed climate change, healthcare, and artificial intelligence.
The Seth Moulton campaign criticized the Democratic National Committee’s criteria for qualifying for the debates and submitted 12 polls where Moulton received 1 percent support that were not on the eligible poll list.
Monday was the deadline for presidential campaign committees to file financial reports with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) for the second quarter of 2019. Here’s a breakdown of how the candidates performed from April through June:
President Donald Trump led all presidential candidates with $26.5 million in receipts. Individual contributions accounted for $8.8 million of that total, while PACs and political committees contributed $17.6 million.
South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg more than tripled his first quarter take, reporting $24.9 million in individual contributions. Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren followed with $22 million and $19.2 million, respectively.
Sen. Bernie Sanders spent $14.1 million, the most expenditures of any candidate in the second quarter. He also ended the quarter with the most cash on hand among Democrats: $27.3 million. Only two other Democratic candidates—Buttigieg and Warren—had roughly $20 million or more in cash on hand heading into the third quarter.
The following two charts show the individual contributions, total receipts, expenditures, and cash on hand for each presidential candidate.
The first column represents donations from individuals. The second column includes these individual donations and contributions from other sources, including political committees and loans from the candidate.
July 17, 2019: Kirsten Gillibrand published a Medium post outlining her Social Security and senior policy plan. Cory Booker introduced the Second Look Act on early releases for inmates.
Campaign Finance Spotlight
Monday was the deadline for presidential candidates to file second-quarter financial reports with the Federal Election Commission. Here are three highlights from those reports:
Trump led all presidential candidates with $26.5 million in receipts. Individual contributions accounted for $8.8 million of that total while amounts received from PACs and political committees were $17.6 million.
Buttigieg more than tripled the amount he received during the first quarter, reporting $24.9 million in individual contributions. Biden and Warren followed with $22 million and $19.2 million, respectively.
Sanders spent $14.1 million during the second quarter—the most expenditures of any candidate. He also ended the quarter with $27.3 million—the most cash among the Democratic candidates. Only two other Democratic candidates—Buttigieg and Warren—reported having about $20 million or more in cash on hand heading into the third quarter.
The following two charts show individual contributions, total receipts, expenditures, and cash on hand for each presidential candidate.
Joe Biden unveiled his policy proposal focusing on rural communities Tuesday. Biden called for expanding a microloan program for new farmers, investing in broadband infrastructure, doubling funding for community health centers, and recruiting more doctors to residencies in rural areas.
Cory Booker is introducing the Matthew Charles and William Underwood Second Look Act Wednesday, which would establish several early release protocols. Booker proposed allowing people who have served more than a decade in prison to petition a court for early release. Inmates older than 50 would get the presumption of release following a petition.
Kirsten Gillibrandpublished a Medium post outlining her senior policy plan. Gillibrand said she would increase Social Security benefits by $65/month, eliminate a cap on total benefits, and expand eligibility to include surviving spouses and other select family members. Gillibrand would also increase the Social Security payroll tax cap and establish a 3.8 percent investment income tax to keep the program solvent.
Kamala Harris released her plan to lower the price of prescription drugs. Under Harris’ proposal, prices would be set by the Department of Health and Human Services. Companies that sell drugs at a higher rate would be taxed on the profits, which would then be turned into rebates for consumers.
Amy Klobucharoutlined her first 100 days in office during a policy address in Washington, D.C. She said she would first rejoin the International Climate Change Agreement, preserve insurance coverage for pre-existing conditions, and travel to Canada and Europe to strengthen international relationships.
Beto O’Rourkehired Aisha McClendon to serve as his national director of African American voter outreach.
Bernie Sanderssaid he would try to split apart Facebook, Google, and Amazon, and pursue greater enforcement of antitrust legislation.
Joe Sestakwrote an op-ed in Fortune about his military service and the principle of accountable leadership.
Elizabeth Warrenattended Mark Esper’s confirmation hearing Tuesday, where she questioned the nominee for secretary of defense about his relationship with defense contractor Raytheon.
The San Francisco ChronicleprofiledAndrew Yang’s campaign and how he is performing better than several politicians in the race.
Donald Trumplaunched the Women for Trump coalition Tuesday at an event near Philadelphia. Leading the effort were Lara Trump, Republican National Committee chair Ronna McDaniel, former Fox News host Kimberly Guilfoyle, and others.
On the Cusp: Tracking Potential Candidates
Mark Sanfordannounced that he was considering running for president. “I think the Republican Party has lost its way on debt, spending and financial matters,” Sanford said.
“Some of these candidates need a miracle. It’s like if you’re a baseball team and you’re 15 games behind in mid-July, the odds are that you’re not making it to the playoffs.
If you don’t have the money, you’re not going to have the infrastructure. And if you don’t have the money or the infrastructure, what are you going to do to break through? At this point, it’s just very, very tough.”
Joe Bidenunveiled his $750 billion healthcare plan Monday. It would build on the Affordable Care Act by adding a public option that resembles Medicare. Biden’s plan would also increase healthcare tax credits to limit healthcare spending to no more than 8.5 percent of a household’s income.
Cory Booker released his long-term care policy Monday. Booker proposed increasing Medicaid asset and income limits to cover more people. He also called for expanding the Earned Income Tax Credit for family caregivers and paying long-term care workers a minimum of $15 per hour.
In an interview on Recode Decode with Kara Swisher, Pete Buttigieg discussed systemic racism, tech regulation, and the state of the Democratic Party.
Top donors to the Trump Victory Committee, a joint fundraising venture by Donald Trump and the Republican National Committee, include Nebraska donor Marlene Ricketts and former Small Business Administration head Linda McMahon. They each gave the maximum contribution of $360,000. Trump is scheduled to host a fundraiser Friday at his Bedminister golf course.
Politico reported on the salaries of top 2016 staffers. Marco Rubio campaign manager Terry Sullivan was earning an annual salary of $198,000. Rand Paul’s campaign manager, Chip Englander, followed with $129,000, according to financial reports.
The lineup for the second set of Democratic presidential debates on July 30-31, 2019, will be announced when CNN airs a live drawing for the qualifying candidates Thursday night.
Twenty-one candidates have reached the polling or grassroots fundraising threshold or both. The debate is limited to 20 candidates.
Candidates who have reached both sets of requirements are former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Cory Booker, South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julián Castro, Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, Sen Kamala Harris, Gov. Jay Inslee, Sen. Amy Klobuchar, former Rep. Beto O’Rourke, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, author Marianne Willamson, and entrepreneur Andrew Yang.
Sen. Michael Bennet, Gov. Steve Bullock, New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio, former Rep. John Delaney, former Gov. John Hickenlooper, and Rep. Tim Ryan have met the polling threshold of 1 percent support or more in three eligible national or early state polls.
Over the weekend, former Sen. Mike Gravel reached the grassroots fundraising threshold of at least 65,000 unique contributions and at least 200 unique contributions from a minimum of 20 U.S. states. Under previously announced tiebreaker rules, the candidates’ polling averages will be considered before fundraising figures.
Joining Gravel on the bubble are four candidates who have not yet met either qualifying criteria: Miramar Mayor Wayne Messam and Rep. Seth Moulton and race newcomers former Rep. Joe Sestak and investor Tom Steyer.
The candidates who qualify for the July debates will encounter new debate rules when they appear on stage in Detroit, Michigan. Unlike the June debate hosted by NBC News, MSNBC, and Telemundo, there will be no questions requiring a show of hands or one-word, down-the-line answers. Candidates who repeatedly interrupt other speakers will be penalized. Candidates will also be allowed to make both opening and closing statements.
A third presidential debate is scheduled in Houston, Texas, on September 12-13, 2019. Candidates will need to receive 2 percent support or more in four national or early state polls and receive donations from at least 130,000 unique donors to qualify.
“It’s definitely fear, what else? They’ve known since March that this conference [Netroots Nation] is happening, so don’t give me [expletive] about scheduling. It’s stupid. … If they want to cede the ground to Warren, then great.”
– Markos Moulitsas, DailyKos founder, on candidates who did not go to Netroots Nation
Mike Gravelreached the donor threshold to qualify for the second Democratic presidential debate. The campaign said it had contacted the Democratic National Committee over the polling qualification requirement since Gravel has been excluded from more than half of eligible polls.
Kamala Harrisappeared on The Breakfast Club radio show Friday morning, where she criticized other presidential candidates for releasing proposals that would be difficult to implement.
Hickenlooperhired Peter Cunningham to replace Lauren Hitt as communications director.
The New Republic and Gizmodoannounced that they planned to hold a summit on climate change in New York City on September 23. Candidates will appear individually on stage to answer questions being drafted, in part, by Columbia University’s Earth Institute. The New Republic withdrew from the event following criticism of its publication of an op-ed focused on Buttigieg’s sexuality.
Donald Trumppromoted the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement during campaign stops in Wisconsin and Ohio Friday.
“In poll after poll, Sanders appeals to lower-income and less-educated people; Warren beats Sanders among those with postgraduate degrees. Sanders performs better with men, Warren with women. Younger people who vote less frequently are more often in Sanders’ camp; seniors who follow politics closely generally prefer Warren. …
It demonstrates that a progressive economic message can excite different parts of the electorate, but it also means that Sanders and Warren likely need to expand their bases in order to win the Democratic nomination.
Put another way, if their voters could magically be aligned behind one or the other, it would vastly increase the odds of a Democratic nominee on the left wing of the ideological spectrum.”
– Holly Otterbein, Politico reporter
Michael Bennetdiscussed his polling performance, prostate cancer diagnosis, and work with the Gang of Eight on a 2013 bipartisan immigration bill on The View Thursday.
De Blasiowrote an op-ed on CNN.com criticizing the Trump administration’s proposal to revise the North American Free Trade Agreement. De Blasio called for rewriting the trade agreement to include wage standards and the right to organize and form multinational bargaining units.
Pete Buttigieg officially unveiled the “Douglass Plan,” his platform focused on economic opportunity for black Americans. The plan calls for investing $25 billion in HBCUs and minority-serving institutions, revitalizing abandoned properties, and increasing access to credit. He also advocated redrawing the boundaries of Washington, D.C., to create a new state called New Columbia.
Tulsi Gabbard campaigned in Wisconsin, holding a town hall in Milwaukee and speaking at a youth awards banquet at the LULAC annual conference.
Gillibrandproposed a “Deadbeat Company Tax,” which would penalize large companies for moving 25 jobs or more overseas. The penalties include a 15 percent abandonment tax on the total value of any capital assets moved out of the U.S.
The Mike Gravel campaign released a negative ad against Biden questioning his record as a progressive. It will air Friday on MSNBC.
In an op-ed on democracy for Fortune, Gravelwrote, “We must return lawmaking power directly to the people through a legislature of the people, and give them the budgets they need through a land value tax.”
Harrisproposed investing $1 billion into states to clear the rape kit backlog nationwide. States would have to meet new standards to receive funding, including providing an annual report on the number of untested kits and testing new kits more quickly.
Amy Klobucharissued a policy proposal addressing eldercare, Alzheimer’s disease, and the financial concerns of seniors Friday. The plan would be funded through taxes on inherited wealth.
In an interview on BET Digital’s Black Coffee, Bernie Sanders discussed reparations, student loan debt, and how his proposals will affect black communities.
Tom Steyerdiscussed his presidential campaign and its focus on reducing corporate involvement in elections on Cheddar Thursday.
Elizabeth Warren released her immigration policy proposal Thursday. She would eliminate criminal penalties for unauthorized border crossings, separate law enforcement and immigration enforcement into two distinct functions, and shift the priorities of U.S. Customs and Border Protection and Immigration and Customs Enforcement to homeland security efforts.
June 11, 2019: Seven presidential candidates are scheduled to speak at the League of United Latin American Citizens annual conference Wednesday through Friday. Joe Biden delivers a foreign policy speech Thursday.
“You have a [Attorney General William] Barr hearing or a [Supreme Court Justice Brett] Kavanaugh hearing or impeachment-related hearings — you’re in front of millions and millions of people. The exposure that members of Congress get is tremendous and governors don’t get that. I did not have a lot of people asking me to go on national television to explain which roads I was building to ease congestion in Virginia. It was not a sexy topic.”
– Terry McAuliffe (D), former governor of Virginia
Joe Biden will deliver a foreign policy speech in New York Thursday focused on three pillars: strengthening democracy in the U.S. and abroad, helping the middle class succeed in a global economy, and coordinating global action to combat world issues like climate change. Biden also posted a video called “The Trump Doctrine” criticizing Trump’s foreign policy approach.
Bill de Blasiosaid he would either push Congress to amend the Amateur Sports Act to require gender pay equity in national sports or use an executive order to achieve the same end.
Booker introduced a bill that would prohibit the U.S. Census Bureau from including citizenship information when supplying redistricting data.
While campaigning in Iowa City, Steve Bullocksaid he opposed eliminating all student debt and compared the debt to the billions held in car loans. He said employer-assisted debt repayment should not be taxed.
In an interview on NPR’s Morning Edition, Pete Buttigieg discussed his black voter outreach efforts and “Douglass Plan,” which he says will address systemic racial inequality.
Tulsi Gabbardtweeted that she had more than 97,000 unique donors. The threshold for the third presidential debate is 130,000.
Gillibrand begins her “Trump Broken Promises Tour” through Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan. She will campaign in Pittsburgh Thursday.
Jay Inslee said he opposed the Enbridge Line 5 pipeline, which runs between the Great Lakes, and the plan to replace it with a new pipeline tunnel.
Seth Moultonsupported an amendment to the 2020 National Defense Authorization Act that would prohibit federal money from funding a war with Iran without congressional approval.
The Cedar Rapids Gazettewrote about Joe Sestak’s campaign stop in Iowa July 5, where he spoke about climate change.
In an interview with The Atlantic, Tom Steyer discussed why he changed his mind about running for president.
In an interview with The New York Times, Bernie Sanders said his politics came from looking at issues from a class perspective. “I’m not a liberal. Never have been. I’m a progressive who mostly focuses on the working and middle class,” Sanders said.