Welcome to the Monday, November 1, Brew.
By: Samuel Wonacott
Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:
- An overview of the races we’ll be covering on Election Day
- A look at 2021 election administration-related ballot measures
- Certified California recall results
Election Day preview
Nov. 2 is Election Day. While 2021 is an odd-numbered election year, that doesn’t mean there aren’t plenty of races to watch—races at the federal, state, and local levels. Let’s walk through the elections we’ll be covering tomorrow.
We’re covering four special congressional elections:
- Florida’s 20th Congressional District special Democratic primary
- Florida’s 20th Congressional District special election, 2022 (November 2, 2021, Republican primary)
- Ohio’s 11th Congressional District special election, 2021
- Ohio’s 15th Congressional District special election, 2021
Statewide offices up for election on Nov. 2 include gubernatorial seats, lieutenant gubernatorial seats, an attorney general seat, and a state supreme court seat.
- Virginia governor
- Virginia lieutenant governor
- New Jersey governor and lieutenant governor
- Pennsylvania Supreme Court
- Virginia attorney general
State legislative offices
Three of the country’s 99 state legislative chambers are holding regularly-scheduled elections on Nov. 2. Elections in those three chambers represent 220 of the country’s 7,383 state legislative seats (2.9%).
- Virginia House of Delegates elections
- New Jersey General Assembly elections
- New Jersey State Senate elections
We’re covering elections in 43 cities and county elections in 13 counties. Seventeen of those cities are holding general elections for mayor on Nov. 2.
Here are the city battleground elections we’ll be following tomorrow:
- Mayoral election in Atlanta, Georgia
- Mayoral election in Boston, Massachusetts
- Mayoral election in Buffalo, New York
- Mayoral election in Cincinnati, Ohio
- Mayoral election in Cleveland, Ohio
- Mayoral election in Hialeah, Florida
- City elections in Miami, Florida
- City elections in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Mayoral election in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- City attorney election in Seattle, Washington
- City council elections in Seattle, Washington
- Mayoral election in Seattle, Washington
- Mayoral election in St. Petersburg, Florida
Click here to see a list of all municipal elections we’re covering Nov. 2.
Additionally, we’re covering elections for 202 school board seats in 60 school districts.
Here are the school board battleground elections we’ll be following tomorrow:
- Atlanta Public Schools, Georgia, elections
- Denver Public Schools, Colorado, elections
- Jeffco Public Schools, Colorado, elections
- Jersey City Public Schools, New Jersey, elections
Click here to see a list of all school board elections we’re covering Nov. 2.
There are 24 statewide ballot measures up for a vote on Nov. 2. Additionally, we are covering over 150 local ballot measures across 18 states.
Here’s a handful of our top 15 ballot statewide and local measures to watch tomorrow:
- Maine Question 1, Electric Transmission Line Restrictions and Legislative Approval Initiative (2021)
- Maine Question 3, Right to Produce, Harvest, and Consume Food Amendment (2021)
- New Jersey Public Question 1, Sports Betting on State College Athletics Amendment (2021)
- Minneapolis, Minnesota, Question 2, Replace Police Department with Department of Public Safety Initiative (November 2021)
- Detroit, Michigan, Proposal E, Decriminalization of Entheogenic Plants Measure (November 2021)
Election and voting policy ballot measures
As mentioned above, we’re covering 24 statewide ballot measures on Nov. 2, along with local ballot measures in 18 states. Those measures touch on topics as wide-ranging as sports betting, redistricting, and drug policy. Here, we want to highlight several measures related to election and voting policy.
The 2020 election cycle was highlighted by a variety of election and voting policy changes. Those issues will go before voters in a variety of ways tomorrow. Here are two statewide measures and three local measures on Nov. 2 that affect election or voting policy.
- New York Proposal 1, Redistricting Changes Amendment (2021)
- This measure reduces the majority requirements for the legislature to approve redistricting maps when the legislature has split party control and caps the number of state senators at 63, which was the number of state senators as of 2021. The measure also requires New York to count residents of the entire state, including people who are residents but not citizens, should the federal census fail to do so. New York would also be required to count incarcerated persons at the place of their last residence for redistricting purposes.
- New York Proposal 4, Allow for No-Excuse Absentee Voting Amendment (2021)
- The ballot measure would authorize the New York State Legislature to pass a statute for no-excuse absentee voting, meaning any registered voter could request and vote with an absentee ballot. In 2021, the New York Constitution required voters to be absent from their home county, ill, or physically disabled to vote with an absentee ballot.
- St. Petersburg, Florida, Charter Amendment 1, Limit City Council General Elections to Voters in the Council District (November 2021)
- This measure changes general city council elections to be district-specific—as primary elections are now—and allows a candidate to win outright in the primary if they receive a majority of votes.
- Denver, Colorado, Referred Question 2H, Change Odd-Year Denver Election Date from May to April Charter Amendment (November 2021)
- This measure changes the general election date from May to April in odd years.
- Westbrook, Maine, Ranked-Choice Voting Initiative (November 2021)
- This measure amends the city’s charter to enact ranked-choice voting (RCV) for mayoral, city council, and school committee elections.
Results of Newsom recall certified
Earlier this year, California held a recall where voters decided not to recall Gov. Gavin Newsom (D). On Oct. 22, 2021, California certified the results of the Sept. 14 recall election targeting Newsom. Of the 12.8 million voters who participated in the election, 61.9% voted to retain Newsom, and 38.1% voted to recall.
In 2021, 51.9% of eligible voters cast a vote in the recall election. In 2018, when Newsom was first elected, turnout for the gubernatorial election was 49.5%. In the 2003 recall election against Gov. Gray Davis (D), 42.12% of those eligible voted. Turnout was 34.83% in the 2002 gubernatorial general election, when Davis was elected.
Forty-six candidates, including nine Democrats and 24 Republicans, ran in the 2021 recall election.
Since 1911, there have been 55 attempts to recall a California governor. The only successful recall campaign was in 2003 when voters recalled then-Gov. Gray Davis (D). Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) was elected as Davis’ replacement. In that election, 135 candidates ran and the winner received 48.6% of the vote.