Author: Joel Williams
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Reverse pivot counties in 2018 U.S. House elections
Democratic candidates for the U.S. House carried all six reverse pivot counties in 2018. Reverse pivot counties are counties that voted for John McCain (R) in 2008, Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, and Hillary Clinton (R) in 2016. The average margin of victory for 2018 U.S. House candidates in these counties was 11.05 percent.…
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Two weeks to Tampa mayoral race
Seven candidates are running in the March 5 election for Tampa's open mayoral seat. Mayor Bob Buckhorn (D) is term-limited and unable to run for re-election. Transportation and congestion relief are the major issues in this race. Mayoral elections in Tampa are officially nonpartisan, though candidates are typically members of a political party. Tampa's mayor…
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Obama-Obama-Trump pivot counties in 2018 U.S. House elections
There are 206 pivot counties in the country: those that voted for Barack Obama (D) in both 2008 and 2012 and Donald Trump (R) in 2016. What happened in those counties in the 2018 elections for the U.S. House? Democratic U.S. House candidates won 113 (55 percent) pivot counties and Republican candidates won 93. Overall, Democratic…
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Twenty-three state executive offices are on the ballot in 2019. What are they?
Three states are holding state executive elections in 2019—Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi. Each of them is holding an election for the office of governor, lieutenant governor, attorney general, and secretary of state. Other offices up for election include agriculture commissioner (KY, LA, MS), auditor (KY, MS), insurance commissioner (LA, MS), public service commissioner (MS), and…
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Duval Democrats announce official opposition to Lenny Curry's re-election in Jacksonville
On Tuesday, the Duval County Democratic Party announced it had passed a resolution opposing the re-election of Jacksonville Mayor Lenny Curry (R), although there are no Democratic candidates running. Curry faces Councilwoman Anna Brosche (R), former Atlantic Beach City Councilman Jimmy Hill (R), and Omega Allen (I) in the March 19 general election. If no…
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How could Kentucky's gubernatorial race impact the state's trifecta status?
Kentucky's 2019 gubernatorial election will either preserve the state's Republican trifecta or return it to divided government. Kentucky has been a Republican trifecta since the start of the 2017 legislative session. Gov. Matt Bevin is a Republican and Republicans control both chambers of the legislature. Since 1992, there have been 11 years of trifecta…
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Kentucky governor announces re-election campaign with new running mate
Incumbent Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin (R) announced on Friday that he is seeking re-election. He will not be running with current Lt. Gov. Jenean Hampton, however, as Bevin opted to make State Sen. Ralph Alvarado his running mate. So far, the only other announced Republican in the race is State Rep. Robert Goforth (R), whose…
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Former U.S. Senator, NHL team owner endorse in Tampa Bay mayoral race
On Tuesday, former U.S. Sen. and Florida governor Bob Graham (D) endorsed city council member Mike Suarez for Tampa Bay mayor. In a statement, Graham said, "His leadership on the environment, our efforts to fight the war on terrorism and his dedication to protecting our elders, is what I admire about his service." Suarez has…
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Jacksonville city council member announces mayoral challenge; other members respond
On January 11, 2019, Jacksonville City Councilwoman Anna Brosche (R) announced her campaign to challenge Mayor Lenny Curry (R) in the city's 2019 mayoral election. She said the mayor did not do enough to address crime and that the city's taxpayers were being hurt by what she called a lack of transparency in the mayor's…
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Democrats regain control of New York State Senate, make state a Democratic trifecta
Today, legislators in New York will be sworn in. In the state Senate, this marks a change of power from a Republican-led coalition to a Democratic majority. Although Democrats have held a numerical majority in the chamber since 2012, a faction of Democrats known as the Independent Democratic Caucus aligned with the chamber's Republicans, helping…