Author: Juan Garcia de Paredes

  • Our final March Super Tuesday preview – North Carolina

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    Welcome to the Monday, March 4, 2024, Brew.  By: Juan Garcia de Paredes Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day: Our final March Super Tuesday preview – North Carolina Five states are holding primaries for congressional and state offices tomorrow: Texas, Alabama, Arkansas, California, and North Carolina.  Last week, we looked…

  • Ohio considering bill to prohibit ballot measure contributions from foreign nationals

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    Welcome to the Monday, February 26, 2024, Brew.  By: Juan Garcia de Paredes Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day: Ohio state senators introduce bill to prohibit ballot measure contributions from foreign nationals On Jan. 24, Ohio State Sens. Theresa Gavarone (R-2) and Robert McColley (R-1) introduced Senate Bill 215 (SB…

  • Officeholders won election to new offices at a higher rate in 2023 than prior odd years

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    Welcome to the Thursday, February 22, 2024, Brew.  By: Juan Garcia de Paredes Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day: Officeholders won election to new offices at a higher rate in 2023 than prior odd years We recently published our annual analysis of elected officials who ran for other offices in…

  • Mike Bost and Darren Bailey are running in the March 19 Republican primary for Illinois’ 12th Congressional District

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    Incumbent Mike Bost and Darren Bailey are running in the Republican primary for Illinois’ 12th Congressional District on March 19, 2024. The district has an R+24 partisan lean in the Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI), making it the most Republican-leaning district in Illinois. Bost, who has represented the district since 2015, won re-election in 2022…

  • There are no open U.S. House seats in Illinois for the first time in a decade

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    This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Illinois was Dec. 4, 2023.  Forty-four candidates are running for Illinois’ 17 U.S. House districts, including 23 Democrats and 21 Republicans. That’s 2.59 candidates per district. In 2022, the first election after the number of Congressional districts in Illinois decreased from 18 to 17, 5.59…

  • Fifty-one members of Congress have announced they will not seek re-election in 2024 — more than at this point in previous cycles

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    Fifty-one members of Congress have announced they will not seek re-election in 2024 — more than at this point in previous cycles. Since Jan. 9, seven U.S. House members announced they will not seek re-election in 2024. This count includes one Democrat and six Republicans.  Including the announcements above, 51 members of Congress — seven…

  • Looking back at 2023 – highest average margin of victory in state legislative elections since 2018

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    Welcome to the Thursday, February 15, Brew.  By: Juan Garcia de Paredes Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day: Average margin of victory in state legislative general elections last year was highest since 2018 Last November, general elections were held for 578 seats in eight legislative chambers across four states: Louisiana,…

  • Three U.S. House incumbents in Ohio are facing primary challengers this year—a decade-low

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    This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Ohio was Dec. 20, 2023.  Seventy candidates are running for Ohio’s 15 U.S. House districts, including 28 Democrats and 42 Republicans. That’s 4.7 candidates per district, the most since 2018. In 2022, the first election after the number of Congressional districts in Ohio decreased from…

  • Six U.S. House primaries are contested in Kentucky this year—the fewest since 2016

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    This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Kentucky was Jan. 5, 2024.  Twenty-three candidates are running for Kentucky’s six U.S. House districts, including 11 Democrats and 12 Republicans. That’s 3.8 candidates per district, lower than the 5.2 candidates who ran in 2022, but higher than the 3.5 who ran in 2020.  Here…

  • Ten candidates are running in the top-two primary for California’s 47th Congressional District

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    Ten candidates are running in the top-two primary for California’s 47th Congressional District on March 5, 2024. Three candidates lead in noteworthy endorsements, fundraising, and media attention: Scott Baugh (R), Dave Min (D), and Joanna Weiss (D).  Incumbent Katie Porter (D) is running for the U.S. Senate. Porter was re-elected in 2022 after defeating Baugh…