Author: Nathan Maxwell
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2025 trifecta vulnerability ratings show New Jersey somewhat vulnerable, Virginia trifecta possible
New Jersey’s Democratic state government trifecta is somewhat vulnerable in 2025, and a new Democratic trifecta in Virginia is a moderate possibility according to Ballotpedia’s 2025 trifecta vulnerability ratings. A state government trifecta occurs when one party holds the governorship and majorities in both state legislative chambers. Ballotpedia’s annual trifecta vulnerability ratings estimate the chances of trifectas…
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Jonathan Curtis and Melinda Lemke won two Wrightstown School Board seats in Wisconsin
Jonathan Curtis and Melinda Lemke defeated Amber Cox and Jeff Nelson for two seats on the seven-member Wrightstown Community School District Board of Education in Wisconsin on April 1, 2025. Lemke received 28.7% of the vote, Curtis received 25.4%, Cox received 23.3%, and Nelson received 22.7%. Curtis and Lemke, an incumbent, ran a joint campaign…
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Two Pennsylvania legislative districts swing toward Democrats, continuing 2025 trend
In two Pennsylvania state legislative special elections on March 25, Democrats continued a trend of winning a larger share of the vote than compared to the 2024 presidential election in several districts. The party has improved in 12 of the 14 contested partisan special elections for state legislature nationwide this year. Democrats won Pennsylvania State…
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Four candidates are running for two seats on the Wrightstown School Board in Wisconsin
Four candidates are running in the general election for two seats on the seven-member Wrightstown Community School District Board of Education in Wisconsin on April 1, 2025. Incumbents Melinda Lemke and Jeff Nelson and challengers Amber Cox and Jonathan Curtis are running. Lemke and Curtis are running a joint campaign for the two seats up…
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What to know about state legislative seats that changed party control in 2024
In the Nov. 5, 2024, elections, Republicans gained 55 state legislative seats, Democrats lost 54, and Independents and minor party officeholders lost one. That means the overall partisan composition across all 50 state legislatures changed by 0.7% in favor of Republicans. In 2022, the partisan composition changed 0.4% toward Republicans, with Democrats losing four seats,…
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Nine candidates are running in the June 10 Republican primary for Governor of New Jersey
Nine candidates are running in the June 10, 2025, Republican primary for Governor of New Jersey. Gov. Phil Murphy (D) is term-limited, meaning the office is open. The last Republican governor was Chris Christie, who left office in 2018. Rider University’s Micah Rasmussen said, “It has been a long time since it’s been up for grabs, and so, all of our top figures on the Republican…
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Jimmy Patronis (R) won the Jan. 28 special Republican primary in Florida’s 1st Congressional District
Jimmy Patronis (R) defeated nine other candidates in the special Republican primary in Florida’s 1st Congressional District on January 28, 2025. He earned 65.8% of the vote to second-place finisher Joel Rudman’s (R) 10%. The general election is on April 1, 2025. The previous incumbent, Rep. Matt Gaetz (R), resigned from Congress after President Donald…
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What to know about the margins of victory in 2024 state legislative elections
Across all 5,807 state legislative seats up for election in 2024, the average margin of victory was 27.3%. An electoral margin of victory (MOV) is the difference between the share of votes cast for the winning candidate and the second-place candidate in an election. Only races with more than one candidate were included in this…
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Ten candidates are running in the special Republican primary in Florida’s 1st Congressional District
Ten candidates are running in the Republican primary for a special election in Florida’s 1st Congressional District. The primary is on Jan. 28, 2025. The general election is on April 1, 2025. Two candidates—Jimmy Patronis (R) and Joel Rudman (R)—lead in media attention and endorsements. Aaron Dimmock (R), who ran in the 2024 Republican primary…
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203 seats up for election in Pennsylvania House on Nov. 5
Elections for all 203 seats in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives will take place on November 5, 2024. Pennsylvania is one of 44 states holding legislative elections in 2024. Heading into the 2024 elections, Democrats have a 102-101 majority. Democrats gained control of the state House in 2022. Republicans had controlled the chamber since 2011.…