Fifty-three members of Congress—eight senators and 45 representatives—have announced they will not seek re-election this year. Ballotpedia does not include incumbents leaving office early in our analysis of incumbents not running for re-election. Since our June 19 update on congressional incumbents not seeking re-election, there have been no new retirement announcements. The last incumbent to…
As of July 12, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market shows former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.62, Vice President Kamala Harris at $0.23, and President Joe Biden (D) at $0.21. Trump has held the lead in this market since May 16, 2024. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The…
There are 284 candidates running in Minnesota’s August 13 House primaries. Among them are 141 Democrats and 143 Republicans. This was the first time since 2014 that there were more Republicans running for the State House than Democrats. The average number of candidates running in primary elections for the State House from 2010 to 2022…
This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Minnesota was June 4, 2024. Twenty-nine candidates are running for Minnesota’s eight U.S. House districts, including 14 Democrats and 15 Republicans. That’s an average of 3.63 candidates per district. There were 4.00 candidates per district in 2022, 4.63 candidates per district in 2020 and 4.75…
This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Alaska was June 1, 2024. Twelve candidates are running for Alaska’s At-Large Congressional District, including two Democrats, four Republicans, two non-major party candidates, three nonpartisan candidates, and one undeclared candidate. Twenty-two candidates ran in 2022, six candidates ran in 2020, and seven ran in 2018.…
Incumbent Vern Buchanan (R) and Eddie Speir (R) are running in the Republican primary for Florida’s 16th Congressional District on August 20, 2024. Buchanan was first elected to the U.S. House in 2006. He defeated his two most recent primary challengers, James Satcher in 2016 and Martin Hyde in 2022, by 61 and 72 percentage…
Incumbent Michelle Steel (R) and Derek Tran (D) are running in the general election on Nov. 5, 2024, in California’s 45th Congressional District. California’s 45th is one of 19 U.S. House districts that Joe Biden (D) won in 2020 and has a Republican incumbent today. That year, Biden defeated Donald Trump (R) 52.1%–46.0% in the…
Elizabeth Martinez Strauss (D) and Andrew Warren (D) are running in the Democratic primary for Hillsborough County State Attorney in Florida on Aug. 20, 2024. The primary is taking place after Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) removed Warren from office in August 2022. The governor suspended Warren after Warren signed a pledge not to prosecute crimes…
Rebecca Cooke (D), Katrina Shankland (D), and Eric Wilson (D) are running in the Democratic primary for Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District on August 13, 2024. Incumbent Derrick Van Orden (R) is running for re-election. Wisconsin TV station WEAU’s political analyst John Frank called the third district “the purplest of the purple” of Wisconsin’s congressional districts,…
Incumbent Eric Sorensen (D) and Joseph G. McGraw (R) are running in the general election in Illinois’ 17th Congressional District on Nov. 5, 2024. Sorensen was first elected in 2022, defeating Esther Joy King (R) 52.0%–48.0%. In 2020, Joe Biden (D) defeated Donald Trump (R) in the district 52.7%–44.9%. As of Jun. 21, 2024, The…