Four candidates are running in the Democratic primary for Missouri’s 1st Congressional District on Aug. 6, 2024. Incumbent Cori Bush (D) and Wesley Bell (D) lead in media attention and endorsements. The general election is Nov. 5, 2024. Bush, a progressive Democrat, was first elected to the district in 2020. She defeated then-incumbent William Lacy Clay(D) in the Democratic primary, 48.5% to 45.6%,…
Four candidates are running in the Republican primary for the U.S. Senate in Michigan—Justin Amash (R), Sherry O’Donnell (R), Sandy Pensler (R), and Mike Rogers (R). Three candidates lead in campaign finance and media attention: Amash, Pensler, and Rogers. Incumbent Debbie Stabenow (D), who was first elected in 2000, is not running for re-election. Michigan pollster Richard Czuba told Michigan Bridge, “It’s going to become a particularly nasty race, from…
Three candidates are running in the Democratic primary for New Hampshire’s 2nd Congressional District—Maggie Goodlander (D), John Neenos (D), and Colin Van Ostern (D). Two candidates lead in media attention: Goodlander and Van Ostern. Incumbent Rep. Annie Kuster (D), who was first elected in 2012, is not running for re-election. New Hampshire Public Radio’s Josh Rogers said, “So far in this race, there’s…
Massachusetts has 33 contested state legislative primaries on September 3, 2024, the fewest since Ballotpedia started tracking in 2010. There are 27 contested Democratic primaries and six contested Republican primaries. For both parties that is below the average from 2010 to 2022. The average number of contested Democratic primaries was 36.9 and the average number…
Throughout June, Ballotpedia covered 5,065 elections in 25 states, 76% of which were uncontested. That’s up from May when 70% of the 5,799 covered were uncontested. Ballotpedia defines an uncontested election as one where the number of candidates running is less than or equal to the number of seats up for election. This analysis does…
Voters in six states—Colorado, Florida, Maryland, New York, Nevada, and South Dakota—will decide on abortion-related ballot measures in Nov. 2024. Initiatives are also proposed in five additional states. On June 28, a ballot initiative to provide a state constitutional right to an abortion was certified for the ballot in Nevada. Around 128,000 signatures were verified…
In Ohio, the campaign behind a citizen-initiated constitutional amendment to create a Citizens Redistricting Commission submitted signatures on July 1, 2024. Voters would decide the ballot initiative on Nov. 5, 2024. The initiative would replace the current Ohio Redistricting Commission with the Citizens Redistricting Commission. Currently, the Ohio Redistricting Commission has seven members, including the…
As of July 2, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market shows former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.56, President Joe Biden (D) at $0.31, and California Governor Gavin Newsom (D) at $0.10. Trump has held the lead in this market since May 16, 2024. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price.…
Two candidates are running in the Republican primary for Attorney General of Missouri on August 6, 2024—incumbent Andrew Bailey (R) and Will Scharf (R). The Kansas City Star’s Jonathan Shorman and Kacen Bayless wrote, “With few sharp policy differences, the two candidates are trying to outfox each other in their support for [former President Donald Trump].” Schmitt and Parson endorsed Bailey. Club…
At the end of June, approval polling averages showed President Joe Biden (D) at 40% approval. Fifty-six percent of voters disapproved of his performance. This was the same approval rating he received at the end of May. Throughout June, Biden’s approval rating fluctuated between 39% and 40%. The lowest approval rating he’s received during his…