Voters in six states—Colorado, Florida, Maryland, New York, Nevada, and South Dakota—will decide on abortion-related ballot measures in Nov. 2024. Initiatives are also proposed in five additional states. On June 28, a ballot initiative to provide a state constitutional right to an abortion was certified for the ballot in Nevada. Around 128,000 signatures were verified…
In Ohio, the campaign behind a citizen-initiated constitutional amendment to create a Citizens Redistricting Commission submitted signatures on July 1, 2024. Voters would decide the ballot initiative on Nov. 5, 2024. The initiative would replace the current Ohio Redistricting Commission with the Citizens Redistricting Commission. Currently, the Ohio Redistricting Commission has seven members, including the…
As of July 2, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market shows former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.56, President Joe Biden (D) at $0.31, and California Governor Gavin Newsom (D) at $0.10. Trump has held the lead in this market since May 16, 2024. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price.…
Two candidates are running in the Republican primary for Attorney General of Missouri on August 6, 2024—incumbent Andrew Bailey (R) and Will Scharf (R). The Kansas City Star’s Jonathan Shorman and Kacen Bayless wrote, “With few sharp policy differences, the two candidates are trying to outfox each other in their support for [former President Donald Trump].” Schmitt and Parson endorsed Bailey. Club…
At the end of June, approval polling averages showed President Joe Biden (D) at 40% approval. Fifty-six percent of voters disapproved of his performance. This was the same approval rating he received at the end of May. Throughout June, Biden’s approval rating fluctuated between 39% and 40%. The lowest approval rating he’s received during his…
Wisconsin has 50 contested state legislative primaries in 2024, an increase of 32% from 2022. Twenty-three of these primaries are for Democrats, a 156% increase from nine in 2022. Twenty-seven primaries are for Republicans, a decrease of seven percent from 29 in 2022. A new high of 27 incumbents face primary challenges, representing 31% of…
This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Massachusetts was June 4, 2024. Thirteen candidates are running for Massachusetts’ nine U.S. House districts, including nine Democrats and four Republicans. That’s an average of 1.44 candidates per district. There was an average of 2.11 candidates per district in 2022, 3.00 candidates per district in…
This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Kansas was June 3, 2024. Fifteen candidates are running for Kansas’ four U.S. House districts, including five Democrats and 10 Republicans. That’s an average of 3.75 candidates per district. There was an average of 2.25 candidates per district in 2022, 4.75 candidates per district in…
This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Hawaii was June 4, 2024. Five candidates are running for Hawaii’s two U.S. House districts, including three Democrats and two Republicans. That’s an average of 2.5 candidates per district. There was an average of 6.5 candidates per district in 2022, 9.5 candidates per district in…
Incumbent Chris Deluzio (D) and Rob Mercuri (R) are running in the general election for Pennsylvania’s 17th Congressional District on November 5, 2024. Deluzio was first elected in 2022 when he defeated Jeremy Shaffer (R) 53.4% to 45.6%. For the 2024 election, the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) is supporting Mercuri and targeting the district…