Category: 2024 elections
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2.5% of state legislative incumbents who ran for re-election have lost in primaries
So far this year, 25 state legislative incumbents — eight Democrats and 17 Republicans — have lost to primary challengers. Click here to read our previous report. Across the eight states that have held primaries, 2.5% of incumbents running for re-election have lost, which is less than at this point in 2022 (4.1%). Republican incumbents…
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Joe Biden (D) maintains lead in PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market
As of May 8, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market shows President Joe Biden (D) at $0.50 and former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.47. Biden has held the lead in this market since March 31, 2024. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which rises and falls…
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U.S. Sen. Mike Braun (R-Ind) wins Indiana gubernatorial Republican primary
On May 7, Mike Braun (R) won the Republican primary election for governor of Indiana with 39.5% of the vote. Braun defeated Lt. Gov. Suzanne Crouch (R), who finished in second with 21.9%, as well as Brad Chambers (R), Eric Doden (R), Curtis Hill (R), and Jamie Reitenour (R). Incumbent Gov. Eric Holcomb (R) was…
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Second Fewest Number of Retiring Incumbents in North Dakota Legislature since 2010
There are 69 state legislative seats up for election this year in North Dakota. Across those, eight incumbents (one Democrat and seven Republicans) did not file to run for re-election. All eight of those retirements came from state senators, while all House incumbents are running for reelection. Since Ballotpedia began tracking this data in 2010,…
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Illinois voters to decide on three advisory questions in 2024
Illinois Governor J. B. Pritzker (D) approved three non-binding advisory questions referred by the state legislature to appear on the 2024 ballot. This is the first time since 2014 that Illinois voters will decide on three statewide advisory questions on the ballot, which is the maximum number of advisory questions that can be placed on…
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Thirty-two candidates are running for Colorado’s eight U.S. House districts—a decade-high
This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Colorado was March 19, 2024. Thirty-two candidates are running for Colorado’s eight U.S. House districts, including 12 Democrats and 20 Republicans. That’s 4.00 candidates per district, more than in the previous three election cycles. There were 3.75 candidates per district in 2022, 2.28 candidates per…
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Six Tennessee U.S. House primaries are contested this year—a decade-low
This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Tennessee was April 4, 2024. Thirty-one candidates are running for Tennessee’s nine U.S. House districts, including 19 Democrats and 12 Republicans. That’s 3.4 candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 4.0 candidates per district in 2022, 5.0 candidates per…
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Kelly Daughtry (R) suspends campaign in North Carolina’s 13th Congressional District, leaving Brad Knott (R) as presumptive nominee
Kelly Daughtry (R) suspended her campaign for North Carolina’s 13th Congressional District on May 2, 2024, leaving Brad Knott (R) as the presumptive nominee. Daughtry and Knott are the two candidates on the ballot in the May 14, 2024, primary runoff. Daughtry and Knott advanced from the March 5 primary with 27.4% and 18.7% of…
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Six candidates are running in the Republican primary in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District
Six candidates are running in the Republican primary in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District on July 30, 2024. Five lead in endorsements, polling, fundraising, and local media attention: Trent Franks (R), Abraham Hamadeh (R), Anthony Kern (R), Blake Masters (R), and Ben Toma (R). Incumbent Debbie Lesko (R) is not running for re-election, leaving the district…
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Biden led in PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market for entire month of April
As of April 30, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market shows President Joe Biden (D) at $0.53 and former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.45. Biden has held the lead in this market since March 31, 2024. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which rises and falls…