Category: 2024 elections
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Trump maintains lead in 2024 Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt market
As of July 4, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 52%, followed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) at 22%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In…
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President Joe Biden at 42% approval at end of June, same as last month
At the end of June, approval polling averages showed President Joe Biden (D) at 42% approval. Fifty-four percent of voters disapproved of his performance. Throughout June, Biden’s approval rating fluctuated between 41% and 42%. The lowest approval rating he’s received is 38%, last seen on July 27, 2022. The highest approval rating Biden has received…
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Trump leads in 2024 Republican presidential primary RealClearPolitics polling average and PredictIt market
As of June 26, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 52%, followed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) at 22%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In…
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Number of U.S. senators not running for re-election in 2024 tied with this point in the 2022 cycle
The number of senators not running for re-election in 2024 is tied with the number who had announced they would not run at this point in the 2022 cycle, and higher than the numbers for 2020 and 2018. On the House side, the number of members not running is lower than the number at this…
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86 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week
Eighty-six people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, three more than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Forty of those candidates were Democratic, while 37 were Republican. Nine are minor-party candidates. Fifty-two candidates are running for Congress, 17 for state legislatures, and 17…
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The 2024 election calendar continues to take shape
The 2024 November election is quickly approaching, and the presidential primary calendar is continuing to take shape. As of June 22, 2023, thirty states have confirmed the dates for their 2024 presidential preference primaries through the release of an official election calendar, candidate filing instructions, or an announcement from a state political party. A presidential…
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Three Republican party committees outraised their Democratic counterparts in May for the first time in the 2024 election cycle
As of May 31, 2023, the most recent party committee campaign finance filing deadline, the three committees associated with the Democratic Party have raised a cumulative $127 million for the 2024 election cycle, while the three committees associated with the Republican Party have raised $107 million. The three Democratic committees are the Democratic National Committee…
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Five U.S. Senators have announced they are not running for re-election in 2024
Fifteen members of Congress—five members of the U.S. Senate and ten members of the U.S. House—have announced they would not seek re-election in 2024. This includes 11 Democrats—four in the Senate and seven in the House—as well as four Republicans—U.S. Sen. Mike Braun (R-Ind.) and three House members. The same number of U.S. Senators (5)…
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Trump maintains lead in 2024 Republican presidential primary polling and PredictIt market
As of June 13, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 53%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 22%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…
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35 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week
Thirty-five people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, 27 fewer than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Thirteen of those candidates were Democratic, while 16 were Republican. Six are minor-party candidates. Twenty-eight candidates are running for Congress, three for state legislatures, and four…