Category: 2024 elections
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Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets
As of Jan. 23, 2024, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 66%, followed by former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley (R) at 12% and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 11%. No other…
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85 candidates filed for congressional and statewide offices last week
Eighty-five people declared candidacies for congressional or statewide offices in the past week, 41 more than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Twenty-four of those candidates were Democratic, while 55 were Republican. Six are minor-party candidates or running in nonpartisan races. Fifty-one candidates are running for Congress, 29…
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Five candidates are running in the Republican primary in Texas’ 23rd Congressional District
Five candidates are running in the Republican primary for Texas’ 23rd Congressional District on March 5, 2024. Four lead in fundraising, endorsements, and media attention: incumbent Tony Gonzales (R), Victor Avila (R), Julie Clark (R), and Brandon Herrera (R). The Republican Party of Texas censured Gonzales in March 2023, saying his votes in support of…
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Tom Suozzi (D) and Mazi Pilip (R) running in the special election in New York’s 3rd Congressional District
Tom Suozzi (D) and Mazi Pilip (R) are running in a special election in New York’s 3rd Congressional District on Feb. 13, 2024. The election was called after members of the U.S. House expelled former-Rep. George Santos (R) on Dec. 1, 2023. Suozzi represented an earlier version of the district from 2017 to 2023 and…
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Ten candidates are running in the top-two primary in California’s 31st Congressional District
Ten candidates are running in the top-two primary for California’s 31st Congressional District on March 5, 2024. Five lead in endorsements, media attention, and fundraising: Bob Archuleta (D), Gil Cisneros (D), Gregory Hafif (D), Mary Ann Lutz (D), and Susan Rubio (D). Four of the five are elected officials. Incumbent Grace Napolitano (D) is not…
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Thirty-six candidates are running for Alabama’s seven U.S. House districts—a decade-high
This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Alabama was Nov. 10, 2023. Thirty-six candidates are running for Alabama’s seven U.S. House districts, including 15 Democrats and 21 Republicans. That’s 5.14 candidates per district, more than in the previous three election cycles. There were 3.14 candidates per district in 2022, 3.57 candidates per…
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Only one contested U.S. House primary in Arkansas in 2024
This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Arkansas was Nov. 14, 2023. Nine candidates filed to run for Arkansas’ four U.S. House districts—four Democrats and five Republicans. That’s 2.25 candidates per district, fewer than the three candidates per district in 2022, but more than the 1.75 candidates in 2020. In 2018, 3.25…
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Six U.S. House districts in California are open this year—the most since 2014
This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in California was Dec. 10, 2023. Two-hundred forty-one candidates filed to run for California’s 52 U.S. House districts, including 125 Democrats, 88 Republicans, and 28 independent or minor party candidates. That’s 4.63 candidates per district. In 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts…
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Eleven candidates are running in the top-two primary in California’s 20th Congressional District
Eleven candidates are running in the top-two primary for California’s 20th Congressional District on March 5, 2024. Three candidates lead in media attention: Mike Boudreaux (R), Vince Fong (R), and David Giglio (R). The primary is taking place after former Rep. Kevin McCarthy’s (R) resignation in December 2023. McCarthy resigned in the wake of an…
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Three candidates running in the Republican primary for governor of North Carolina
Dale Folwell, Bill Graham, and Mark Robinson are running in the Republican primary for governor of North Carolina on March 5, 2024. The general election is on Nov. 5, 2024. Incumbent Roy Cooper (D) is term-limited. The National Review’s Audrey Feinberg wrote, “North Carolina’s gubernatorial race is shaping up to be one of the most expensive and…