Category: Federal
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U.S. weekly unemployment insurance claims fall to 186,000
New applications for U.S. unemployment insurance benefits fell 6,000 for the week ending January 21 to a seasonally adjusted 186,000. The previous week’s figure was revised up from 190,000 to 192,000. The four-week moving average as of January 21 fell to 197,500 from a revised 206,750 as of the week ending January 14. The number…
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Federal Register weekly update: Tops 5000 pages
The Federal Register is a daily journal of federal government activity that includes presidential documents, proposed and final rules, and public notices. It is a common measure of an administration’s regulatory activity, accounting for both regulatory and deregulatory actions. From January 23 through January 27, the Federal Register grew by 1,810 pages for a year-to-date…
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More U.S. House elections decided by MOVs of five percentage points or less in 2022 than in 2020
In 2022, 40 U.S. House elections were decided by margins of victory of five percentage points (pp) or less, up from 37 in 2020. Democrats won 22 of those races, up from 19 in 2020. Republicans won 18, the same number as in 2020. California and New York each had five races decided by five…
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DeSantis leads PredictIt’s 2024 general presidential election market
As of January 23, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) leading at $0.31, followed by President Joe Biden (D) at $0.29, former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.21, and California Governor Gavin Newsom (D) at $0.12. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which…
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Federal Register weekly update: 468 documents added
The Federal Register is a daily journal of federal government activity that includes presidential documents, proposed and final rules, and public notices. It is a common measure of an administration’s regulatory activity, accounting for both regulatory and deregulatory actions. From January 16 through January 20, the Federal Register grew by 1,410 pages for a year-to-date…
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18% of Congressional elections were decided by fewer than 10 points
In the 2022 U.S. Senate and U.S. House elections, the winning candidate’s margin of victory (MOV) was ten percentage points or fewer in 85 races and five percentage points or fewer in 46 races. Ten of the races decided by ten percentage points or fewer were for the U.S. Senate, and 75 were for the…
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District court affirms president’s authority to increase federal contractor minimum wage
Judge John J. Tuchi of the U.S. District Court for the District of Arizona on January 6, 2023, rejected a challenge from a coalition of states and held that President Joe Biden (D) did not exceed his authority when he issued an executive order directing the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) to promulgate regulations increasing…
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2024 presidential candidate filings currently at third-highest level in forty years
Five hundred and thirty-one people have filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) to run for president in 2024 as of January 17. The list includes 77 Democratic candidates (14.5%), 145 Republican candidates (27.3%), and 309 nonpartisan or minor party candidates (58.2%). This figure excludes candidates whose filings have expired or who we identified as…
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PredictIt markets show Joe Biden and Ron DeSantis at even odds in the 2024 presidential election
As of January 17, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows incumbent Joe Biden (D) tied with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.31. At this time last week, Biden led DeSantis by $0.03. Former President Donald Trump’s (R) share price has risen over the last week, going from $0.16 to $0.20. No other candidate has…
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Federal Register weekly update: 2,500 pages added so far in 2023
The Federal Register is a daily journal of federal government activity that includes presidential documents, proposed and final rules, and public notices. It is a common measure of an administration’s regulatory activity, accounting for both regulatory and deregulatory actions. From January 9 through January 13, the Federal Register grew by 1,368 pages for a year-to-date…