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Ballotpedia’s Daily Brew: The longest-running trifecta

Today’s Brew identifies those states that have rarely seen recent changes in their trifecta status + announces our newest Learning Journey  
The Daily Brew
Welcome to the Wednesday, July 24, Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:

  1. One state—Utah—has been a GOP trifecta since 1985
  2. Introducing our newest Learning Journey on deference
  3. Today! Our briefing on the Supreme Court and the administrative state

Utah has had 34 straight years of trifecta control – the longest active streak in the nation

As I’ve talked about often in the Brew, a state government trifecta describes when one political party holds the governorship and majorities in both state legislative chambers. While most states have seen at least one change in their trifecta status within the last 20 years, five states—Nebraska, Idaho, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Utah—have not had a trifecta change since at least 1999. In Utah, Republicans have controlled the governor’s office, House, and Senate since 1985.

Three more fast facts about trifectas:

  • Four states—Colorado, Illinois, Nevada, and New Hampshire— have seen their trifecta status change twice since 2014. Colorado and Illinois both went from having a Democratic trifecta to divided government in 2014 and back to a Democratic trifecta in 2018. Nevada went from a Republican trifecta to divided government in 2016 and to a Democratic trifecta in 2018. New Hampshire went from divided government to a Republican trifecta in 2016 and back to divided government in 2018.

  • Heading into the 2010 elections, there were 25 total trifectas—16 Democratic and nine Republican—in the United States.

  • There have been 62 trifecta changes since 2010.

In 2019, elections could determine the trifecta status of five states—Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey, and Virginia. Kentucky and Mississippi are Republican trifectas while New Jersey is a Democratic one. Louisiana and Virginia have a divided government, and in both states, Republicans control the legislature and Democrats the governorship.

There are currently 36 state government trifectas—14 Democratic and 22 Republican—and 14 states with divided government. The 14 states that are governed by Democratic trifectas include 34.4% of the U.S. population, and 41.9% of the U.S. population lives in the 22 states governed by Republican trifectas.

Trifectas

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Briefing: SCOTUS 2018-2019 term and the administrative state
Now that the U.S. Supreme Court has issued rulings in the 69 cases the court heard this term, let’s look back on the rulings impacting the administrative state. 


Introducing our newest Learning Journey on deference 

We’re excited to debut our eighth Learning Journey. As a refresher, our Learning Journeys give you a series of daily emails with information, examples, and exercises to help you broaden your knowledge of U.S. government and politics and help you understand each aspect of a particular concept.

Our most recent journey is on judicial deference. In the context of administrative law, deference applies when a federal court yields to an agency’s interpretation of either a statute that Congress instructed the agency to administer or a regulation promulgated by the agency.

Our Learning Journey here is a 4-day overview of deference in the context of the administrative state. We cover the most commonly applied federal deference doctrines—including Chevron deference, Auer deference, and Skidmore deference—and examine the different approaches to deference in the states. Our journey also features leading support and opposition arguments from administrative law scholars, a look at the future of deference, and various reform proposals. Auer deference—which requires courts to accept an agency’s interpretation of its own ambiguous regulation—was the key principle considered in the Supreme Court’s review of Kisor v. Wilkie this past term.

Last week, we introduced a Learning Journey on judicial review, which refers to the power of courts to interpret the law and overturn any legislative or executive actions that are inconsistent with the law. The concept of judicial review dates back to the Supreme Court’s decision in Marbury v. Madison in 1803, which held that “a legislative act contrary to the constitution is not law.” Judicial review is a key concept in administrative law and deference is a principle of judicial review.

If you want to learn more about these principles, taking one of our Learning Journeys is a smart—and free—way to do so. Just click the link below to get started.

Our briefing on the Supreme Court and the administrative state is today

Later this morning I will be hosting a free Ballotpedia briefing looking back on the Supreme Court’s most recent term. We’ll provide an overview of the term just ended and look ahead to some of the cases and issues that are already on the docket for the 2019-20 term. And we’ll focus in particular on the Court’s rulings from last term that affect the administrative state, involving principles such as deference, judicial review, and the nondelegation doctrine.

We’ve just about wrapped up our preparations for today’s webinar, and I have to admit, I’m genuinely excited about the topics we’ll be discussing. These administrative law principles affect how our three branches of government—executive, judicial, and legislative—interact to shape public policy, and the discussion of these Supreme Court cases provide real-life examples of those principles in action.

The briefing starts at 11 am CST. I hope you can join us in a few hours for this very informative and interesting session. There are still spaces available—click the link below to reserve your spot. And if you cannot make it—signup and you’ll receive an email with the recording.

Ballotpedia depends on the support of our readers.

The Lucy Burns Institute, publisher of Ballotpedia, is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization. All donations are tax deductible to the extent of the law. Donations to the Lucy Burns Institute or Ballotpedia do not support any candidates or campaigns.
 


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Biden calls for decriminalizing marijuana and eliminating private prisons at federal level

 

Ballotpedia's Daily Presidential News Briefing

July 23, 2019: Joe Biden released his criminal justice platform on Tuesday. Kamala Harris introduced two bills on water infrastructure and marijuana-related offenses.


 

Which presidential election had the highest estimated voter turnout?

Notable Quote of the Day

“Since entering the presidential race, Ms. Warren has taken pictures with more than 38,000 people, her campaign estimates. Ms. Warren says the photos are part of her effort to build what she likes to call a ‘grass-roots movement.’ …

Other Democratic candidates also take pictures with voters, even if they lack the well-orchestrated selfie line that Ms. Warren employs. Senator Bernie Sanders recently started forming a selfie line at his events. Mayor Pete Buttigieg’s campaign has promised photos to people who spring for $500 or $1,000 tickets to some grass-roots fund-raisers. …

In a primary race where Democrats have two dozen candidates to choose from, a personal moment with the candidate can make a difference.”

– Thomas Kaplan, Tamir Kalifa, and Eden Weingart, The New York Times 

Democrats

  • Rep. Eddie Bernice Johnson endorsed Joe Biden Monday, becoming the sixth member of the Congressional Black Caucus to do so. 

  • Biden issued his criminal justice platform Tuesday. He proposes treating rather than incarcerating addicts, increasing funding for drug courts, eliminating sentencing disparities between crack and cocaine cases, and ending the use of private prisons at the federal level. His plan also calls for decriminalizing marijuana, expunging marijuana-related offenses, and categorizing marijuana as a schedule II drug.

  • Bill de Blasio criticized Con Edison’s handling of the heatwave in New York City following outages over the past two weekends. He said its response “would be absolutely unacceptable if it were a public entity.”

  • In an interview on Late Night with Seth Meyers, Cory Booker spoke about today’s political climate and the U.S. Senate.

  • Steve Bullock launched his official campaign merchandise shop.

  • Pete Buttigieg proposed raising the maximum annual earnings subject to the Social Security payroll tax from $132,900 to $250,000 to keep the program solvent.

  • John Delaney participated in the “20 Questions for 2020” series on NowThisNews, discussing climate change, unions, and Trump’s businesses.

  • In an interview on The ViewTulsi Gabbard discussed Puerto Rico and her concern with decriminalizing unauthorized border crossings.

  • In response to a report in The New Yorker about Sen. Al Franken, Kirsten Gillibrand said she did not regret calling for Franken’s resignation following sexual misconduct allegations.

  • Kamala Harris introduced the Water Justice Act Monday, which would call for $250 billion to be spent on water infrastructure and clean and safe drinking water programs.

  • Harris will also introduce the Marijuana Opportunity Reinvestment and Expungement Act Tuesday to decriminalize marijuana, expunge past marijuana-related convictions, and bar the deportation of immigrants based on a marijuana charge.

  • John Hickenlooper posted a digital ad highlighting his experience owning a brewery and serving as governor of Colorado.

  • Jay Inslee attended a forum hosted by several Democratic clubs in Palisades, California.

  • In a Washington Post Live interviewAmy Klobuchar discussed the Affordable Care Act, climate change, and immigration.

  • Seth Moulton spoke about national security and election security, climate change, and cyber issues in an interview on the Evening Beat.

  • Beto O’Rourke toured Ellis Island and hosted a “Bands with Beto” campaign event in New York Monday.

  • The Associated Press profiled the communications network Bernie Sanders has created as an alternative to traditional media.

  • Joe Sestak campaigned in Iowa, speaking to the Clarke County Democrats Monday.

  • Tom Steyer spoke about his policy priorities, diplomatic ties, gun violence, and other issues on WBUR’s Foresight.

  • In a post to Medium, Elizabeth Warren predicted an economic crisis would develop unless the U.S. took several preventive steps. She called for reducing household debt, enforcing leveraged lending guidance, strengthening manufacturing by investing in green research, and eliminating or automatically raising the debt ceiling. 

  • Marianne Williamson discussed establishing a Department of Peace during an interview on The Late Show with Stephen Colbert.

  • In his plan for veterans, Andrew Yang proposed allowing veterans to receive relevant civilian certifications without additional licensing and providing in-state tuition at any public school in any state. Yang also called for increasing funding for veterans crisis lines and changing the Veterans Affairs healthcare network.

Republicans

  • Donald Trump’s eldest son, Donald Trump Jr., is writing a book titled Triggered: How the Left Thrives on Hate and Wants to Silence Us. It will be released on November 5, 2019, roughly one year before the 2020 presidential election.

  • Bill Weld continued to campaign in New Hampshire, speaking at the Manchester Rotary Monday.

Flashback: July 23, 2015

Donald Trump toured the U.S.-Mexico border in Laredo, Texas.

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Ballotpedia’s Daily Brew: We’re looking for interns to join our team!

 Today’s Brew debuts Ballotpedia’s fall internship program + provides an overview of Memphis’ municipal elections  
The Daily Brew
Welcome to the Tuesday, July 23, Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:

  1. Let’s be coworkers! Apply to Ballotpedia’s internship program
  2. Fewer candidates running for mayor, city council in Memphis compared with 2015
  3. Federal Register surpasses the 35,000-page mark for 2019

Let’s be co-workers! Apply to Ballotpedia’s internship program

We are looking for interns for our Fall 2019 program. Pass this along to anyone you know who might be interested. We are looking for Editorial, Communications, and Tech interns.

As an intern, you will go through a similar onboarding experience to full-time Ballotpedia employees. You will learn how to publish content on Ballotpedia, learn about all we do to prevent and detect bias in our resources, and much more. Following orientation, you will join the Editorial, Communications, or Tech team, working alongside staff members. Here’s a quick rundown of what you need to know about our program.

  • Ballotpedia’s Fall 2019 internship program will run from Monday, August 26 through Friday, December 13. 

  • The internship is a part-time program; interns will work approximately 20 hours per week depending on their availability. 

  • Ballotpedia is happy to facilitate credit for your internship experience if that is available to you. If you will be seeking credit for your internship, and if there is anything that Ballotpedia will need to do to assist you, please include that information in the same file as your cover letter.

  • Several current full-time employees at Ballotpedia started as interns. 

Apply here

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Beyond the Headlines

Now that SCOTUS has wrapped up their 2018-2019 term, let’s look back at how many cases the court heard, how many were overturned, and how the justices ruled. Watch the latest Beyond the Headlines video now


Fewer candidates running for mayor, city council in Memphis compared with 2015 

The filing deadline to run for both mayor and all 13 city council seats passed last week in Memphis, Tennessee. The city is holding general elections on October 3. Memphis is the largest city in Tennessee and the 20th-largest city in the U.S. by population.

Incumbent mayor Jim Strickland faces nine challengers in his bid for a second term. Strickland—who was first elected to Memphis’ city council in 2007—defeated then-Mayor A.C. Wharton in 2015. I don’t live in Memphis, but as a political observer here are a few facts I found interesting when I was talking with our team about the election. 

  • Memphis has two sets of district boundaries for its city council. It has seven regular council districts, with one member elected from each. It is also divided in half to form two super districts that elect an additional three representatives each.

  • As of July 19, 42 candidates had qualified to run for city council, and the applications for another four were still being verified—an average of 3.54 candidates per seat.  Twenty-four candidates are running for the regular council seats and six of seven incumbents are seeking re-election. Twenty-two candidates filed for the six super district seats, including three incumbents. 

  • In the most recent regular election for city council in 2015, 60 candidates ran—an average of 4.62 candidates per seat. That year, all seven incumbents who ran for re-election won.

In the 100 largest cities in the country from 2014 to 2018, 16 of 96 mayors—16.7%—and 127 of 1,002—12.7%—were defeated in their bids for re-election.

Federal Register surpasses the 35,000-page mark for 2019

Here’s something we track regularly at Ballotpedia, but we haven’t provided an update about in the Brew for a few months. Each week, we monitor page counts and other information about the Federal Register as part of our Administrative State Project. The Federal Register is a daily journal of federal government activity that includes presidential documents, proposed and final rules, and public notices. It is a common measure of an administration’s regulatory activity.

Last week, the number of pages in the Federal Register increased by 1,312 pages, bringing the year-to-date total to 35,002 pages. During the same week in 2018, the number of pages in the Federal Register increased by 1,994 pages for a year-to-date total of 34,752 pages. As of July 19, the 2019 total was more than the 2018 total by 250 pages.

The Trump administration has added an average of 1,207 pages to the Federal Register each week in 2019 as of July 19. Over the course of 2018, the Trump administration added an average of 1,301 pages to the Federal Register each week. During the Obama administration, the Federal Register increased by an average of 1,658 pages per week.

Our Administrative State Project includes information about the administrative and regulatory activities of the United States government as well as concepts, laws, court cases, executive orders, scholarly work, and other material related to the administrative state. You can get an introduction to some of these principles by joining our free briefing tomorrow on how this term’s Supreme Court rulings affect the administrative state. There’s still time to register by clicking here.

And to stay up to date on actions at both the federal and state level related to rulemaking, the separation of powers, and due process, subscribe to our monthly Checks and Balancesnewsletter.

 

 



Klobuchar reaches polling threshold for third debate

 Ballotpedia's Daily Presidential News Briefing

July 22, 2019: Amy Klobuchar reached 2 percent support or more in a fourth qualifying poll for the third Democratic presidential debate. Tulsi Gabbard traveled to Puerto Rico to protest Gov. Ricardo Rosselló.



There are 12 new candidates running since last week, including two Republicans. In total, 791 individuals are currently filed with the FEC to run for president.

Notable Quote of the Day

“Their [Iowa] trips highlighted that Warren and Sanders are betting their candidacies on divergent strategies, and they believe they can grow in different areas. Warren, faced with questions of electability, is trying to show her message appeals in unlikely places. Sanders, meanwhile, is fishing for votes among older Iowans more likely to support former vice president Joe Biden.”

– Annie Linskey, The Washington Post national political reporter

Democrats

  • The Des Moines Register and AARP hosted a series of five forums in Iowa last week. Steve BullockPete Buttigieg, and Bernie Sanders participated in Saturday’s event in Council Bluffs, Iowa.
  • Michael Bennet campaigned in New Hampshire Friday and Saturday.
  • Joe Biden visited Las Vegas Saturday, marking his second trip to the Nevada city since launching his 2020 presidential campaign. During the trip, he said that young Democrats were “not a generation of socialists.”
  • Nicholas Burns, who served on the National Security Council staff under the Bush and Clinton administrations, joined the Biden campaign as an adviser.
  • Bill de BlasioJulián Castro, and Elizabeth Warren have added gender pronouns to their Twitter campaign bios, which is a common practice among the transgender community and its supporters.
  • Cory Booker visited the San Diego Comic-Con Friday and criticized Donald Trump’s rhetoric against four minority congresswoman Sunday, comparing him to segregationist George Wallace.
  • Tulsi Gabbard traveled to Puerto Rico to join protests calling for the resignation of Puerto Rico Gov. Ricardo Rosselló. 
  • The Associated Press profiled the state of Kirsten Gillibrand’s campaign and her “Trump Broken Promises Tour.”
  • The Mike Gravel campaign called on John DelaneyJohn Hickenlooper, and Tim Ryan to withdraw from the presidential race since none of them qualified for the debates via grassroots fundraising while Gravel had met that threshold.
  • Kamala Harris campaigned in California Friday, including attending an event hosted by Electing Women Bay Area.
  • Hickenlooper appeared on WMUR’s CloseUp in New Hampshire, where he discussed fundraising and why he wanted to remain in the race.
  • In the Daily Kos series Making ProgressJay Inslee spoke about climate change and low-income communities, healthcare, and white nationalism.
  • Amy Klobuchar reached 2 percent support or more in a fourth qualifying poll for the third Democratic presidential debate in September. Klobuchar’s campaign said she had more than 100,000 contributors and was on pace to meet the donor threshold.
  • Wayne Messam spoke at the Young Democrats of America National Convention Friday.
  • In an interview on CNN, Seth Moulton said “having a racist president who incites the kind of violent lines we saw in North Carolina” is grounds for initiating impeachment proceedings against Trump.
  • In an interview with NBC News, Beto O’Rourke discussed the drop in his campaign’s fundraising and polling and his plan going forward.
  • Sanders said his campaign will limit the hours of staffers to ensure they earn the equivalent of a $15 minimum wage.
  • Joe Sestak wrote an op-ed in The Des Moines Register Saturday on escalating tensions with Iran.
  • The New York Times profiled Tom Steyer‘s presidential campaign and media coverage of his wealth.
  • In an interview on CNN, Marianne Williamson discussed the Trumpadministration, constitutional principles, and Rep. Ilhan Omar.
  • On an episode of Recode Decode with Kara SwisherAndrew Yang discussedinnovation and his critique of calls to break up large tech companies like Amazon, Facebook, and Google.
  • Axios rounded up where the 2020 Democrats stand on Chinese internment camps holding more than 1 million Uighur Muslims in the Xinjiang region.

Republicans

What We’re Reading

Flashback: July 22, 2015

The Federal Election Commission published Donald Trump’s personal financial disclosure records.



Ballotpedia’s Daily Brew: Congressional Democrats try to repeal SALT deduction limits

Today’s Brew highlights efforts to use the Congressional Review Act to repeal IRS regulations + an invitation for you— our Brew readers—to provide us with feedback  
 The Daily Brew
Welcome to the Monday, July 22, Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:

  1. Congress to consider overturning IRS rules limiting state and local tax deductions
  2. Grade Ballotpedia’s coverage of Gavin Newsom and Ron DeSantis
  3. Join us for our July 24 briefing on the Supreme Court and the administrative state

Democrats in Congress attempt to overturn IRS rules limiting state and local tax deductions

The 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act limits the amount a taxpayer can deduct to $10,000 for state and local sales, income, and property taxes—also known as the SALT deduction. After that law was enacted, New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut changed their state tax laws to allow taxpayers to receive state tax credits for making charitable donations—which can be deducted for federal tax purposes—to certain funds in those states. 

The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) issued regulations in June that reduce a taxpayer’s federal charitable tax deduction based on how much of a deduction their state or local governments provide. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) and Representative Mikie Sherrill (D-N.J.) introduced companion resolutions last week under the Congressional Review Act (CRA) which would repeal the IRS’ regulation. As of July 19, these resolutions had attracted 61 Democratic cosponsors and one Republican cosponsor—Rep. Peter King (N.Y.).

The CRA allows Congress to overturn any new regulation created by federal administrative agencies. To repeal any rule, a CRA resolution must be approved by both Houses of Congress and signed by the president.

The CRA was signed into law by President Clinton in 1996 as part of the Small Business Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act. According to the official legislative history of the law, Congress intended to establish a review system to address the complaint that it had allowed federal agencies too much latitude in implementing and interpreting legislation.

Since the law’s creation, 17 out of the over 90,767 rules published in the Federal Register have been repealed. Before 2017, Congress had successfully overturned one rule on workplace ergonomics in 2001. Sixteen federal rules have been repealed using the CRA under the Trump administration. Since 1996, 13 attempts to overturn rules under the CRA either failed to pass both Houses or were vetoed by the president.

Learn more

        

 

Ballotpedia’s July report card

Ballotpedia exists to serve our readers. We want to make it easier for you to receive neutral, unbiased coverage of the American political system. We are always looking for new ways to improve the quality of our content. Today’s idea – asking you, our readers, for some direct feedback! 

The link below contains our articles about Gavin Newsom, the Democratic Governor of California, and Ron DeSantis, the Republican Governor of Florida. Our goal is to provide high-quality, neutral, encyclopedic profiles of these governors that give you a good understanding of each person’s role in the American political system. 

We have created a simple rubric that we hope will make it easy for you, our readers, to provide us feedback. The link has a scale for grading articles based on the extent to which the article falls short of, meets, or exceeds your expectations.

We are so grateful for any time you take to help make Ballotpedia a better encyclopedia.

Please help us out, and tell us what you think

Join us for our July 24 briefing on the Supreme Court and the administrative state

ICYMI—sign up for our free briefing this week looking back on the last SCOTUS term (and a sneak peek to next year). The briefing is on July 24 at 11:00 am CST.

We are just 78 days until the next term begins. If you’re like me, that’s an awfully long time to wait for new oral arguments. 

Fortunately, there are still all of last term’s decisions to be reviewed and analyzed, and at Ballotpedia, we have plenty of folks who love to do just that. The briefing will focus in particular on the Court’s rulings from last term that affect the administrative state. 

This includes the Court’s decision in Kisor v. Wilkie, which considered the question of Auerdeference—that is, whether federal courts should defer to an agency’s reasonable interpretation of its own ambiguous regulations in limited circumstances. Although the Court did not overturn Auer, it’s unanimous decision did place clear limitations on which regulatory interpretations qualify for deference. 

We’ll provide an overview of the Court’s entire term and explore its rulings on principles such as the nondelegation doctrine and judicial review to learn what the Court’s decisions indicate for future administrative law cases. 

If this sounds interesting but you’re concerned that it all sounds very complicated, don’t be. Our experts will walk you through these topics so you’ll have a clear understanding. And when it’s done, just imagine the subjects you can bring up at your next barbeque. It’ll be worth it—click the link below to register and join us.

Learn more→

 



Massachusetts governor proposes amendments to omnibus public-sector labor bill

On July 12, Republican Governor Charlie Baker sent an omnibus public-sector labor bill back to the Democratic state legislature with recommendations for amendments.

  • What does the bill, as adopted, propose? The legislature’s version of H3854 would authorize employers to disclose personal employee information to unions. It would also permit unions to require non-members to pay for the costs associated with grievance and arbitration proceedings. It would require employers to provide unions with access to employees, and it would allow for dues deduction authorizations to be irrevocable for a period of up to one year.
  • What does Baker want to change? In a letter to state legislators, Baker recommended the following changes:
    • Prevent unions from accessing employees’ personal cell phone numbers and using text messages to communicate with members without their written consent.
    • Require unions to give new employees written information explaining their rights to join or refrain from joining a union.
    • Require employees’ written consent before releasing certain information to unions.
    • Require unions to provide notice to state agencies before using buildings for union purposes.
  • What comes next? Lawmakers could adopt an amended version of the bill incorporating some or all of Baker’s proposed changes. Lawmakers could also pass the bill again without making changes. In that case, Baker could veto the bill. A two-thirds vote in both the state House and Senate is required to override the veto. Democrats hold super-majorities (i.e., majorities exceeding the two-thirds necessary for a veto override) in both chambers.

What we’re reading

The big picture

Number of relevant bills by state

We are currently tracking 101 pieces of legislation dealing with public-sector employee union policy. On the map below, a darker shade of green indicates a greater number of relevant bills. Click here for a complete list of all the bills we’re tracking.

Union Station map July 19, 2019.png

Number of relevant bills by current legislative status

Union Station status chart July 19, 2019.png

Number of relevant bills by partisan status of sponsor(s)

Union Station partisan chart July 19, 2019.png

Recent legislative actions

Below is a complete list of legislative actions on relevant bills since the beginning of the year. Bills are listed in alphabetical order, first by state and then by bill number.

  • Massachusetts H3854: This bill would authorize employers to disclose personal employee information to unions. It would also permit unions to require non-members to pay for the costs associated with grievance and arbitration proceedings. It would require employers to provide unions with access to employees, and it would allow for dues deduction authorizations to be irrevocable for a period of up to one year.
    • Governor returned to legislature with amendment July 12.
  • New Hampshire SB18: This bill would allow public employees to authorize voluntary wage deductions for insurance or employee benefits offered in conjunction with their membership in a recognized union.
    • Vetoed July 10.
  • New Hampshire SB148: This bill would require public employers to notify hirees of their right to join or refrain from joining a union. The notification would also include the estimated annual cost of joining a union.
    • Vetoed July 12.


Warren and Sanders set to share debate stage

 Ballotpedia's Daily Presidential News Briefing

July 19, 2019: The lineup for the July 30-31, 2019, debate in Detroit was announced Thursday night. Beto O’Rourke released his Social Security policy proposal.

Each Friday, we’ll highlight a presidential candidate’s key campaign staffer.
Daily Presidential News Briefing - Staffer Spotlight - Maya Rupert

Maya Rupert is a Democratic staffer and policy director who worked under Castro at the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. She has no prior campaign management experience.

Other experience:

  • 2017-2018: Center for Reproductive Rights, senior director for policy and D.C. managing director
  • 2016-2017: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, senior policy advisor
  • 2015: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, chief of staff to the general counsel
  • 2010-2015: National Center for Lesbian Rights, policy director
  • 2007-2010: Sidley Austin LLP, associate

What she says about Castro:

“Every day we talk to more people who are having the exact same reaction: They like these ideas, and they want to make sure that his ideas are the ones getting talked about.”

Notable Quote of the Day

“I don’t think [candidates] decide to get out: It’s decided for them: when their money dries up, when they can’t pay their staff, they can’t pay for travel.

If they’re wealthy like Tom Steyer, I guess that doesn’t matter. But we’re not even there yet, because we haven’t even had the second debate. They’re looking for their moment that they are ‘made’—and then, when that’s over, reality is going to sink in with them, their staffers and their donors.

That’s what creates the psychology that the press and the pundits and the donors ‘don’t know what I know. I know how to win. I’ve done it before. They were all wrong before.’ And it’s hard to argue with that. So they continue running until they run out of fuel.”

– Larry Sabato, University of Virginia Center for Politics

Debate Lineup

CNN announced the lineup for each night of the second presidential primary debatein Detroit, Michigan.

CNN used a random drawing to distribute the 20 presidential candidates who qualified across the two debate segments. 

Here are the candidates for Tuesday, July 30:

The other 10 candidates will debate Wednesday, July 31:

Democrats

  • The Des Moines Register and AARP are hosting a series of five forums in Iowa this week. Beto O’RourkeElizabeth WarrenMarianne Williamson, and Andrew Yang will participate in Friday’s event in Sioux City, Iowa.
  • In an interview on Slate’s The GistMichael Bennet discussed his family plan, the filibuster, and how centrism is represented in politics.
  • Joe BidenPete Buttigieg, and Kamala Harris received more contributions from Hillary Clinton’s and Barack Obama’s top bundlers than any other Democratic candidates, according to a Politico analysis.
  • Bill de Blasio will remain in New York City over the weekend due to an expected heatwave.
  • In a Washington Post Live interviewCory Booker discussed impeachment proceedings, his campaigning style, and Biden’s statements on busing.
  • Steve Bullock will campaign across Iowa Friday and Saturday.
  • Julián Castro will campaign in New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Iowa over the weekend. He said he planned to hire more staff in New Hampshire.
  • Politico interviewed John Delaney about the upcoming debate, social media, government experience, climate change, healthcare, the 2016 presidential election, and other topics.
  • In an interview with The National InterestMike Gravel discussed his presidential campaign, foreign policy, and the debate qualifications. He said his campaign would “make an investigation whether or not the DNC turned my name into these various polls that were being taken.”
  • Bustle interviewed Amy Klobuchar about gun violence and domestic violence, college affordability, abortion, and the Democratic primary.
  • Wayne Messam appeared in Jackson, Mississippi, for the annual National Black Caucus of Local Elected Officials.
  • In an interview on WBUR’s Here & NowSeth Moulton spoke about veterans’ advocacy, House leadership, national security, and healthcare.
  • O’Rourke announced a Social Security policy proposal that would give credits to caregivers to children under 12 and family members with health conditions. The credits, available for up to five years, would be equal to half of the average earnings of a fulltime worker. Fulltime students aged 22 or younger would also be allowed to collect a deceased parent’s Social Security benefits.
  • Some members of the Bernie Sanders campaign, which unionized in March, are lobbying for a $15 hourly wage.
  • Tom Steyer campaigned Thursday in Cleveland, Ohio, where he said he had the experience to confront corporations.

Republicans

What We’re Reading

Flashback: July 19, 2015

Bernie Sanders held a rally in Dallas, Texas. Donald Trump led the Republican primary field in an ABC News/Washington Post poll with 24 percent support.



Ballotpedia’s Daily Brew: Lineup set for second Democratic presidential debate

Today’s Brew highlights which candidates will appear on each night of the next Democratic debate + the status of three veto referendums in Maine  
The Daily Brew
Welcome to the Friday, July 19, Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:

  1. Candidate lineup determined for second Democratic presidential debate
  2. Three veto referendum efforts underway in Maine
  3. Delaware, New York raise age to purchase tobacco from 18 to 21

Candidate lineup determined for second Democratic presidential debate

The candidate lineup for the second Democratic presidential debate July 30 and 31 in Detroit, Michigan. Host network CNN determined the participants in a live, on-air drawing. 

Twenty candidates qualified for the debate, with 10 scheduled to participate each night. Here is the lineup of candidates for each night of the debate.

Here are the candidates for Tuesday, July 30:

  • Steve Bullock

  • Pete Buttigieg

  • John Delaney

  • John Hickenlooper

  • Amy Klobuchar

  • Beto O’Rourke

  • Tim Ryan

  • Bernie Sanders 

  • Elizabeth Warren

  • Marianne Williamson

The other half of the candidates will debate Wednesday, July 31:

  • Michael Bennet

  • Joe Biden

  • Bill de Blasio 

  • Cory Booker

  • Julián Castro

  • Tulsi Gabbard

  • Kirsten Gillibrand

  • Kamala Harris

  • Jay Inslee

  • Andrew Yang

Wayne Messam, Seth Moulton, Joe Sestak, and Tom Steyer did not reach the polling or fundraising qualification requirements for this debate. Mike Gravel achieved the fundraising threshold but did not make the debate stage because tiebreaker rules favored candidates who qualified via polling.

All 25 Democratic candidates will have to meet a new set of debate criteria to appear in the third presidential primary debate in September in Houston.

Candidates must reach 2 percent support or more in four qualifying national or early state polls and receive donations from at least 130,000 unique donors and a minimum of 400 unique donors per state in at least 20 states. Five candidates have qualified so far—Biden, Buttigieg, Harris, Sanders, and Warren.

Subscribers to our Daily Presidential News Briefing got a special email with this information last night. You can be a part of that group—click here to become a subscriber to this free newsletter.

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Three veto referendum efforts underway in Maine 

Three organizations have launched veto referendums in Maine since the legislature adjourned on June 20. A veto referendum is a type of citizen-initiated ballot measure that asks voters whether to uphold or repeal a law passed by the state legislature. Twenty-three states currently have a process for veto referendums at the statewide level. 

  • Mainers for Health and Parental Rights is leading the campaign to overturn Legislative Document 798 (LD 798). LD 798 eliminates religious and philosophical, but not medical, exemptions from vaccination requirements for students to attend schools and colleges and employees of health care facilities. 

    The Maine House of Representatives passed LD 798 by a vote of 79-62.  The state Senate passed it 19-16. Most Democrats—74 out of 88 in the House and 18 of 21 in the Senate—voted in favor. Most Republicans—51 of 56 in the House and 13 of 14 in the Senate—voted against it. 

  • Concerned Women for America of Maine is leading the campaign to overturn Legislative Document 820 (LD 820). LD 820 requires MaineCare—Maine’s Medicaid program—and private insurance companies that provide coverage for maternity services to also cover abortion services. LD 820 also allows religious employers to request an exemption from providing a health care plan that covers abortion services, except to preserve the life or health of the mother.

    The Maine House of Representatives passed LD 1313 by a vote of 82-59 with 79 Democrats and three independents voting in favor and 51 Republicans, six Democrats and 2 independents voting against. The Senate approved the legislation 19-16, with all votes in support coming from Democrats and all 14 Republicans joining two Democrats to oppose it. 

  • The Maine Hospice Council filed a veto referendum against a law that legalized physician-assisted death in the state. Legislative Document 1313 (LD 1313) allows adults suffering from a terminal illness to request medications that can be self-administered to end his or her life. 

    LD 1313 passed by a 73-72 vote in the House. Sixty-eight Democrats joined one Republican and four independents to pass the measure. Fifty-three Republicans joined 17 Democrats and two independents voted against.  The Senate approved the law 19-16, with 18 Democrats and one Republican supporting it, and 13 Republicans and three Democrats opposing the measure.

    Maine became the eighth state to enact a law providing for physician-assisted death. Three of those states—Colorado (2016), Oregon (1994), and Washington (2008)—authorized physician-assisted death through citizen-initiated ballot measures. Voters in Maine rejected a physician-assisted death ballot initiative in 2000, 51.3% to 48.7%. 

The referendum campaigns have until September 18 to collect the 63,067 valid signatures required to earn a spot on the ballot. If the measures are certified, they could appear on the ballot either on November 5, 2019, or June 9, 2020, depending on when signatures are submitted and verified.

Since Maine adopted the referendum process in 1908, there have been 30 veto referendums on the ballot. Voters overturned 18 pieces of legislation and upheld 12. The last veto referendum was in 2018 when voters overturned legislation that would have postponed and repealed ranked-choice voting.

Delaware, New York raise age to purchase tobacco from 18 to 21

A Delaware law increasing the minimum age to purchase tobacco from 18 to 21 took effect July 16, becoming the 9th state to raise the age restriction since 2015.  

Gov. John Carney (D) signed the law April 17 after it passed the state House by a 25-16 vote and the state Senate by a 14-6 vote. 

New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) signed legislation—also on July 16—to raise that state’s minimum age to purchase tobacco from 18 to 21. The bill, which passed the state Assembly by a 120-26 vote and the state Senate by a 52-9 vote, takes effect November 13.

The minimum age to purchase or use tobacco is 18 in 38 states, 19 in three states, and 21 in the remaining nine. Eight states—including New York—that currently have a minimum age of 18 or 19 have enacted legislation that will raise the minimum age to 21. 

Tobacco ages

Tobacco age restrictions can take the form of limits on the sale of tobacco by age, limits on tobacco possession by age, or a combination of the two. New Jersey passed the first law regulating the sale of tobacco by age in 1883, setting a minimum age of 16. By 1920, 46 states had implemented an age limit for tobacco sales, of which 14 set the limit at 21. During the interwar period, state laws trended toward a limit of 18 years, and all states with a minimum age to purchase tobacco of 21 decreased it.

 

 



Trump holds campaign rally in North Carolina

 

Ballotpedia's Daily Presidential News Briefing

July 18, 2019: Donald Trump held a campaign rally in Greenville, North Carolina. Top Democratic advisers Jess O’Connell and Sonal Shah joined Pete Buttigieg’s campaign.

 

Poll Spotlight

Notable Quote of the Day

“The Rust Belt bus tours and campaign cattle calls are far more about lingering post-traumatic stress from the Democrats’ 2016 loss than any current electoral strategy. While the traditionally blue states are likely to be crucial to Democrats in a general election, none of the three are scheduled to hold their primary vote before Super Tuesday, the dozen-state primary that’s widely expected to winnow the field in early March.”

– Lisa Lerer and Reid J. Epstein, The New York Times

Democrats

  • The lineup for the July 30-31, 2019, Democratic primary debate will be determined Thursday night during a live drawing on CNN.

  • D.C. statehood group 51 for 51 announced it was spending six figures on digital and print ads criticizing Michael Bennet for his support of the filibuster, which the group believes is preventing Washington, D.C., from gaining statehood.

  • In an interview on Recode Decode with Kara SwisherBennet spoke about education, tech companies, and privacy.

  • Joe Biden campaigned in Council Bluffs, Iowa, on Wednesday.

  • In a radio interview, Bill de Blasio said that the decision to fire Daniel Pantaleo, the police officer involved in the death of Eric Garner, was not his. He called for due process in the matter.

  • Cory Booker wrote an op-ed in Essence titled “On Trump’s Racist Attacks and How We Fail Women of Color.”

  • Steve Bullock said he opposed providing healthcare to immigrants residing in the U.S. without legal permission in an interview on MSNBC’s Morning Joe.

  • Military Times interviewed Pete Buttigieg about his experience as a veteran and military priorities.

  • Jess O’Connell and Sonal Shah are joining Buttigieg’s campaign as senior adviser and national policy director, respectively. O’Connell was the CEO of the Democratic National Committee in 2017 and Shah was the founding executive director of the Beeck Center for Social Impact and Innovation.

  • Julián Castro will campaign in New Hampshire Thursday and Friday, marking his first visit to the state since May.

  • Kirsten Gillibrand unsuccessfully requested unanimous consent to pass a bill funding the September 11th Victim Compensation Fund Wednesday.

  • The Kamala Harris campaign opened her Nevada state headquarters in Las Vegas Wednesday.

  • In an interview with The Keene Sentinel editorial board, John Hickenlooperdiscussed climate change, healthcare, and artificial intelligence.

  • The Seth Moulton campaign criticized the Democratic National Committee’s criteria for qualifying for the debates and submitted 12 polls where Moulton received 1 percent support that were not on the eligible poll list.

  • Moulton and Tim Ryan voted to table an impeachment resolution against Trump Wednesday. Tulsi Gabbard did not vote.

  • Beto O’Rourke opened a field office in El Paso, Texas.

  • In a speech at George Washington University, Bernie Sanders defended Medicare for All and called on other 2020 Democrats to reject donations from the health insurance and pharmaceutical industry.

  • Elizabeth Warren and Rep. Al Lawson introduced the College Student Hunger Act of 2019, which would make low-income college students eligible for Supplement Nutrition Assistance Program benefits.

  • In an interview on KCRW’s Press PlayMarianne Williamson said she was not the Democratic version of Trump and discussed asylum and immigration laws.

  • Andrew Yang participated in the “20 Questions for 2020” series hosted by NowThisNews. He spoke about Martin Luther King, Jr., Alaska, and tech companies.

Republicans

  • Donald Trump held a campaign rally in Greenville, North Carolina, on Wednesday night. He discussed the economy, unemployment rates, border security, and his criticism of four progressive congresswomen. 

  • Bill Weld will campaign Thursday in Derry, New Hampshire.

General Election Updates

  • Mark Sanford said that if he ran for president, he did not believe that “winning necessarily has to be a goal in this kind of thing.” He said he would want to bring a debate forward on the economy.

Flashback: July 18, 2015

While speaking at the Iowa Family Leadership Summit, Donald Trump criticized John McCain and questioned whether he was a war hero.

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Ballotpedia’s Daily Brew: How often do state legislative recalls actually make it to the ballot?

Today’s Brew highlights the status of recalls against Colorado state legislators + an appeals court panel reverses a lower court ruling that blocked three presidential executive orders  
 The Daily Brew

Welcome to the Thursday, July 18, Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:

  1. Colorado state Senator becomes eighth legislator targeted for recall in that state this year
  2. D.C. Appeals panel reverses district court ruling that blocked Trump’s civil service executive orders
  3. Quiz: How many retired Supreme Court justices are still alive

Colorado state Senator becomes eighth legislator targeted for recall in that state this year

Recall efforts are always underway somewhere and that has been particularly true in Colorado in 2019. As described in our Mid-Year Report, Colorado has had the second-most officials targeted for recall through the end of June.

Here’s a recent example. An effort to recall a Colorado state Senator—Pete Lee (D)—was approved for circulation July 12. Supporters have until September 10 to collect 11,304 signatures to force a recall election. Another recall petition targeting another state Senator—Brittany Pettersen (D)—was also approved by the secretary of state July 12 but was withdrawn by petitioners days later. According to The Denver Post, supporters plan to resubmit it.

Recall supporters are targeting Lee because he supported legislation related to firearms, oil and gas, the national popular vote, and sex education during the 2019 legislative session, according to the recall petition.  All four bills were signed into law by Gov. Jared Polis (D) in 2019. Polis himself is facing a recall effort regarding the same legislation. According to The Gazette, both recalls are being supported by the Resist Polis political action committee.

Two other Colorado state representatives—Tom Sullivan (D) and Rochelle Galindo (D)—were targeted by recall campaigns earlier this year over the same legislation. The recall targeting Rep. Galindo (D) ended when she resigned her seat in May 2019. The recall targeting state Rep. Sullivan (D) ended in June 2019 after recall supporters halted the effort. 

Since 2011, 83 recall petitions—13 in Colorado—have been filed against state lawmakers. Nine recalls were successful, nine were defeated at the ballot, 57 did not go to a vote, and eight are still ongoing. California state Sen. Josh Newman (D) was recalled in 2018. Two Colorado state Senators were successfully recalled in 2013.

Colorado became a Democratic trifecta in 2019 after Democrats gained control of the state Senate in 2018. Democrats control the state House by a 41-24 margin and the state Senate by a 19-16 margin.

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We are excited to guide you on a path of discovery around judicial review. Join us on this three-part series discussing how the judicial branch interprets the law and has the power to overturn government actions.

D.C. Appeals panel reverses district court ruling that blocked Trump’s civil service executive orders 

A three-judge panel of the D.C. Court of Appeals unanimously reversed and vacated a lower court decision that had blocked provisions of three civil service executive orders issued by President Trump (R). The judges held in their July 16 ruling that the lower court did not have jurisdiction and that the plaintiffs should have brought the case before the Federal Labor Relations Authority (FLRA) as required by the Federal Service Labor-Management Relations Statute (FSLMRS).

Trump issued the civil service executive orders in May 2018. They included proposals aimed at facilitating the removal of poor-performing federal employees and streamlining collective bargaining procedures.

The American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE) and 16 other federal labor unions challenged the executive orders in four consolidated lawsuits. The unions argued that:

  • the president does not have the authority to issue executive orders impacting labor relations, 
  • the executive orders violate the Constitution’s Take Care Clause and the First Amendment right to freedom of association, and 
  • the executive orders violate provisions of the FSLMRS.

The lower court ruled in August 2018 that it had jurisdiction over the case. It upheld the president’s authority to issue executive orders in the field of labor relations but enjoined Trump administration officials from implementing nine provisions of the executive orders that the judge claimed unlawfully restricted the use of union official time in violation of the FSLMRS.

In reversing the lower court decision, the D.C. Circuit panel stated that “the district court lacked subject matter jurisdiction. The unions must pursue their claims through the scheme established by the Statute, which provides for administrative review by the FLRA followed by judicial review in the courts of appeals.” 

Thomas Griffith—who was appointed to the D.C. Court of Appeals by George W. Bush in 2005—wrote the panel’s opinion. He was joined by Justice Srikanth Srinivasan—who was appointed by Barack Obama in 2013—and Senior Justice Arthur Randolph—who was appointed by George H.W. Bush in 1990.

The National Federation of Federal Employees, one of the plaintiffs in the case, responded that the ruling on the merits “did not give the Trump administration a stamp of approval.” The plaintiffs can choose to seek a rehearing before the full D.C. Circuit or appeal the case to the United States Supreme Court.

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How many retired Supreme Court justices are still alive?

Former Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens died Tuesday at the age of 99. He was appointed by Gerald Ford (R) in 1975 to succeed Justice William O. Douglas and was Ford’s only appointment to the court. He served for more than 34 years until assuming senior status in June 2010. Barack Obama (D) appointed Justice Elena Kagan to succeed Stevens. 

With Stevens’ death, how many retired U.S. Supreme Court Justices are still alive?

A.  1 
B.  
C.  3
D.