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Louisiana voters to decide governor and House veto-proof majority next week

The Daily Brew
Welcome to the Friday, Nov. 8, Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:

  1. Louisiana voters to decide governor, House veto-proof majority Nov. 16
  2. Alabama’s 2020 filing deadline is today, Nov. 8
  3. You are amazing.

Programming note: We will not be publishing the Brew this Monday, November 11. Happy Veterans Day to all who have served in our armed forces!


Louisiana voters to decide governor, House veto-proof majority Nov. 16

The 2019 election season isn’t over yet! Louisiana voters will head to the polls Nov. 16 to vote in general elections for statewide and local races. The state is holding elections for the following offices, in addition to other elections beyond Ballotpedia’s coverage scope:

  • Governor;

  • Secretary of state;

  • One of 11 seats on the Louisiana Board of Elementary and Secondary Education;

  • Five of 39 seats in the state Senate;

  • 19 of 105 seats in the state House of Representatives;

  • A special election for Louisiana Supreme Court District 1; and

  • A special election for the 19th Judicial District Court, Section 2, Division L.

Headline races in Louisiana include the gubernatorial election and the state House of Representatives elections. Gov. John Bel Edwards (D) and businessman Eddie Rispone (R) advanced from the primary with 46.6% and 27.4% of the vote, respectively. Edwards is the only Democratic governor in the Deep South. The Democratic Governors Association and the Republican Governors Association spent more than $5 million combined toward the race as of late September, and President Donald Trump (R) held a rally for Rispone and another Republican candidate ahead of the primary. If Edwards wins, the state will maintain a divided government. If Rispone wins, Louisiana will be a Republican trifecta, meaning the GOP will control the governorship and both chambers of the state legislature.

Republicans secured a majority in the state House in the primaries. The general election will determine whether they also gain a veto-proof majority of 70 seats in the chamber or whether Democrats and independents win enough seats to prevent that. Heading into the general election, Republicans control 63 seats. The seven state House general elections feature one Republican and a candidate of a different affiliation. In the state Senate primaries, Republicans won 27 seats—one more than is needed to override a gubernatorial veto.

Voters in New Orleans will also decide four local ballot measures.

Louisiana held primary elections on Oct. 12 for all candidates, regardless of party affiliation. Candidates who received more than 50 percent of the primary vote won outright. The general election is being held for the top two vote-getters who did not reach that threshold in each race. 

Early in-person voting for Louisiana’s Nov. 16 general elections, which began on Nov. 2, ends Saturday, Nov. 9. Voters wishing to cast an absentee ballot must apply for one by 4:30 p.m. Central Time Nov. 12.

Louisiana voters must have an accepted reason to vote absentee. Examples include working offshore, residing in a nursing home, or being sequestered because of jury duty. You can read the full list here. Voters may fill out an application online or submit a printed application through the mail, in person, or by fax to their parish’s registrar of voters. The registrar must receive completed absentee ballots by 4:30 pm Central Time Nov. 15.

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Alabama’s 2020 filing deadline is today, Nov. 8

Since I’m still riding the high of covering this week’s elections, it’s hard to believe the first filing deadline of 2020 is already here! Even though 2019 isn’t quite over, we’ve officially crossed the starting point for the 2020 cycle. Alabama’s 2020 filing deadline for presidential primary candidates and partisan candidates for U.S. Senate and U.S. House seats is today, Nov. 8. Below you can find a quick rundown of the offices up for election next year:

  • One U.S. Senate seat

  • All seven U.S. Congressional seats

  • Five state executive offices

  • Two seats on the state Supreme Court

  • Four seats on the state’s intermediate appellate courts

  • Five statewide ballot measures

The filing deadline for independent candidates running for the U.S. Senate or U.S. House seats from Alabama is March 3, 2020. Alabama’s primary election will also be held on that day, with a primary runoff election, if needed, on March 31. The state uses an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party’s primary.

For a candidate to appear on the ballot for a state or federal office, they must meet a variety of state-specific filing requirements and deadlines. Partisan candidates for the U.S. Senate or House must pay a $3,480 filing fee (2% of base salary). You can read more about candidate requirements here

The next five statewide filing deadlines are Arkansas (11/12), Illinois (12/2), California (12/6), Texas (12/9), and Ohio (12/18). You can view our full list of filing deadlines for the 2020 election cycle here.


You are amazing. 

I just wanted to take a moment to say, “Thank you!”

This has been an exciting week for Ballotpedia. We’re humbled by how many of you and your neighbors came to Ballotpedia to be informed about the 2019 elections.

You know we’re always good for some data, so here are some fun stats to show you what good company you’re in. Over 200,000 voters looked up their sample ballot at Ballotpedia on November 5 alone. All told, in 2019 we’ve seen the sample ballot used over 800,000 times!

If you average the number of website visits we’ve seen over the last month, you’ll find Ballotpedia was in the top 325 most-visited sites in the United States! That means readers have come to Ballotpedia more than the LA Times, Newsweek, the NHL, Nordstrom, Priceline, Apartments.com, Cars.com, Walgreens, or Fandango!

Thank you so much for trusting us to deliver your election information. We don’t take this responsibility lightly, and are striving to continue to help you through 2020 and beyond.

If you have any ideas, questions, feedback, we’re always here for you! Just reply to this email to drop me a line. I read them all. 

Have a great weekend!

Sincerely,
Dave, 
and the rest of the over-caffeinated Ballotpedia team


 

 



Bloomberg signals 2020 presidential bid, files for Alabama primary

 Ballotpedia's Daily Presidential News Briefing

November 8, 2019: Michael Bloomberg is expected to file for the Alabama Democratic presidential primary before the filing deadline on Friday. Andrew Yang is airing his first television ad in Iowa as part of a $1 million ad buy. 

     

     Each Friday, we highlight a presidential candidate’s key campaign staffer.

Daily Presidential News Briefing, Staffer Spotlight - Emmy Ruiz

Emmy Ruiz is a Democratic campaign staffer with experience in California, Nevada, and Texas. Ruiz is a partner at consulting firm NEWCO Strategies. She graduated from the University of Texas at San Antonio with a degree in English language and literature in 2006.

Previous campaign work:

  • 2016 Hillary Clinton (D) presidential campaign, Colorado and Nevada state director
  • 2012 Barack Obama (D) presidential campaign, Nevada general election director
  • 2008 Hillary Clinton (D) presidential campaign, canvass director and regional field director

Other experience:

  • 2019: NEWCO Strategies, partner
  • 2013-2014: Annie’s List, political director
  • 2013: Organizing for Action, comprehensive immigration reform campaign manager
  • 2012-2013: Obama Inaugural Committee Office of Public Engagement, deputy director
  • 2011-2012: Organizing for America, Nevada field director
  • 2009-2011: Democratic National Committee, Texas field director
  • 2011: U.S. Agency for International Development, Yes Youth Can field consultant
  • 2008-2010: Young Democrats of America, national field manager
  • 2006-2007: American Red Cross, development coordinator/grant writer

Notable Quotes of the Day

“As a former business magnate and mayor of New York City, Bloomberg has the two qualities essential to enter the presidential race at this late stage: money and name recognition. For that reason, I think Bloomberg can immediately become a heavyweight in the Democratic primaries. Beyond the attention he’d garner with his announcement, there’s plenty of space for Bloomberg to position himself as a moderate voice, especially with Joe Biden’s candidacy stuck in neutral.”

– Thomas Gift, University College London

“It’s tough in Iowa. It’s tough with 90 days away. If he does this, this is not going to be an Iowa-centered campaign. If he does this, this is going to be a very unorthodox campaign.”

– Matt Paul, 2016 Clinton Iowa state director

Democrats

  • Michael Bennet is touring flood-damaged communities and attending a climate change discussion in Iowa on Saturday. Bennet also joined the Climate Solutions Caucus this week.
  • Joe Biden will campaign in New Hampshire Friday and Saturday, including filing for the state primary. 
  • Cory Booker will campaign in South Carolina on Friday and Saturday.
  • In an interview on Slate’s Gist podcast, Steve Bullock discussed climate change and energy.
  • Pete Buttigieg is launching a four-day bus tour of New Hampshire on Friday. He also issued a series of plans on childcare, affordable housing, and college costs. Among Buttigieg’s proposals are investing $1 trillion in childcare and affordable housing and eliminating public college tuition for families earning less than $100,000.
  • Julián Castro spoke at the Annie’s List dinner in San Antonio on Thursday night.
  • John Delaney criticized Medicare for All in an interview on Fox News’ America’s Newsroom.
  • In an interview on Breitbart News DailyTulsi Gabbard discussed China, Syria, the Democratic Party, and the Trump administration.
  • Kamala Harris will attend a town hall in Las Vegas on Friday and tour the Veterans Village in Nevada on Saturday.
  • Amy Klobuchar is speaking at Iowa Central Community College on Friday.
  • Wayne Messam gave a speech at the Miramar Comcast Center on Thursday.
  • Bernie Sanders will campaign across Iowa Friday through Monday, including a rally with Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (N.Y.) in Council Bluffs on Friday.
  • The Sanders campaign is expected to spend $30 million on advertising in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada, and California, The New York Times reported.
  • Sanders also released his immigration plan on Thursday, which includes reinstating DACA and eliminating Customs and Border Protection and Immigration and Customs Enforcement and redistributing their duties to other agencies.
  • Joe Sestak will speak at Winthrop University in South Carolina on Friday.
  • Tom Steyer aide Pat Murphy allegedly offered local Iowa political figures compensation in exchange for an endorsement of Steyer, according to an Associated Press report. Press secretary Alberto Lammers said no officials in Iowa had received contributions and the campaign did not authorize Murphy’s actions. 
  • Elizabeth Warren will participate in a town hall focused on Latino issues in Raleigh, North Carolina.
  • Marianne Williamson posted a video requesting donors contribute $1 million more to her campaign to fund television ads.
  • Andrew Yang is airing his first ad in Iowa, “New Way Forward,” as part of a $1 million ad buy in the state.

Republicans

On the Cusp: Tracking Potential Candidates

  • Michael Bloomberg reportedly will file for the Alabama Democratic presidential primary before the filing deadline on Friday. He has not yet made a final decision on whether to run for president.

What We’re Reading

Flashback: November 8, 2015
 Joan Kato replaced Jim Farrell as Bernie Sanders’ Nevada state director.



Ballotpedia’s Weekly Presidential News Briefing: November 2-8, 2019

 Ballotpedia's Weekly Presidential News Briefing

Every weekday, Ballotpedia tracks the events that matter in the 2020 presidential election. 

This email brings you the highlights from our daily briefings in a weekly format so you can stay up-to-date on the 2020 election with one, easy-to-read summary.

Here’s the latest from the campaign trail.

Candidates by the Number

 

There are 14 new candidates running since last week, including one Republican and two Libertarians. In total, 930 individuals are currently filed with the FEC to run for president.

Notable Quotes of the Week

“Tuesday’s results continued to demonstrate GOP problems in the suburbs since Trump took office. The latest was in northern Kentucky in the Cincinnati suburbs, where Bevin won in 2015 and Beshear won in 2019. Or in northern Mississippi, in the Memphis suburbs where the GOP margin in DeSoto County dropped from 61 points to 20 points, according to Ryan Matsumoto, a contributing analyst to Inside Elections. These are just the latest pieces of evidence after Democrat Dan McCready’s overperformance in the Charlotte suburbs from 2018 to the 2019 special election in North Carolina’s 9th District. It should be particularly concerning for President Trump in his efforts to win Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, and Texas in 2020.”

– Nathan GonzalesRoll Call

“Yes, Trump went to Kentucky on Monday night to stump for Bevin. And, yes, he told the crowd at a Lexington rally that losing the governor’s race would send ‘a really bad message.’

But every other major GOP candidate seeking statewide office in the Bluegrass State won their race. The governor’s mansion in Mississippi is going to stay red (after Trump also stumped in that state recently). And Virginia isn’t a purple state so the Democrats’ sweep there isn’t as foreshadowing as it might be in other states.”

– Ledyard KingUSA Today

Week in Review

Bloomberg signals 2020 presidential bid, files for Alabama primary

Michael Bloomberg reportedly will file for the Alabama Democratic presidential primary before the filing deadline on Friday.

Although Bloomberg has not announced a formal decision about running for president, Axios reported that he is looking to meet other upcoming filing deadlines in Arkansas, New Hampshire, Florida, California, and Texas.

With an estimated net worth of $52 billion, Bloomberg will self-fund his campaign.

November debate reaches 10 candidates, December reaches six

Tulsi Gabbard qualified this week for the fifth Democratic presidential, becoming the 10th candidate to make the stage. The debate will be held on Nov. 20 at Tyler Perry Studios in Atlanta.

Kamala Harris and Amy Klobuchar both reached the polling threshold to qualify for the December debate. In addition to meeting fundraising thresholds, candidates need to receive 4 percent support or more in four national or early state polls or 6 percent support or more in two single state polls in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and/or Nevada.

In total, six candidates have qualified for the December debate in Los Angeles. GabbardTom Steyer, and Andrew Yang are on the cusp: each has at least one qualifying poll.

Trump rallies for Republican gubernatorial candidates

Donald Trump held three rallies across the South this week to support gubernatorial candidates in MississippiKentucky, and Louisiana.

Republican Tate Reeves won the race in Mississippi, while the Kentucky race remains too close to call with Democrat Andy Beshear leading Republican Matt Bevin by roughly 5,000 votes. Beshear has declared victory in the race. Bevin is considering asking for a recount and has yet to concede.

The Louisiana gubernatorial runoff election takes place on Nov. 16.  Incumbent John Bel Edwards (D) faces Eddie Rispone (R). If Edwards wins, the state will remain as divided government. A Rispone victory would give Republicans a trifecta.

Two Steyer aides face allegations of improper conduct

A South Carolina aide to Tom Steyer resigned this week after allegedly downloading the Kamala Harris campaign’s volunteer data file. 

Another aide, Pat Murphy, allegedly offered local Iowa political figures compensation in exchange for an endorsement of Steyer, according to an Associated Press report. Press secretary Alberto Lammers said no officials in Iowa had received contributions and the campaign did not authorize Murphy’s actions. 

Five candidates hit Iowa and New Hampshire airwaves with new ads

  • Steve Bullock is airing his first two television ads in Iowa. One highlights his statewide victory in a red state and the other features state Attorney General Tom Miller.
  • Pete Buttigieg released his sixth television ad in Iowa, which focuses on his speech at the Liberty and Justice Dinner in Iowa. 
  • Julián Castro is airing a new ad in Iowa comparing his policies to Trump’s as part of a $50,000 ad buy.
  • Bernie Sanders is airing “Fight for Us,” his first television ad in New Hampshire. The ad will run for two weeks and is part of a $1 million ad buy.
  • Andrew Yang is also spending $1 million on his first ad in Iowa, “New Way Forward.”

Want more? Find the daily details here:

Poll Spotlight

Staff Spotlight

Emmy Ruiz is a Democratic campaign staffer with experience in California, Nevada, and Texas. Ruiz is a partner at consulting firm NEWCO Strategies. She graduated from the University of Texas at San Antonio with a degree in English language and literature in 2006.

Previous campaign work:

  • 2016 Hillary Clinton (D) presidential campaign, Colorado and Nevada state director
  • 2012 Barack Obama (D) presidential campaign, Nevada general election director
  • 2008 Hillary Clinton (D) presidential campaign, canvass director and regional field director

Other experience:

  • 2019: NEWCO Strategies, partner
  • 2013-2014: Annie’s List, political director
  • 2013: Organizing for Action, comprehensive immigration reform campaign manager
  • 2012-2013: Obama Inaugural Committee Office of Public Engagement, deputy director
  • 2011-2012: Organizing for America, Nevada field director
  • 2009-2011: Democratic National Committee, Texas field director
  • 2011: U.S. Agency for International Development, Yes Youth Can field consultant
  • 2008-2010: Young Democrats of America, national field manager
  • 2006-2007: American Red Cross, development coordinator/grant writer

What We’re Reading

Flashback: November 4-8, 2015

  • November 4, 2015: Ben Carson topped the RealClearPolitics polling average for the first time. Donald Trump previously held the first position for 107 days.
  • November 5, 2015: Bernie Sanders signed a joint fundraising agreement with the Democratic National Committee.
  • November 6, 2015: Reps. Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo endorsed Marco Rubio.
  • November 7, 2015: Donald Trump hosted Saturday Night Live on NBC.
  • November 8, 2015:  Joan Kato replaced Jim Farrell as Bernie Sanders’ Nevada state director.

Trivia

How many noteworthy candidates were running for president at this point in the 2016 election?

  1. Eight→
  2. Fourteen→
  3. Twenty→
  4. Twenty-six→


More election coverage!

The Daily Brew
Welcome to the November 7, Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:

  1. More election results from out west and there’s still time to register for today’s briefing on 2019’s ballot measures
  2. Groups submit signatures for two 2020 marijuana initiatives in South Dakota
  3. Local Elections Roundup

More election results from out west and there’s still time to register for today’s briefing on 2019’s ballot measures

In case you missed it, yesterday’s Brew detailed 10 observations from Tuesday. After some sleep and more caffeine, I wanted to update you on the results of certain late-reporting elections:

Seattle City Council

None of Seattle’s seven city council races have been called since Washington holds elections by-mail.  Officials will continue counting ballots that are postmarked on or before Nov. 5. and will certify election results Nov. 26. Three incumbents are running for election among the seven district seats.

These races saw satellite spending of more than $4 million, which was more than 5 times the amount spent in 2015, the last time the same seven council seats were up for election. Amazon contributed $1.5 million to the local chamber of commerce’s PAC, which endorsed candidates in each race, including challengers to two incumbents. PACs affiliated with labor groups endorsed and spent in support of candidates opposing those backed by the chamber in most races. 

Based on unofficial results as of Wednesday at 5:00 p.m. CT, four candidates supported by the Chamber of Commerce are leading in their districts and three candidates supported by another PAC—the Civic Alliance for a Progressive Economy (CAPE)—are ahead in their races. Democratic presidential candidates Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren have both tweeted support for candidates endorsed by CAPE and opposition to the Chamber of Commerce’s efforts. 

San Francisco District Attorney 

The results of San Francisco’s district attorney election are too close to call. Under the city’s system of ranked-choice voting, voters may select multiple candidates, ranking their preferences from among their options. If no candidate receives a majority of the first-choice vote, the last-place candidate is eliminated and their voters’ votes are allocated to their next preferred candidate. This process is repeated until one candidate has a majority. 

With partial results reported from just under 100% of precincts, Chesa Boudin led with 33.0% of the first-choice vote, followed by Suzy Loftus with 30.9%, Nancy Tung with 20.8%, and Leif Dautch with 15.4%. This is the first open-seat election for San Francisco District Attorney since 1909. The race attracted national attention, with presidential candidates Bernie Sanders and Kamala Harris making endorsements. Sanders endorsed Boudin and Harris—who held the office herself before being elected California attorney general—endorsed Loftus.

Colorado Proposition CC

Colorado voters rejected Proposition CC—54.7% to 45.3%—which would have allowed the state to keep revenue above the state spending cap to provide funding for transportation and education. Under the Taxpayer’s Bill of Rights (TABOR), passed in 1992, the state is required to refund revenue above the spending cap to taxpayers. The Colorado State Legislature placed Proposition CC on the ballot along party lines. Legislative Democrats voted for the bill referring the measure to voters, while legislative Republicans voted against the bill. 

And just a reminder that we’re hosting another briefing later today on 2019’s ballot questions. We covered 32 statewide ballot measures in seven states, as well as 141 local measures that appeared on the ballot in North Carolina and California, as well as those within the 100 largest cities in the U.S. by population. Our ballot measures expert—Josh Altic—will break down the results of all the key statewide and local measures and discuss trends that are emerging nationwide. The briefing is at 1:30 p.m. Central Time, and you can click the button below to reserve your spot. As always, if you can’t watch it live, we’ll send you a link to the recording when it’s available so you can catch up on your schedule.

Register now blank    blankblank   



Groups submit signatures for two 2020 marijuana initiatives in South Dakota 

And speaking of ballot measures, let’s look ahead a bit to 2020. Proponents of two 2020 marijuana initiatives in South Dakota submitted a combined 80,000 signatures to the Secretary of State on Nov. 4. One initiative would amend the state’s constitution while the other is an initiated state statute. 

The proposed constitutional amendment would legalize and regulate recreational marijuana and require the state legislature to pass laws providing for the use of medical marijuana and the sale of hemp by April 1, 2022. The measure was sponsored by former U.S. Attorney Brendan Johnson and is supported by the committee, South Dakotans for Better Marijuana Laws. Proponents reported submitting 50,000 signatures. To qualify for the ballot, 33,921 valid signatures are required. 

South Dakotans for Better Marijuana Laws is also supporting an initiated state statute that would amend state laws to provide for a medical marijuana program. Proponents reported submitting 30,000 signatures for this measure. To qualify for the ballot, 16,961 valid signatures are required.

As of 2019, 11 states and the District of Columbia had legalized the possession and personal use of marijuana for recreational purposes. Nine jurisdictions had made such changes through statewide citizen initiatives, and two through bills approved by state legislatures and signed by governors. 

Recreational marijuana

Of the 33 states —and Washington, D.C.—that had approved the legalization of medical marijuana, 17 states achieved legalization via statewide ballot measure and 15 states passed laws in their state legislatures. Additionally, 13 states had legalized the use of cannabis oil, or cannabidiol (CBD)—one of the non-psychoactive ingredients found in marijuana—for medical purposes.

Local Elections Roundup

ICYMI, I discussed on our recap briefing yesterday the 2,983 races we covered Tuesday. Here are the results of some other local races:

Houston

Incumbent Sylvester Turner and former Texas A&M Board of Regents member Tony Buzbee advanced from Tuesday’s mayoral election to a Dec. 14 runoff since none of the 12 candidates received a majority of the vote. Turner received 47 percent of the vote to Buzbee’s 28 percent. Houston is the fourth-largest city in the United States and has a population of 2.2 million.

Houston Independent School District

Four of nine seats on the Houston Independent School District (HISD) school board were up for election and both of the incumbents running for re-election were defeated Tuesday. The two incumbents had been endorsed by a group that includes the Houston Federation of Teachers. The two open-seat races advanced to a Dec. 14 runoff since no candidate received more than 50% of the vote; one of the two races will feature a candidate backed by the same group. 

Texas Education Commissioner Mike Morath informed the school district on Wednesday that the state would appoint both a new superintendent and a board of managers to oversee the district. In a letter, Morath said the action was taken due to what he described as a “failure of governance” by the school board and poor academic performance ratings at a high school in the district. The board of managers would assume the responsibilities of the school board and elected board members would not have any power until reinstated by the state. The HISD recently filed a lawsuit to prevent the state from taking control of the district. 

Philadelphia

The Working Families Party (WFP) won one of seven at-large seats on the Philadelphia City Council for the first time in city history, according to unofficial election returns. WFP candidate Kendra Brooks was in sixth place—trailing five Democratic candidates—and incumbent David Oh (R) was in seventh.  

City rules state that a political party may nominate only five candidates for the seven at-large seats, meaning that no one party can win every city council seat. Since Philadelphia’s charter was adopted in 1951, every council election has resulted in Democrats winning five at-large seats and Republicans winning two.

Boise

Boise will hold its first-ever mayoral runoff election December 3 after no candidate won a majority of votes in Tuesday’s general election. City council president Lauren McLean finished first—receiving 46% of the vote—and incumbent David Bieter—who is seeking his fifth term—was second with 30% in a seven-candidate field. McLean is seeking to become the city’s first female mayor.

Albuquerque

Voters in Albuquerque, New Mexico, approved 15 ballot measures and rejected one Tuesday. The measures approved included 10 bond measures for the city of Albuquerque, one bond measure for Albuquerque Public Schools, and one bond measure for Central New Mexico Community College. City voters also renewed a 0.25 percent gross receipts tax dedicated to road infrastructure, transit, and trails, a measure that made changes to the city’s public financing program for candidates, and approved the continuation of a property tax for school facilities and education technology improvements. Voters defeated a measure that would have created a program called Democracy Dollars, which would have provided residents with $25 vouchers that could be donated to participating candidates.


 



Gabbard is tenth candidate to qualify for November debate

Ballotpedia's Daily Presidential News Briefing

November 7, 2019: Tulsi Gabbard is the tenth candidate to qualify for the fifth Democratic presidential debate. Rep. Ayanna Pressley endorsed Elizabeth Warren on Wednesday.


 Presidential poll highlights, 2019-2020 - Nevada Independent (October 28 - November 2, 2019)
Presidential poll highlights, 2019-2020 - Emerson College (October 31 - November 2, 2019)

Notable Quote of the Day

“Currently, about two in three Republicans (66%) and Democrats (65%) report being more excited about voting than they were in previous elections. This differs from the typical pattern Gallup has seen over the years, whereby those who identify with the political party of the incumbent president have been less enthusiastic about voting than members of the opposing party. This is true whether that president is running for election or leaving office. … 

History would suggest that Democrats would be more keyed up to vote than Republicans, but that isn’t the case in this early marker taken nearly a year before Election Day 2020. Though a lot can change in a year, the current politically polarized environment — with added tensions from a congressional impeachment inquiry — could be resulting in voters of all political stripes’ sense that a lot is at stake in their upcoming vote.

– Justin McCarthy, Gallup

Democrats

Republicans

  • Mike Pence is traveling to New Hampshire on Thursday to file in the New Hampshire primary for the Donald Trump campaign.

  • Bill Weld discussed impeachment, climate change, and canceled Republican presidential primaries in a text-based interview with BuzzFeed News.

Flashback: November 7, 2015

Donald Trump hosted Saturday Night Live on NBC.

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Incumbents lose outright in Houston ISD elections, open races head to runoffs

Four out of nine seats on the Houston Independent School District (HISD) school board in Texas were up for election Tuesday. Incumbents Sergio Lira (District III) and Diana Davila (District VIII) lost their re-election bids to Daniela Hernandez and Judith Cruz, respectively.
 
District II and IV are open, and those races head to runoff elections as no candidate received more than 50% of the vote. Katherine Blueford-Daniels and John Gibbs Sr. advanced in District II. Three other candidates ran for that seat. In District IV, Patricia Allen and Matthew Barnes advanced from a four-candidate field. The runoff takes place December 14.
 
The Houston ISD school board faces the possibility of being replaced by a state-appointed board of managers for either of two reasons: as a result of a Texas Education Agency (TEA) investigation into the board’s governance, or as a result of poor academic performance ratings at a high school in the district. If appointed, the board of managers would assume the responsibilities of the elected board, while elected board members would not have any power until reinstated.


Washington Referendum 88 on affirmative action too close to call as of Wednesday morning

Washington Referendum 88 was too close to call as of Wednesday morning, with ballots counted so far split 48.2% in favor of Initiative 1000 and 51.8% opposed. The measure was behind by about 20,000 votes and an estimated 332,000 ballots were left to be counted. The results must be certified by December 5.
 
The measure would expressly allow the state to implement affirmative action policies without the use of preferential treatment or quotas (as defined in I-1000) in public employment, education, and contracting. Initiative 1000 was qualified through a signature petition drive and then passed by the state legislature before being forced to the ballot by opponents through Referendum 88.
 
Washington Initiative 200, which voters approved in 1998, prohibited public institutions in the state from discriminating or granting preferential treatment based on race, sex, color, ethnicity, or national origin in the areas of public education, public employment, and public contracting. Initiative 200 did not define preferential treatment.
 
The measure took a complex and unusual route to get before voters. Referendum 88 was one of two statewide citizen-initiated measures on the ballot in the country this year and was the only veto referendum—a petition effort targeting the repeal of a recently passed law. What’s more, it was a veto referendum seeking the repeal of an indirect initiative that was approved by the legislature instead of going to the ballot. This situation has happened two times out of 38 indirect initiatives in Washington’s history.
 
Proponents of I-1000 first collected signatures to qualify the measure to go before the legislature and potentially on to the ballot. Then the legislature approved the initiative, precluding an election on it. Finally, opponents of I-1000 collected signatures to force the issue before voters in the hopes they would reject it.
 
Since 1914, Washington voters have decided 37 statewide veto referendum measures. The most recent veto referendum was on the ballot in 2012. Voters repealed targeted bills in 81% of Washington veto referendums (30 of 37).


San Francisco District Attorney election too close to call, Chesa Boudin leads in first-place selection

As of 7:45 a.m. PST Wednesday, the results of San Francisco’s district attorney election remained too close to call. With partial results reported from just under 100% of precincts, Chesa Boudin led with 32.9% of the first-choice vote, followed by Suzy Loftus with 30.8%, Nancy Tung with 20.7%, and Leif Dautch with 15.4%.
 
Under San Francisco’s system of ranked-choice voting, voters may select multiple candidates, ranking their preferences from among their options. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, the last-place candidate is eliminated and their voters’ votes are allocated to their next preferred candidate. This process is repeated until one candidate has a majority. As of 6:00 a.m., second-, third-, and fourth-choice results were not available.
 
This was the first open-seat election for San Francisco District Attorney since 1909. The race attracted national attention, with presidential candidates Bernie Sanders and Kamala Harris issuing endorsements. Sanders endorsed Boudin while Harris, who held the office herself before winning election as California attorney general, endorsed Loftus.


Houston mayoral race heads to Dec. 14 runoff between incumbent Sylvester Turner and Tony Buzbee

Incumbent Mayor Sylvester Turner and former Texas A&M Board of Regents member Tony Buzbee advanced from Tuesday’s election to a Dec. 14 runoff election for mayor of Houston, Texas. Turner received 47 percent of the vote to Buzbee’s 28 percent. The runoff will take place as no candidate received a majority.
 
Ten other candidates ran in the general election. In third place was Bill King with 14 percent of the vote.
 
Turner has said his accomplishments during his first term in office include balancing the city’s budget, leading the recovery effort after Hurricane Harvey, reforming the city’s pension system, improving infrastructure, and strengthening the economy.
 
Buzbee, who served on the Texas A&M Board of Regents, has pledged to self-fund his campaign and proposed independent financial audits, process audits, and zero-based budgeting to improve the efficiency and transparency of the city’s resource allocation.
 
Houston is the fourth-largest city in the United States, with a population of 2.2 million.


Working Families Party gains a seat on the Philadelphia City Council

The Working Families Party won an at-large seat on the Philadelphia City Council for the first time in city history, according to unofficial election returns early Wednesday morning.
 
All 17 seats on the Philadelphia city council were up for election Tuesday. Ten of those seats were elected by voters in the city’s 10 districts, while the remaining seven were elected by the entire city at-large. Each party may nominate only five candidates for the seven at-large seats, meaning that no one party can win every city council seat. Since Philadelphia’s charter was adopted in 1951, every city council election has resulted in Democrats winning five at-large seats and Republicans winning two.
 
The five Democratic candidates—incumbents Allan Domb, Derek Green, and Helen Gym and challengers Katherine Richardson and Isaiah Thomas—lead the at-large race with between 187,000 and 169,000 votes each. Working Families Party candidate Kendra Brooks followed with 55,600 votes, while incumbent Republican David Oh placed seventh with 49,700 votes.
 
Democrats led in nine of the 10 district races, with the closest margin being 20.5% in District 6. In District 10, incumbent Brian O’Neill (R) led by a margin of 9.6%. If all of these results hold, the Democratic Party will hold a 14-seat majority on the city council, with two seats held by Republicans and one by the Working Families Party.
 


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