Schultz decides against independent 2020 run
September 6, 2019: Howard Schultz announced Friday that he would not run for president. South Carolina, Nevada, Arizona, and Kansas are expected to cancel their presidential primaries.
Each Friday, we’ll highlight a presidential candidate’s key campaign staffer.
Erin Wilson is a Democratic staffer with extensive experience in Pennsylvania politics. Wilson graduated from the University of Pennsylvania with a degree in political science and government in 2005.
Previous campaign work:
“While the ability to generate big crowds is certainly nice — it may signal enthusiasm among highly engaged voters or produce favorable media coverage — you should ignore any candidate, surrogate or media outlet that tells you that large crowd sizes mean that the polls are underestimating a candidate’s support. It’s just spin; polls are much more accurate at forecasting elections than crowd-size estimates, which don’t tell us all that much.
For every example like 2008, when then-Sen. Barack Obama’s huge crowds seemed to reflect real enthusiasm for his campaign, there is one like 2012, when former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney won his primary despite drawing noticeably small crowds on the campaign trail. Or take what happened in 2016. Despite a lot of hay being made about crowd sizes during the 2016 campaign, that cycle also was an argument against crowd sizes being predictive. Although now-President Trump did often draw large crowds at his primary rallies, Hillary Clinton reportedly beat him out for largest crowd of the 2016 campaign, 40,000 to 30,000. And at roughly this point in the Democratic primary in 2016, Sen. Bernie Sanders was outdrawing Clinton!”
– Nathaniel Rakich, FiveThirtyEight
On the Cusp: Tracking Potential Candidates
What We’re Reading
Flashback: September 6, 2015
After reaching a $1 million crowdfunding goal, Harvard Law professor Larry Lessig said that he was running for president.
Rep. Susan Davis (D-Calif.) announces 2020 retirement
El Paso City Council votes 4-3 to hold November special election
Ducey picks Bill Montgomery for Arizona Supreme Court
NC-03 and NC-09 special elections set for September 10: A look at early voting so far
Bill Flores announces 2020 retirement
Nashville to elect mayor on September 12
North Carolina court strikes down state legislative maps as partisan gerrymanders
Teresa Chafin joins the Virginia Supreme Court
- S. Bernard Goodwyn
- Bill Mims
- D. Arthur Kelsey
- Stephen R. McCullough
- Cleo Powell
- Donald Lemons
- Teresa Chafin