Tag: Democratic primaries
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Nikki Haley has the second-highest share price in PredictIt’s 2024 Republican presidential primary market
As of October 11, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 58%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 13%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…
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Trump, Biden lead in presidential primary polling averages and prediction markets
As of Sept. 5, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 53%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 15%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…
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Democratic and Republican incumbents tied in state legislative primary loses
As of Aug. 14, 12 state legislative incumbents—six Democrats and six Republicans—have lost to primary challengers. Across the three states that have held primaries, 3.5% of incumbents running for re-election have lost, slightly fewer than in 2021 (3.9%). These totals include data from both legislative chambers in Mississippi, New Jersey, and Virginia. Mississippi held its primary…
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Kunselman, McCaffery running in May 16 Democratic primary for Pennsylvania Supreme Court
Deborah Kunselman and Daniel McCaffery are running in the Democratic primary for one judgeship on the Pennsylvania Supreme Court on May 16. The winner will face the Republican nominee—either Patricia McCullough or Carolyn Tornetta Carluccio—in the general election on Nov. 7. The filing deadline for the primary was March 7. The Pennsylvania Supreme Court is…
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Incumbent Galvin defeats Sullivan in Massachusetts’ secretary of state Democratic primary
Incumbent William Galvin defeated Tanisha Sullivan in the Democratic primary for Massachusetts secretary of state on Sept. 6. Galvin was first elected secretary of state in 1994 and won re-election in 1998, 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, and 2018. Galvin will face Rayla Campbell—who was unopposed in the Republican primary—in the general election for secretary of…
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Nadler defeats Maloney in final incumbent-vs.-incumbent primary
U.S. Rep. Jerry Nadler defeated U.S. Rep. Carolyn Maloney, Suraj Patel, and Ashmi Sheth in the Democratic primary for New York’s 12th Congressional District on Aug. 23, 2022. Nadler received 55% of the vote to Maloney’s 24%, followed by Patel with 19%. This race was the last of six primaries featuring two U.S. House incumbents…
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Maloney defeats Biaggi in New York’s 17th Congressional District Democratic primary
Sean Patrick Maloney defeated Alessandra Biaggi in the Democratic Party primary for New York’s 17th Congressional District on August 23, 2022. Mondaire Jones (D) had represented the 17th Congressional District since 2021, but ran in New York’s 10th Congressional District this election cycle. Maloney has represented New York’s 18th Congressional District since 2013 and has…
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Crist defeats Fried in Florida gubernatorial Democratic primary
Charlie Crist defeated Cadance Daniel, Nikki Fried, and Robert Willis in the Democratic primary for governor of Florida on August 23, 2022. Crist had received 60% of the vote, followed by Fried with 35%. Crist was elected to the U.S. House in 2016. He served as governor from 2007 to 2011, attorney general from 2003…
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Barnes wins Democratic U.S. Senate primary in Wisconsin
Mandela Barnes won the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate in Wisconsin on Aug. 9 and will face incumbent Sen. Ron Johnson (R) in the general election. Leading up to the primary, Barnes, along with state Treasurer Sarah Godlewski, Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry, and former state Rep. Tom Nelson, led in media attention. Between…
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Primary watch: number of contested state legislative primaries is up 23% compared to 2020
There are 23% more contested state legislative primaries this year than in 2020, including 53% more Republican primaries and 8% more top-two/four primaries. Democratic primaries are down 10%. These figures include elections in 39 states that account for 5,011 of 6,166 state legislative seats up for election this year (81%). A primary is contested when…