Shomari Figures (D) defeated Anthony Daniels (D) in the Democratic primary runoff in Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District on April 16, 2024. Figures received 61.0% of the vote to Daniels’ 39.0%. Figures and Daniels were the top two finishers in the 11-candidate primary on March 5, 2024. The two advanced to a runoff because neither received…
Incumbent Jesus Garcia (D) and Raymond Lopez (D) are running in the Democratic primary for Illinois’ 4th Congressional District on March 19, 2024. Local media outlets say Garcia and Lopez represent different wings of the Democratic Party. According to Politico’s Illinois Playbook, “Lopez is a conservative Democrat who aligns with the equally conservative Chicago Police union,…
On March 5, Shomari Figures (D) and Anthony Daniels (D) advanced to a primary runoff in the Democratic primary election for Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District. In Alabama, if no candidate receives a majority of votes, the top-two vote getters advance to a primary runoff. As of March 6, Figures received 43.5% of the vote and…
Colin Allred (D) defeated eight other candidates in the Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate in Texas on March 5. As of March 6, Allred received 59.2% of the vote. Roland Gutierrez (D) finished second with 17%. Three candidates led in fundraising, polling, and endorsements: Allred, Gutierrez, and Carl Sherman Sr. (D). Each of the…
Satana Deberry (D), Tim Dunn (D), and Jeff Jackson (D) are running in the Democratic Party primary for Attorney General of North Carolina on March 5, 2024. Deberry and Jackson have led in pre-election polls and media attention. Incumbent Josh Stein (D) is running for governor rather than seeking re-election. Deberry is the state’s 16th…
As of October 11, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 58%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 13%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…
As of Sept. 5, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 53%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 15%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…
As of Aug. 14, 12 state legislative incumbents—six Democrats and six Republicans—have lost to primary challengers. Across the three states that have held primaries, 3.5% of incumbents running for re-election have lost, slightly fewer than in 2021 (3.9%). These totals include data from both legislative chambers in Mississippi, New Jersey, and Virginia. Mississippi held its primary…
Deborah Kunselman and Daniel McCaffery are running in the Democratic primary for one judgeship on the Pennsylvania Supreme Court on May 16. The winner will face the Republican nominee—either Patricia McCullough or Carolyn Tornetta Carluccio—in the general election on Nov. 7. The filing deadline for the primary was March 7. The Pennsylvania Supreme Court is…
Incumbent William Galvin defeated Tanisha Sullivan in the Democratic primary for Massachusetts secretary of state on Sept. 6. Galvin was first elected secretary of state in 1994 and won re-election in 1998, 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, and 2018. Galvin will face Rayla Campbell—who was unopposed in the Republican primary—in the general election for secretary of…