Tagfederal

62 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week

By Mackenzie Murphy
In 2023 elections, 2024 elections, Federal, State
June 6, 2023 at 11:34 AM

Sixty-two people declared candidacies for federal or state offices in the past week, the same number declared last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline.

Thirty-six of the 63 candidates are Democrats, while 20 are Republicans. Four candidates are running as Libertarians, and two are running without a party affiliation.

Fifty candidates are running for Congress, ten for state legislatures, and two filed for governorships.

Since the beginning of this year, Ballotpedia has identified 1,118 declared candidates for federal and statewide offices. At this time in 2021, Ballotpedia had identified 1, 372 declared candidates for 2022, 2023, and 2024 races.

An official candidate is someone who registers with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing deadline or appears on candidate lists released by government election agencies. A declared candidate is someone who has not completed the steps to become an official candidate but who might have done one or more of the following:

  • Appeared in candidate forums or debates
  • Published a campaign website
  • Published campaign social media pages
  • Advertised online, on television, or through print
  • Issued press releases
  • Interviewed with media publications

For more on Ballotpedia’s definition of candidacy, click here.



Trump leads 2024 Republican presidential primary polling and PredictIt market

By Ellen Morrissey
In 2024 elections, Federal
May 23, 2023 at 9:11 PM
Image of the south facade of the White House.

As of May 23, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Trump’s polling average currently stands at 56%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 19%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican primary market, Trump’s share price is $0.57, and DeSantis’ share price is $0.34. No other candidate has a share price at or above $0.10. 

A candidate’s polling average reflects an estimate of the vote share a candidate would receive if the election took place today. In contrast, a PredictIt share price roughly corresponds to the market’s estimate of the probability of a candidate winning the election.

President Joe Biden (D) leads both RCP’s Democratic primary polling average and PredictIt’s Democratic primary market. Biden has a 35% polling average, with no other candidates polling at or above 10%, and a $0.73 PredictIt share price. One other candidate, California Governor Gavin Newsom (D), has a share price at or above $0.10. Newsom stands at $0.12.

Trump and Biden are the only candidates of this group to have officially announced their presidential campaigns.

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42 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week

By Elisabeth Moore
In Federal, State
May 16, 2023 at 12:03 PM

42 people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, five more than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline.

Twenty-four of those candidates were Democratic, while 18 were Republican.

Thirty candidates are running for Congress, four for governorship, and eight for a lower state executive office. 

Since the beginning of the year, Ballotpedia has identified 654 declared candidates for federal and statewide offices.

An official candidate is someone who registers with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing deadline or appears on candidate lists released by government election agencies. A declared candidate is someone who has not completed the steps to become an official candidate but who might have done one or more of the following:

  • Appeared in candidate forums or debates
  • Published a campaign website
  • Published campaign social media pages
  • Advertised online, on television, or through print
  • Issued press releases
  • Interviewed with media publications

For more on Ballotpedia’s definition of candidacy, click here.