Tag: incumbent

  • Three U.S. House incumbents are in contested primaries in Oregon this year—the fewest since 2014

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    This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Oregon was March 12, 2024. Thirty candidates are running for Oregon’s six U.S. House districts, including 17 Democrats and 13 Republicans. That’s 5.0 candidates per district, less than the 7.5 candidates per district in 2022, the 8.0 candidates per district in 2020, and the 6.4…

  • Three U.S. House incumbents are in contested elections in Georgia this year—a decade-low

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    This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Georgia was March 8, 2024. Fifty-five candidates are running for Georgia’s 14 U.S. House districts, including 30 Democrats and 25 Republicans. That’s 3.9 candidates per district, lower than the 5.9 candidates per district in 2022 and the 5.5 in 2020. This is the first election…

  • Decade-high number of incumbents in contested state legislative primaries in Texas

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    Fifty-eight Texas state legislative incumbents face primary challenges, representing 40% of all those running for re-election. This is the highest number and percentage of contested incumbents since 2014.  Of the 58 incumbents in contested primaries, 13 are Democrats and 45 are Republicans. Texas has 93 contested state legislative primaries this year, a 3% decrease from…

  • Fewest number of incumbents running for this cycle’s state executive offices since 2011

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    The number of incumbents running in this year’s state executive elections—20—is the fewest in the past four cycles for these offices. These are the 36 executive positions that voters decide in three states—Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi—in the year prior to each presidential election. The number of incumbents running for re-election for these offices has declined…

  • Mississippi State Senate sees lowest number of incumbent retirements since 2011

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    Three incumbents did not file for re-election to Mississippi’s Senate in 2023. This was the lowest number of retirements since 2011, and a 66% decrease from the average of 8.7 retirements per cycle between 2011 and 2019. Mississippi is holding its primary on Aug. 8, with a primary runoff on Aug. 29. The general election…

  • 3.7% of state legislative incumbents who filed for re-election have lost in primaries

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    So far this year, seven state legislative incumbents—five Democrats and two Republicans—have lost to primary challengers. As of June 21, there were two incumbents in uncalled races. Across the two states that have held primaries, 3.7% of incumbents running for re-election have lost, slightly fewer than in 2021 (3.9%). These totals include data from both legislative…

  • One incumbent defeated in New Jersey’s state legislative primaries

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    New Jersey held state legislative primaries on June 6, the first in the 2023 election cycle. One Democratic incumbent—Nia Gill—lost, representing 1.1% of the 93 incumbents running for re-election. Overall, 17 incumbents ran in contested primaries, meaning 82% were guaranteed to advance to the general election. It is uncommon for state legislative incumbents to lose…

  • 94% of incumbents won re-election in 2022 general election

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    Ballotpedia covered all state and federal races on Nov. 8, 2022, as well as local elections in America’s 100 largest cities by population. In the 2022 general election, an average of 94% of incumbents nationwide won their re-election bids. Comparatively, in the 2021 general election, 86% of incumbents nationwide won their re-election bids. In the…

  • Nadler defeats Maloney in final incumbent-vs.-incumbent primary

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    U.S. Rep. Jerry Nadler defeated U.S. Rep. Carolyn Maloney, Suraj Patel, and Ashmi Sheth in the Democratic primary for New York’s 12th Congressional District on Aug. 23, 2022. Nadler received 55% of the vote to Maloney’s 24%, followed by Patel with 19%. This race was the last of six primaries featuring two U.S. House incumbents…

  • 4.6% of state legislative incumbents who filed for re-election have lost in primaries

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    So far this year, 182 state legislative incumbents—48 Democrats and 134 Republicans—have lost to primary challengers. Across the 38 states that have held primaries, 4.6% of incumbents running for re-election have lost, an elevated level of incumbent losses compared to previous cycles. These totals include data from Tennessee, which held primaries on Aug. 4, as…