Tag: incumbent
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Third-highest number of Minnesota state legislative incumbents retiring at any point since 2010
Forty-three Minnesota state legislative incumbents are retiring in 2026, the third-most at any point since 2010. This is a 115% increase in the number of incumbents retiring from 2024. Eighteen of the retiring incumbents are Democrats and 25 are Republicans. Twenty-six are state representatives, and 17 are state senators. Minnesota has 36 contested state legislative…
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Sixty-nine members of the U.S. Congress have announced they will not seek re-election in 2026
Sixty-nine members of the U.S. Congress — 58 U.S. representatives and 11 U.S. senators — have announced they will not seek re-election in 2026. Since our May 19 update, one member — Rep. Frederica Wilson (D-Fla.) — announced on May 29 that she is retiring from public office. Election forecasters have rated the 2026 general…
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Incumbent Larry Rhoden and Toby Doeden advance to first-ever primary runoff for South Dakota governor
On June 2, incumbent Larry Rhoden and Toby Doeden advanced to a Republican primary runoff on July 28. Neither received the 35% of the vote required to win the primary outright. As of June 3, Doeden received 31% of the vote, Rhoden 25%, Dusty Johnson 23%, and Jon Hansen 21%. This was the first time…
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Two incumbents lost in Montana Senate primaries, the most in one year since 2010
Two Republican incumbents lost in the Montana Senate primaries on June 2. This was the first year since 2010 in which more than one incumbent lost in the chamber's primaries. At the start of Montana's 2025 state legislative session, nine Republican senators voted with the chamber's Democrats to change procedural rules for the session. In…
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2.6% of state legislative incumbents have lost their primaries so far this year
So far this year, 43 state legislative incumbents—eight Democrats and 35 Republicans—have lost to primary challengers. Across the 14 states that have held primaries, 2.6% of incumbents running for re-election have lost, or 11.4% of the incumbents who were contested. That represents a 31% decrease from 2024 and sits 23% below the average of 56…
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West Virginia sees highest share of contested state legislative incumbents since 2010 — all Republicans for second year
In 2026, 48.5% of the state legislative incumbents running for election in West Virginia will face primary contests, the highest share since 50.5% of incumbents faced challenges in 2010. In total, 48 incumbents face contested primaries across the West Virginia House and Senate. The average number of incumbents contested each election cycle since 2010 was…
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Four incumbents lost in the Republican primaries for North Carolina House of Representatives
Four incumbents lost in the Republican primaries for the North Carolina House of Representatives on March 3, 2026. The general election is on November 3, 2026. The North Carolina House of Representatives is one of 88 state legislative chambers with elections in 2026. There are 99 chambers throughout the country. Ahead of the election, the…
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Three Democratic incumbents lost in the North Carolina House primaries
Eight state legislative incumbents lost in the primaries in North Carolina on March 3, including three Democratic representatives. That was the most Democratic House primary losses in the state since four lost in the 2010 primaries. The average number of Democratic representatives who lost in the primaries since 2010 was 1.4. According to the Raleigh…
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Sen. Cynthia Lummis becomes the ninth U.S. senator to announce she won't seek re-election in 2026
Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyo.) announced on Dec. 19, 2025, that she will not seek re-election to the U.S. Senate in 2026. Lummis posted on X, “Deciding not to run for reelection does represent a change of heart for me, but in the difficult, exhausting session weeks this fall I’ve come to accept that I do…
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Seventeen Republican incumbents lost in the 2025 state legislative general elections
Seventeen incumbents—all Republicans—lost in the 2025 state legislative elections in New Jersey and Virginia. That’s the most general election incumbent defeats in an odd year since 21 were defeated in 2011. Twelve Republican incumbents lost re-election in Virginia, where Democrats expanded their majority by 13 seats, going from 51 to 64 seats in the 100-member…