Six candidates are running in the Republican primary for North Carolina Auditor on March 5, 2024. Three lead in fundraising: Dave Boliek (R), Charles Dingee (R), and Jeff Tarte (R). Boliek is an attorney and member of the University of North Carolina–Chapel Hill Board of Trustees. Boliek says his experience managing the university’s investments and…
John B. McCuskey (R) and Mike Stuart (R) are running in the Republican primary for West Virginia Attorney General on May 14, 2024. Incumbent Patrick Morrisey (R) is running for governor, leaving the office open. Both McCuskey and Stuart are running on their record in elected office. Both candidates say they will prioritize suing the…
Six candidates are running in the Republican primary for North Carolina’s 6th Congressional District on March 5, 2024. Four lead in endorsements and local media attention: Christian Castelli (R), Bo Hines (R), Addison McDowell (R), and Mark Walker (R). Castelli is a businessman and veteran of the U.S. Army. Castelli says he is running because…
There are 59 Republican primaries for Texas House of Representatives on March 5, 2024, 45 of which have an incumbent on the ballot. Texas’ 2024 legislative elections feature more contested primaries than any other year since at least 2012. The 2024 elections are taking place in the context of two votes in 2023 that divided…
Five candidates are running in the Republican primary for Texas’ 23rd Congressional District on March 5, 2024. Four lead in fundraising, endorsements, and media attention: incumbent Tony Gonzales (R), Victor Avila (R), Julie Clark (R), and Brandon Herrera (R). The Republican Party of Texas censured Gonzales in March 2023, saying his votes in support of…
As of Aug. 14, 12 state legislative incumbents—six Democrats and six Republicans—have lost to primary challengers. Across the three states that have held primaries, 3.5% of incumbents running for re-election have lost, slightly fewer than in 2021 (3.9%). These totals include data from both legislative chambers in Mississippi, New Jersey, and Virginia. Mississippi held its primary…
Daniel Cameron defeated Ryan Quarles, Kelly Craft, and nine other candidates in the Republican primary for governor of Kentucky on May 16. Cameron will face incumbent Gov. Andy Beshear (D) in the general election on Nov. 7. Cameron received 47% of the vote to Quarles’ 22% and Craft’s 18%. The three led in polling and…
As of May 8, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows President Joe Biden (D) leading at $0.49, followed by former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.32, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.16. Biden has held the lead in this market since Jan. 22, 2023. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share…
PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows President Joe Biden (D) leading at $0.50 as of May 1, 2023, followed by former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.29, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.15. Biden has held the lead in this market since Jan. 22, 2023. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share…
As of April 3, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows President Joe Biden (D) leading at $0.41, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.27, and former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.26. Biden has held the lead in this market since January 22, 2023. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share…