“Of course, the polls could be even further off this time than four years ago. But there are also many reasons to think they could be better this time around.
Perhaps most important, many pollsters now weight their sample to properly represent voters without a college degree. The failure of many state pollsters to do so in 2016 is widely considered one of the major reasons the polls underestimated Mr. Trump’s support. Voters without a four-year college degree are far less likely to respond to telephone surveys — and far likelier to support Mr. Trump. By our estimates, weighting by education might move the typical poll by as much as four points in Mr. Trump’s direction.”
– Nate Cohn, The New York Times
Joe Biden will join Virginia legislators and community leaders for a virtual roundtable discussion of his “Build Back Better” program on Friday.
NextGen America is launching four ads on digital platforms—including Facebook, Instagram, YouTube, Vevo, and Hulu—to promote Biden to young voters. The group is spending $2 million on the campaign.
The National Association of Police Organizations, which backed Barack Obama in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections, endorsedDonald Trump on Wednesday. The group did not make an endorsement in the 2016 presidential election.
Trumpreplaced former campaign manager Brad Parscale with Bill Stepien, who previously served as deputy campaign manager. Stepien was national director for John McCain’s 2008 presidential campaign.
Mike Pence is speaking at Ripon College and touring a dairy farm in Wisconsin on Friday. He last visited the state in June for an education roundtable in Waukesha County.
Jo Jorgensenwrote an op-ed in The Independent on Wednesday about libertarianism and neutrality in foreign policy.
Kanye Westqualified to appear on the ballot in Oklahoma as an independent candidate, after a representative filed with the state and paid the $35,000 fee on Wednesday.