Author: Joel Williams
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Do you know how many trifecta changes have occurred since 2010?
A state government trifecta occurs when one political party holds the governorship, a majority in the state Senate, and a majority in the state House. If one party does not control all three offices, they are considered under divided government. Since November 2010, there have been 62 trifecta changes across the country. Republicans gaining…
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Upcoming Republican nominating convention in PA-12 special election
Republican Party leaders and representatives from the 15 counties that make up Pennsylvania’s 12th Congressional District will meet on March 2 to choose their party’s nominee for a special election on May 21. Six candidates have declared their candidacy on the Republican side. Democrats already nominated Marc Friedenberg on February 12—he was the only Democratic…
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Obama-Obama-Trump pivot counties in 2018 state legislative elections
There are 206 pivot counties in the country-those that voted for Barack Obama (D) in both 2008 and 2012 and Donald Trump (R) in 2016. On November 6, 2018, 87 of the nation’s 99 state legislative chambers held regularly-scheduled elections for 6,073 seats. Of those, 453 state house districts and 138 state senate districts intersected with pivot counties. These 591 state legislative districts accounted for approximately 10…
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Reverse pivot counties in 2018 U.S. House elections
Democratic candidates for the U.S. House carried all six reverse pivot counties in 2018. Reverse pivot counties are counties that voted for John McCain (R) in 2008, Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, and Hillary Clinton (R) in 2016. The average margin of victory for 2018 U.S. House candidates in these counties was 11.05 percent.…
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Two weeks to Tampa mayoral race
Seven candidates are running in the March 5 election for Tampa’s open mayoral seat. Mayor Bob Buckhorn (D) is term-limited and unable to run for re-election. Transportation and congestion relief are the major issues in this race. Mayoral elections in Tampa are officially nonpartisan, though candidates are typically members of a political party. Tampa’s mayor…
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Obama-Obama-Trump pivot counties in 2018 U.S. House elections
There are 206 pivot counties in the country: those that voted for Barack Obama (D) in both 2008 and 2012 and Donald Trump (R) in 2016. What happened in those counties in the 2018 elections for the U.S. House? Democratic U.S. House candidates won 113 (55 percent) pivot counties and Republican candidates won 93. Overall, Democratic…
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Twenty-three state executive offices are on the ballot in 2019. What are they?
Three states are holding state executive elections in 2019—Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi. Each of them is holding an election for the office of governor, lieutenant governor, attorney general, and secretary of state. Other offices up for election include agriculture commissioner (KY, LA, MS), auditor (KY, MS), insurance commissioner (LA, MS), public service commissioner (MS), and…
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Duval Democrats announce official opposition to Lenny Curry’s re-election in Jacksonville
On Tuesday, the Duval County Democratic Party announced it had passed a resolution opposing the re-election of Jacksonville Mayor Lenny Curry (R), although there are no Democratic candidates running. Curry faces Councilwoman Anna Brosche (R), former Atlantic Beach City Councilman Jimmy Hill (R), and Omega Allen (I) in the March 19 general election. If no…
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How could Kentucky’s gubernatorial race impact the state’s trifecta status?
Kentucky’s 2019 gubernatorial election will either preserve the state’s Republican trifecta or return it to divided government. Kentucky has been a Republican trifecta since the start of the 2017 legislative session. Gov. Matt Bevin is a Republican and Republicans control both chambers of the legislature. Since 1992, there have been 11 years of trifecta…
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Kentucky governor announces re-election campaign with new running mate
Incumbent Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin (R) announced on Friday that he is seeking re-election. He will not be running with current Lt. Gov. Jenean Hampton, however, as Bevin opted to make State Sen. Ralph Alvarado his running mate. So far, the only other announced Republican in the race is State Rep. Robert Goforth (R), whose…