Category: 2024 elections
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Three U.S. House seats are open in Indiana—a decade-high
This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in Indiana was Feb. 9, 2024. Sixty-three candidates are running for Indiana’s nine U.S. House districts, including 18 Democrats and 45 Republicans. That’s seven candidates per district, higher than the 5.6 candidates that ran in 2022, but lower than the 8.7 candidates who ran in 2020.…
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2.8% of state legislative incumbents who filed for re-election have lost in primaries
So far this year, 19 state legislative incumbents — three Democrats and 16 Republicans — have lost to primary challengers. Across the six states that have held primaries, 2.8% of incumbents running for re-election have lost, which is less than at this point in 2022 (3.7%). The totals below include data from elections in both…
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Seven candidates are running in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate in West Virginia
Seven candidates are running in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate in West Virginia. Two candidates lead in local media attention, endorsements, polling, and fundraising: Jim Justice (R) and Alexander Mooney (R). Justice is the state’s governor and a former businessman. Justice is running on his record, saying he signed the largest tax cut in…
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Democratic party committees cumulatively outraise Republican counterparts for fourteenth consecutive month
As of Feb. 29, 2024, the end of the most recent party committee campaign finance filing period, the three committees associated with the Democratic Party have raised a cumulative $393 million and spent $331 million for the 2024 election cycle, while the three committees associated with the Republican Party have raised $320 million and spent…
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Joe Biden, Donald Trump tied in PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market
As of March 19, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market shows President Joe Biden (D) and former President Donald Trump (R) tied at $0.47. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which rises and falls based on market demand, roughly corresponds to the market’s estimate of the probability…
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Eight candidates are running in the Republican primary for Indiana’s 3rd Congressional District
Eight candidates are running in the Republican primary for Indiana’s 3rd Congressional Districton May 7, 2024. Four lead in fundraising and endorsements: Wendy W. Davis (R), Tim Smith (R), Marlin A. Stutzman (R), and Andy Zay (R). This is the first open race in the district since 2016. Incumbent Jim Banks (R) is running for…
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104 candidates filed for congressional and statewide offices last week
One-hundred-four people declared candidacies for congressional or statewide offices in the past week, nine fewer than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Forty-two of those candidates were Democratic, while 57 were Republican. Five declared candidacies for minor or third parties. Thirty-five candidates are running for Congress and 69…
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Voters in North Dakota to decide on congressional age limit ballot initiative on June 11
A citizen-initiated ballot measure to establish an age limit for congressional members is on the ballot in North Dakota’s primary election on June 11, 2024. The campaign, Retire Congress North Dakota, submitted 42,107 signatures for the initiative on Feb. 9. At least 31,164 signatures needed to be valid to qualify for the ballot. On March…
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2.6% of state legislative incumbents who filed for re-election have lost in primaries
So far this year, 12 state legislative incumbents — one Democrat and 11 Republicans — have lost to primary challengers. Across the four states that have held primaries, 2.6% of incumbents running for re-election have lost, which is less than at this point in 2022 (3.6%). These totals include data from elections in both legislative…
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Donald Trump leads PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market
As of March 12, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market shows former President Donald Trump (R) leading at $0.47 followed by President Joe Biden (D) at $0.45. Trump has held the lead in this market since Feb. 9. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which rises and…