As of Aug. 13, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market shows Vice President Kamala Harris at $0.59 and former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.44. Harris has held the lead in this market since Aug. 1, 2024. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which rises and falls…
Incumbent Marcy Kaptur (D) and Derek Merrin (R) are running in the general election on Nov. 5, 2024, to represent Ohio’s 9th Congressional District. Kaptur has represented the district since 1983 and is the longest-serving woman in Congress. Merrin serves in the Ohio House of Representatives. House Speaker Mike Johnson (R) and Donald Trump (R)…
Incumbent U.S. Sen. Jon Tester (D) and Tim Sheehy (R) are running in the general election for the United States Senate in Montana on Nov. 5, 2024. According to Open Secrets’ Lydia McFarlane, the election will be one of the most competitive this year because of the “deep red nature of Montana’s electorate. Former president…
Incumbent Anthony D’Esposito (R) and Laura Gillen (D) are running in the general election for New York’s 4th Congressional District on November 5, 2024. This race is a rematch of 2022, when D’Esposito defeated Gillen 51.8%-48.2%. D’Esposito is one of 14 Republicans to win in a district that President Joe Biden (D) won in 2020.…
Mike Kehoe (R) won the Republican primary for Missouri’s gubernatorial election on August 6, 2024. Click here for detailed results. Nine candidates ran in the Republican primary election for governor of Missouri on August 6, 2024. Jay Ashcroft (R), Bill Eigel (R), and Mike Kehoe (R) led in polling and media attention. Inc. Gov. Mike…
There were nine contested Republican primaries for the Missouri Senate on August 6, 2024. An incumbent ran in two of those primaries, and seven of those primaries were open, meaning an incumbent did not seek re-election in those districts. Ballotpedia identified the Republican primaries in Districts 3, 15, 21, 23, and 27 as battleground primaries,…
Voters in Missouri decided on two constitutional amendments on August 6, 2024. Voters rejected Amendment 1 and approved Amendment 4. Amendment 1 would have allowed for childcare establishments to be exempt from property tax. Voters rejected the amendment, with 45% voting for it, and 55% voting against it. Amendment 4 allows the state legislature to…
All 187 seats in the Connecticut General Assembly are up for election in 2024 and there 17 contested state legislative primaries on August 13, 2024. That amounts to 4.5% of all possible state legislative primaries and is above the state’s average of 15.6 contested primaries from 2010 to 2022. There are 15 Democratic primaries and…
Bob Ferguson (D) and Dave Reichert (R) advanced to the general election on Nov. 5, 2024. Twenty-eight candidates ran in the top-two primary for governor of Washington on Aug. 6, 2024. Leading into the election, Ferguson, Reichert, Semi Bird (R), and Mark Mullet (D) received the most media attention and endorsements. Incumbent Jay Inslee (D)…
Denny Hoskins (R) won the Republican primary for Missouri Secretary of State on August 6, 2024. Eight candidates ran in the election. Four led in media attention and fundraising: Hoskins, Valentina Gomez (R), Dean Plocher (R), and Shane Schoeller (R). Republican incumbent Jay Ashcroft ran for Governor of Missouri. He was defeated in the Republican…