Category: 2024 elections

  • Second-highest number of contested state legislative primaries in California since 2014

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    California has 58 contested state legislative primaries this year. This is the second-highest number and percentage of contested primaries since 2014.  All 58 contested primaries are top-two primaries where the top-two vote getters, regardless of party, advance to the general election. This number is down from 60 in 2022. Twenty-seven incumbents face primary challenges, representing…

  • Contested state legislative primaries in Arkansas down by 61%

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    Arkansas has 24 contested state legislative primaries this year, a 61% decrease from 2022. Of the 24 contested primaries, there are 10 for Democrats and 14 for Republicans. For Democrats, this is the same as in 2022, and a decade high. For Republicans, the number is down 73% from 52 in 2022. Ten incumbents face…

  • John B. McCuskey (R) and Mike Stuart (R) are running in the Republican primary for West Virginia Attorney General

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    John B. McCuskey (R) and Mike Stuart (R) are running in the Republican primary for West Virginia Attorney General on May 14, 2024. Incumbent Patrick Morrisey (R) is running for governor, leaving the office open. Both McCuskey and Stuart are running on their record in elected office. Both candidates say they will prioritize suing the…

  • Trump maintains lead in PredictIt’s 2024 general presidential election market

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    As of Feb. 27, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market shows former President Donald Trump (R) leading at $0.46, followed by President Joe Biden (D) at $0.40, and California Governor Gavin Newsom (D) at $0.11. Trump has held the lead in this market since February 9. No other candidate has more than a $0.10…

  • Six candidates are running in the Republican primary for North Carolina’s 6th Congressional District on March 5, 2024

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    Six candidates are running in the Republican primary for North Carolina’s 6th Congressional District on March 5, 2024. Four lead in endorsements and local media attention: Christian Castelli (R), Bo Hines (R), Addison McDowell (R), and Mark Walker (R). Castelli is a businessman and veteran of the U.S. Army. Castelli says he is running because…

  • Six candidates are running in the Republican primary for North Carolina’s 8th Congressional District on March 5, 2024

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    Six candidates are running in the Republican primary election for North Carolina’s 8th Congressional District on March 5, 2024. Three lead in noteworthy endorsements, media attention, and fundraising: Allan Baucom (R), John Bradford III (R), and Mark Harris (R). Incumbent Dan Bishop (R) is running for Attorney General of North Carolina rather than seeking re-election.…

  • Campaign finance filing deadline shows Joe Biden (D), Donald Trump (R) leading the field of noteworthy presidential candidates

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    Former President Donald Trump (R) leads the field of Republican presidential primary candidates in fundraising with $88.5 million in cumulative receipts. He is followed by former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley (R) with $47.6 million, and businessman Ryan Binkley with $11.1 million. Trump also leads in spending with $57.9 million in disbursements, followed by Haley with…

  • 92 candidates filed for congressional and statewide offices last week

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    Ninety-two people declared candidacies for congressional or statewide offices in the past week, 67 fewer than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Thirty-five of those candidates were Democratic, while 57 were Republican. Fifty-three candidates are running for Congress, 38 for state legislatures, and one for governorship. Since the…

  • Mike Bost and Darren Bailey are running in the March 19 Republican primary for Illinois’ 12th Congressional District

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    Incumbent Mike Bost and Darren Bailey are running in the Republican primary for Illinois’ 12th Congressional District on March 19, 2024. The district has an R+24 partisan lean in the Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI), making it the most Republican-leaning district in Illinois. Bost, who has represented the district since 2015, won re-election in 2022…

  • Trump leads PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market

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    As of Feb. 20, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market shows former President Donald Trump (R) leading at $0.45, followed by President Joe Biden (D) at $0.42, and California Governor Gavin Newsom (D) at $0.11. Trump has held the lead in this market since February 9. No other candidate has more than a $0.10…