Category: 2024 elections
-
Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets
As of Oct. 17, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 58%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 13%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…
-
Fifteen U.S. House members and five U.S. Senators have announced they won’t seek reelection in 2024
On Sept. 23, Rep. Andy Kim (D-N.J) became the 15th U.S. House member not to seek reelection in 2024. Kim, in office since 2019, is retiring to run for the U.S. Senate seat currently held by Sen. Robert Menendez (D-N.J.). Including Kim, 20 members of Congress—five Senators and 15 Representatives—have announced they will not seek…
-
Donald Trump (R) and Joe Biden (D) lead respective presidential primaries in fundraising
Former President Donald Trump (R) leads the field of Republican presidential primary candidates in fundraising with $57 million in cumulative receipts through Sept. 30, 2023. He is followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) with $31 million, entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy (R) with $27 million, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley (R) with $19 million, and North…
-
44 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week
Forty-four people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, seven fewer than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Twenty-one of those candidates were Democratic, while 22 were Republican. One is a minor-party candidate. Twenty-two candidates are running for Congress, 15 for state legislatures, one…
-
Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets
As of Oct. 3, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 57%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 14%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…
-
51 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week
Fifty-one people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, three fewer than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Twenty-two of those candidates were Democratic, while 26 were Republican. Three are minor party or third-party candidates. Twenty candidates are running for Congress, 26 for state…
-
Donald Trump’s share price in PredictIt’s 2024 Republican presidential primary market highest since at least September 2022
As of Sept. 26, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 57%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 15%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In…
-
54 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week
Fifty-four (54) people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, 16 fewer than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Twenty-six (26) of those candidates were Democratic, while 21 were Republican. Seven are minor-party or nonpartisan candidates. Twenty-nine (29) candidates are running for Congress, 17…
-
Democratic party committees maintain lead over Republican counterparts in fundraising and spending
As of August 31, 2023, the end of the most recent party committee campaign finance filing period, the three committees associated with the Democratic Party have raised a cumulative $198 million and spent $181 million for the 2024 election cycle, while the three committees associated with the Republican Party have raised $170 million and spent…
-
Fourteen U.S. House members have announced they will not run for re-election in 2024, below 2018-2022 average
On Sept. 18, U.S. Rep. Jennifer Wexton became the 14th U.S. House member to announce they will not run for re-election in 2024. Wexton, an attorney and former state senator, was first elected in 2018 after defeating incumbent Rep. Barbara Comstock (R-Va.) 56%-44%. Wexton is retiring from public office following a medical diagnosis. Including Wexton,…