Category: 2024 elections
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Donald Trump’s share price in PredictIt’s 2024 Republican presidential primary market highest since at least September 2022
As of Sept. 26, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 57%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 15%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In…
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54 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week
Fifty-four (54) people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, 16 fewer than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Twenty-six (26) of those candidates were Democratic, while 21 were Republican. Seven are minor-party or nonpartisan candidates. Twenty-nine (29) candidates are running for Congress, 17…
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Democratic party committees maintain lead over Republican counterparts in fundraising and spending
As of August 31, 2023, the end of the most recent party committee campaign finance filing period, the three committees associated with the Democratic Party have raised a cumulative $198 million and spent $181 million for the 2024 election cycle, while the three committees associated with the Republican Party have raised $170 million and spent…
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Fourteen U.S. House members have announced they will not run for re-election in 2024, below 2018-2022 average
On Sept. 18, U.S. Rep. Jennifer Wexton became the 14th U.S. House member to announce they will not run for re-election in 2024. Wexton, an attorney and former state senator, was first elected in 2018 after defeating incumbent Rep. Barbara Comstock (R-Va.) 56%-44%. Wexton is retiring from public office following a medical diagnosis. Including Wexton,…
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Utah Sen. Mitt Romney (R) is sixth U.S. Senator to announce they would not run for re-election in 2024
On Sept. 13, Utah Sen. Mitt Romney (R) became the sixth U.S. Senator to announce they would not run for re-election in 2024. Romney, a former Massachusetts governor, was the Republican Party’s presidential nominee in 2012, when he lost to incumbent President Barack Obama (D). Six years later, in 2018, he was elected to represent…
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131 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week
One hundred thirty-one (131) people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, 81 more than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Forty-seven (47) of those candidates were Democratic, while 60 were Republican. Twenty-four (24) are minor-party candidates. One hundred twenty-one (121) candidates are running…
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Trump, Biden lead in presidential primary polling averages and prediction markets
As of Sept. 5, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 53%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 15%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…
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Donald Trump’s share price in PredictIt’s 2024 Republican presidential primary market highest since at least September 2022
As of Aug. 29, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 54%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 13%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…
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71 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week
Seventy-one (71) people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, 17 more than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Thirty-three (33) of those candidates were Democratic, while 35 were Republican. Three are minor-party candidates. Forty-one (41) candidates are running for Congress, 27 for state…
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Democratic party committees maintain lead on Republican counterparts in cumulative fundraising
As of July 31, 2023, the end of the most recent party committee campaign finance filing period, the three committees associated with the Democratic Party raised a cumulative $178 million for the 2024 election cycle, while the three committees associated with the Republican Party raised $151 million. The three Democratic committees are the Democratic National…