Category: Federal
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Biden holds lead in PredictIt’s 2024 presidential election market
As of February 21, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows President Joe Biden (D) leading at $0.36, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.29, and former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.27. Biden has held the lead in this market since January 22, 2023. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share…
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Republican National Committee outraising the Democratic National Committee for third consecutive time at this point in the presidential election cycle
The Republican National Committee (RNC) has outraised the Democratic National Committee (DNC) so far in the 2024 presidential election cycle, according to their most recent filings with the Federal Election Commission. From January 2021, the beginning of the 2024 presidential election campaign finance cycle, through January 2023, the RNC has raised $340 million in cumulative…
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Current presidential candidate field a quarter of the size of 2020’s at this point last cycle
Former U.N. Ambassador and South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley (R) announced on Feb. 14 that she was running for president of the United States. In a video, she said, “It’s time for a new generation of leadership to rediscover fiscal responsibility, secure our border, and strengthen our country, our pride, and our purpose.” The announcement…
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U.S. weekly unemployment insurance claims rise to 196,000
New applications for U.S. unemployment insurance benefits rose 13,000 for the week ending February 4 to a seasonally adjusted 196,000. The previous week’s figure was unrevised at 183,000. The four-week moving average as of February 4 fell to 189,250 from an unrevised 191,750 as of the week ending January 28. The number of continuing unemployment…
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Trump maintains lead over DeSantis, Haley in PredictIt’s 2024 Republican primary market
As of February 14, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows President Joe Biden (D) leading at $0.35, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.30, and former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.27. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which rises and falls based on market demand,…
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More members of Congress and state legislators sought other offices in 2022 than in 2020
In 2022, 551 officials in Congress and state legislatures ran for a different office than the one to which they were elected. That’s a 61% increase from 2020, when Ballotpedia tracked 344 officials in Congress and state legislatures who ran for a different office. At the Congressional level, 17 members of the U.S. House of…
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DNC votes to approve new early presidential primary calendar, uncertainties remain
The Democratic National Committee approved a new set of early presidential primary states on February 4. The plan sets South Carolina as the first primary state on February 3, 2024, followed by New Hampshire and Nevada on February 6, Georgia on February 13, and Michigan on February 27. In 2020, the early primary states were…
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Federal Register weekly update: More than 3,000 documents issued so far in 2023
The Federal Register is a daily journal of federal government activity that includes presidential documents, proposed and final rules, and public notices. It is a common measure of an administration’s regulatory activity, accounting for both regulatory and deregulatory actions. From February 6 through February 10, the Federal Register grew by 1,548 pages for a year-to-date…
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Trump gains lead in PredictIt’s Republican primary market for first time since November
As of February 6, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows President Joe Biden (D) leading at $0.34, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.30, and former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.26. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which rises and falls based on market demand,…
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U.S. weekly unemployment insurance claims fall to 183,000
New applications for U.S. unemployment insurance benefits fell 3,000 for the week ending January 28 to a seasonally adjusted 183,000. The previous week’s figure was unrevised at 186,000. The four-week moving average as of January 28 fell to 191,750 from an unrevised 197,500 as of the week ending January 21. The number of continuing unemployment…