Category: Federal
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18% of Congressional elections were decided by fewer than 10 points
In the 2022 U.S. Senate and U.S. House elections, the winning candidate’s margin of victory (MOV) was ten percentage points or fewer in 85 races and five percentage points or fewer in 46 races. Ten of the races decided by ten percentage points or fewer were for the U.S. Senate, and 75 were for the…
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District court affirms president’s authority to increase federal contractor minimum wage
Judge John J. Tuchi of the U.S. District Court for the District of Arizona on January 6, 2023, rejected a challenge from a coalition of states and held that President Joe Biden (D) did not exceed his authority when he issued an executive order directing the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) to promulgate regulations increasing…
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2024 presidential candidate filings currently at third-highest level in forty years
Five hundred and thirty-one people have filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) to run for president in 2024 as of January 17. The list includes 77 Democratic candidates (14.5%), 145 Republican candidates (27.3%), and 309 nonpartisan or minor party candidates (58.2%). This figure excludes candidates whose filings have expired or who we identified as…
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PredictIt markets show Joe Biden and Ron DeSantis at even odds in the 2024 presidential election
As of January 17, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows incumbent Joe Biden (D) tied with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.31. At this time last week, Biden led DeSantis by $0.03. Former President Donald Trump’s (R) share price has risen over the last week, going from $0.16 to $0.20. No other candidate has…
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Federal Register weekly update: 2,500 pages added so far in 2023
The Federal Register is a daily journal of federal government activity that includes presidential documents, proposed and final rules, and public notices. It is a common measure of an administration’s regulatory activity, accounting for both regulatory and deregulatory actions. From January 9 through January 13, the Federal Register grew by 1,368 pages for a year-to-date…
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Tracker: Article III federal judicial nominations by president by days in office since 2001
Through Jan. 1, 2023, there were 890 authorized federal judicial posts and 85 vacancies. Eighty-three of those were for Article III judgeships. This report is limited to Article III courts, where appointees are confirmed to lifetime judgeships. In Dec. 2022, 10 judges were confirmed. In Dec. 2022, the president announced his intent to nominate six…
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Federal three-judge panel rules South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District unconstitutional
On January 6, 2023, a federal three-judge panel ruled that South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District was unconstitutional and enjoined the state from conducting future elections using its district boundaries. The panel’s opinion said, “The Court finds that race was the predominant factor motivating the General Assembly’s adoption of Congressional District No. 1… Plaintiffs’ right to…
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Biden currently leads PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market
As of January 9, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows incumbent Joe Biden (D) holding a lead at $0.34, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.31, and former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.16. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. Trump is the only candidate of this group to…
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Governors ask Biden administration to lift COVID-19 public health emergency
Utah Governor Spencer Cox (R) and 24 governors from other states, on December 19, 2022, signed a letter asking President Joe Biden (D) to end the COVID-19 federal public health emergency (PHE) in April 2023. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) declared the COVID-19 federal PHE on January 27, 2020. The PHE…
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U.S. weekly unemployment insurance claims fall to 204,000
New applications for U.S. unemployment insurance benefits fell 19,000 for the week ending December 31 to a seasonally adjusted 204,000. The previous week’s figure was revised down from 225,000 to 223,000. The four-week moving average as of December 31 fell to 213,750 from a revised 220,500 as of the week ending December 24. The number…