Tag: 2024 elections
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Trump maintains lead in 2024 Republican presidential primary polling and PredictIt market
As of June 13, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 53%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 22%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…
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35 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week
Thirty-five people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, 27 fewer than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Thirteen of those candidates were Democratic, while 16 were Republican. Six are minor-party candidates. Twenty-eight candidates are running for Congress, three for state legislatures, and four…
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Burgum, Christie, and Pence announce their presidential campaigns
Three new noteworthy candidates announced 2024 presidential campaigns in the past week. Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) officially announced his candidacy on June 6, while former Vice President Mike Pence (R) and North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum (R) officially announced their candidacies on June 7. There are now three noteworthy Democrats and 11…
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Trump maintains lead in 2024 Republican presidential primary polling and PredictIt market
As of May 30, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 53%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 22%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…
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Tim Scott, Ron DeSantis join Republican primary field
Two new noteworthy candidates announced 2024 presidential campaigns in the past week. Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) announced on May 22, 2023, and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) announced on May 24. There are now three noteworthy Democrats and eight noteworthy Republicans running for president. Below is a summary of each candidate’s campaign activity from May…
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Update on this year’s and next year’s ballot measure certifications
As of May 16, 2023, 13 statewide measures have been certified for the ballot in eight states for elections in 2023. That’s five more measures than the average number (8) certified at this point in other odd-numbered years from 2011 to 2021. For 2024, 34 statewide measures have been certified in 18 states. That’s five…
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Trump leads PredictIt’s 2024 Republican presidential primary market
As of May 8, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows President Joe Biden (D) leading at $0.49, followed by former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.32, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.16. Biden has held the lead in this market since Jan. 22, 2023. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share…
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37 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week
Thirty-seven people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, four more than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Twenty of those candidates were Democratic, while 14 were Republican. Three were minor-party candidates. Twenty-five candidates are running for Congress, eight for state legislatures, two for…
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Update on this year’s and next year’s ballot measure certifications
As of May 2, 2023, seven statewide measures have been certified for the ballot in four states for elections in 2023. That’s the same as the average number (7) certified at this point in other odd-numbered years from 2011 to 2021. For 2024, 32 statewide measures have been certified in 16 states. That’s six more…
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Trump maintains lead in PredictIt’s 2024 Republican presidential primary market
PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows President Joe Biden (D) leading at $0.50 as of May 1, 2023, followed by former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.29, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.15. Biden has held the lead in this market since Jan. 22, 2023. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share…