As of March 19, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market shows President Joe Biden (D) and former President Donald Trump (R) tied at $0.47. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which rises and falls based on market demand, roughly corresponds to the market’s estimate of the probability of an event taking place.
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The Democratic presidential primary market shows Biden leading at $0.86. No other candidate has a share price at or above $0.10.
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Trump leads the Republican presidential primary market at $0.93. No other candidate has a share price at or above $0.10.
![](https://news.ballotpedia.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/mTKjU-predictit-2024-republican-presidential-primary-open-share-prices-over-time-1-1024x694.png)
PredictIt is an online political futures market in which users purchase shares relating to the outcome of political events using real money. Each event, such as an election, has a number of contracts associated with it, each correlating to a different outcome. Services such as PredictIt can be used to gain insight into the outcome of elections.
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