The percentage of open seats in state executive and legislative elections is at a decade-high 22% compared to all odd-year election cycles since 2011. And it’s almost definitely going to get even higher. The 2023 rate is around one percentage point higher than the recent peak in 2019 (21%) and about six percentage points higher…
Seventy-two people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, 20 fewer than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Twenty-five of those candidates were Democratic, while 43 were Republican. Four are minor-party candidates. Fifty-seven candidates are running for Congress, five for state legislatures, four for…
As of July 4, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 52%, followed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) at 22%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In…
On Nov. 5, 2024, Oregon voters will decide on establishing a commission that would determine the salaries of certain public officials. The ballot measure, which passed the Oregon State Legislature on June 25, would amend the Oregon Constitution to establish the Independent Public Service Compensation Commission. The commission would decide the salaries of the governor,…
On Nov. 5, 2024, Nevada voters will decide on a ballot measure that would provide a sales tax exemption for both child and adult diapers. The measure, referred to the ballot by the Nevada State Legislature, would amend the Sales and Use Tax of 1955. The sales and use tax is on the total revenue…
Eighty-six people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, three more than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Forty of those candidates were Democratic, while 37 were Republican. Nine are minor-party candidates. Fifty-two candidates are running for Congress, 17 for state legislatures, and 17…
The 2024 November election is quickly approaching, and the presidential primary calendar is continuing to take shape. As of June 22, 2023, thirty states have confirmed the dates for their 2024 presidential preference primaries through the release of an official election calendar, candidate filing instructions, or an announcement from a state political party. A presidential…
As of May 31, 2023, the most recent party committee campaign finance filing deadline, the three committees associated with the Democratic Party have raised a cumulative $127 million for the 2024 election cycle, while the three committees associated with the Republican Party have raised $107 million. The three Democratic committees are the Democratic National Committee…
In Arizona, the state Legislature approved a constitutional amendment related to signature requirements for citizen-initiated measures on June 12, 2023. Voters will decide on the amendment at the election on Nov. 5, 2024. The measure would require a percentage of signatures from each legislative district to qualify a citizen initiative for the ballot. Currently, the…
In Arizona, the state Legislature approved a constitutional amendment related to the governor’s emergency powers on June 12, 2023. Voters will decide on the amendment at the election on Nov. 5, 2024. As of June 12, there were four statewide ballot measures certified in Arizona for 2024. These four measures are legislative referrals. One would…