TagU.S. House

Yvette Herrell defeats incumbent Xochitl Torres Small in New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District

Yvette Herrell (R) defeated incumbent Xochitl Torres Small (D) and Steve Jones (I) in New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District.

The race was one of 56 U.S. House rematches ongoing this year; Herrell and Small ran for the then-open seat in 2018, as incumbent Steve Pearce (R) sought the governorship. That year, Torres Small defeated Herrell 51% to 49% to flip the seat.

This was also one of 30 U.S. House seats Democrats were defending this year that President Trump (R) carried in 2016. That year, he defeated Hillary Clinton (D) 50% to 40% in the 2nd District.

This is one of three districts so far where the New York Times, CNN, ABC, NBC, and FOX News have each called as a Democratic to Republican flip. The other two districts (Minnesota’s 7th and Oklahoma’s 5th) also went to President Trump by margins of 10 percentage points or greater in 2016. The five outlets have called two districts as Republican to Democratic flips, both North Carolina districts that were redrawn last year.



Hinson defeats Finkenauer in Iowa’s 1st Congressional District

Ashley Hinson (R) defeated incumbent Abby Finkenauer (D) in the general election for Iowa’s 1st Congressional District. Finkenauer was first elected in 2018, defeating then-incumbent Rep. Rod Blum (R) 51% to 46%. 

Heading into the election, Hinson had served in the Iowa House of Representatives since 2016. She was endorsed by President Donald Trump (R) and Governor Kim Reynolds (R).

The 1st District was one of 31 U.S. House districts that Trump won in the 2016 presidential election and a Democratic candidate won in the 2018 midterm elections. During the presidential election, Trump defeated Hillary Clinton (D) 49% to 45% in the 1st District.

This is one of four districts so far where the New York Times, CNN, ABC, NBC, and FOX News have each called as a Democratic to Republican flip. The other three districts (Minnesota’s 7th, Oklahoma’s 5th, and New Mexico’s 2nd) also went to President Trump in 2016. The five outlets have called two districts as Republican to Democratic flips, both North Carolina districts that were redrawn last year.



Rep. Tom Graves leaves Congress October 4

Georgia Rep. Tom Graves (R) resigned from Congress effective Sunday, Oct. 4. He announced his resignation on Sept. 11. Graves had previously announced on Dec. 5, 2019, that he would not seek re-election in 2020.

Graves issued the following statement via Twitter on Oct. 2: “Today I sent letters to Gov. Kemp & House officials to say I would be stepping down from Congress on Sunday, 10/4. It is time to begin the next season in life. I will be forever grateful for the incredible privilege of serving my country & community as a member of Congress.” Graves was first elected in 2010 in a special election.

Graves is one of 12 members of Congress to leave office early or announce resignation. Of these 12, nine are Republicans and three are Democrats. There are currently 232 Democrats, 197 Republicans, one Libertarian, and five vacancies in the U.S. House.

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Presidents lose an average of 81 same-party members of the U.S. House during their first term

On average, presidents from Lyndon Johnson (D) through Donald Trump (R) took office with 241 members of the same political party serving in the U.S. House. An average of 81 same-party members did not run for re-election at the time of the next presidential election, creating an average U.S. House member attrition rate of 33.4 percent.

This House attrition rate is calculated by examining whether a member of the House from a president’s political party in office when the president was sworn-in runs for the same seat in the following presidential election year.

Among presidents since Johnson, President Trump had the highest rate of House attrition at 46.9 percent. President George W. Bush (R) had the lowest rate of House attrition at 23.4 percent.

To read more and see full attrition lists by president, click the “Learn More” button below.



Michelle Fischbach wins nomination to challenge Collin Peterson in MN-07

Michelle Fischbach defeated four other candidates to win the Republican nomination in Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District. As of 9:45 p.m. Central Time, Fischbach had received 59% of the vote, followed by Dave Hughes with 22% and Noel Collis with 15%. Two other candidates each received under 3% of the vote.

Fischbach, who served as state senate president for two terms before resigning in 2018 to succeed Tina Smith (D) as lieutenant governor, was endorsed by President Donald Trump (R), U.S. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.), and the 7th District GOP. Hughes, who was the Republican nominee in 2016 and 2018, was backed by Americans for Legal Immigration PAC.

Fischbach will face incumbent Collin Peterson (D), who has represented the district since 1990. The 7th District is one of 30 districts currently represented by a Democrat which President Trump carried in 2016 and is the district where Trump had his widest margin of victory. Trump’s margin over Hillary Clinton (D)—30.8 percentage points—was nearly double the 15.5-point margin he received in New York’s 22nd District, his next-best performance. Two election forecasters say the general election is a toss-up and a third says it tilts in Peterson’s direction.



Ilhan Omar wins MN-05 Democratic primary

Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar defeated four candidates in the Democratic primary for Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District. As of 9:25 p.m. Central Time, she had received 57% of the vote. Antone Melton-Meaux was second with 39%.

This was the first time in more than 85 years that an incumbent U.S. representative from Minnesota had more than three primary challengers.

Omar is among four congresswomen often referred to as the squad, along with Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), Ayanna Pressley (D-Mass.), and Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.). She said her accomplishments in the House include passing more amendments than any other member of the Minnesota delegation, working to extend the Deferred Enforced Departure status for Liberians in the state, and introducing the Student Debt Cancellation Act.

Melton-Meaux, a lawyer and mediator, criticized Omar by saying she was more focused on arguments with the president and celebrity status than on the needs of the district. He said he would find common ground with others to achieve progressive goals.

As of July 22, Omar had raised $4.3 million to Melton-Meaux’s $4.2 million.

Omar won the 2018 general election by a margin of 56 percentage points. All 435 seats in the U.S. House will be up for election on November 3, 2020. As of August 2020, Democrats have a 232-198 advantage over Republicans. There is one Libertarian member, and there were four vacancies.



Scott Fitzgerald wins Republican nomination in Wisconsin’s 5th Congressional District

Wisconsin state Senate Majority Leader Scott Fitzgerald (R) defeated Clifford DeTemple to win the Republican nomination in Wisconsin’s 5th Congressional District. As of 9:00 p.m. Central Time, Fitzgerald had received 78% of the vote to DeTemple’s 22%.

Incumbent Jim Sensenbrenner (R), who was first elected to the House in 1978 and is the second-most senior member of the U.S. House, did not run for re-election. He and former Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) endorsed Fitzgerald.

Fitzgerald said he was an early supporter of President Donald Trump’s and would be an effective ally to the president in Congress. DeTemple, a Coast Guard veteran and small business owner, said he would bring a new perspective to Washington.

Election forecasters say the Fifth District, which is located to the west and northwest of Milwaukee, is a safe Republican district.

All 435 seats in the U.S. House will be up for election on November 3, 2020. As of August 2020, Democrats have a 232-198 advantage over Republicans. There is one Libertarian member and four vacancies.



Andrew Clyde wins Georgia’s 9th Congressional District Republican primary runoff

Andrew Clyde defeated Matt Gurtler in the Republican primary runoff for Georgia’s 9th Congressional District on August 11, 2020. With 62% of precincts reporting, Clyde had received 56% of the vote to Gurtler’s 44%.

Clyde and Gurtler advanced from a nine-candidate field in the June 9 Republican primary. Gurtler finished first in that race with 21.3% of the vote. Clyde followed with 18.5%. Three other candidates received more than 10% of the vote.

Incumbent Rep. Doug Collins (R) is running in a special election to the U.S. Senate to represent Georgia, rather than running for re-election to the House. Collins won re-election in 2018 by a margin of 59 percentage points, and the district is rated Safe Republican.

Clyde is a gun store owner and has previously worked to get legislation passed by Congress to limit the IRS’s ability to seize assets. Gurtler has been a member of the Georgia House of Representatives since 2017.

All 435 seats in the U.S. House will be up for election on November 3, 2020. As of August 2020, Democrats have a 232-198 advantage over Republicans. There is one Libertarian member, and four vacancies.



Marjorie Taylor Greene wins Georgia’s 14th Congressional District Republican primary runoff

Marjorie Taylor Greene defeated John Cowan in the Republican primary runoff for Georgia’s 14th Congressional District. At 8:28 p.m. EST, the race was called by Decision Desk HQ with 42% of precincts reporting. Greene received 59.4% of the vote and Cowan followed with 40.6%. Incumbent Tom Graves (R), in office since 2010, did not run for re-election.

In the June 9 primary, Greene received 40% of the vote to Cowan’s 21%. Nine candidates ran. A candidate needed more than 50% of the vote to win the primary outright.

The race received national attention after Politico reported on comments Greene made about Muslims and Black people. Other reports discussed comments she made about QAnon.

Greene defended her comments, saying, “Every Republican, every Christian Conservative is going to be called a racist and a bigot by the Fake News Media, as have Steve Scalise and Liz Cheney. I’m sorry my future colleagues are unable to stand up to the pressure and fight back.” She criticized Cowan by saying he never donated to President Donald Trump but donated to Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie’s 2016 presidential campaign.

Cowan told Greene at a debate, “I’ll be the best ally that Donald Trump has by getting elected and keeping you out of office, because the Democrats will use you as their chief fundraiser for all the crazy and ludicrous things that you say.” He also criticized Greene for switching from running in the 6th District primary to the 14th District primary after Graves announced he wasn’t seeking re-election.

Graves won re-election in 2018 by a margin of 53 percentage points.

All 435 seats in the U.S. House will be up for election on November 3, 2020. As of August 2020, Democrats had a 232-198 advantage over Republicans. There was one Libertarian member, and there were four vacancies.



Diana Harshbarger wins 16-candidate TN-01 Republican primary

Diana Harshbarger defeated 15 other candidates in Tennessee’s 1st Congressional District’s Republican Party primary on August 6, 2020. Incumbent Rep. Phil Roe (R), first elected in 2008, is not running for re-election.

Harshbarger received 19.2% of the vote, followed by Timothy Hill with 16.8%, Rusty Crowe with 16.1%, Josh Gapp with 14.2%, and Steve Darden with 12.4%.

 

Harshbarger will face Blair Walsingham (D) and Steve Holder (I) in the general election. Three race-tracking outlets rate the general election as Safe/Solid Republican. In the 2016 presidential election in the district, Donald Trump (R) received 77% of the vote to Hillary Clinton’s (D) 20%.

 

Elections to the U.S. House will be held on November 3 and coincide with the 2020 presidential election. All 435 House districts will be up for election, and the results will determine the partisan balance of the U.S. House in the 117th Congress. As of July 2020, Democrats had a 232-198 advantage over Republicans. There was one Libertarian member, and there were four vacancies.