Author: Ellen Morrissey
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Trump maintains lead in 2024 Republican presidential primary polling and PredictIt market
As of May 30, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 53%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 22%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…
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Tim Scott, Ron DeSantis join Republican primary field
Two new noteworthy candidates announced 2024 presidential campaigns in the past week. Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) announced on May 22, 2023, and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) announced on May 24. There are now three noteworthy Democrats and eight noteworthy Republicans running for president. Below is a summary of each candidate’s campaign activity from May…
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Biden vetoes congressional resolution that sought to nullify D.C. policing law
On May 25, 2023, President Joe Biden (D) vetoed H.J.Res.42 – Disapproving the action of the District of Columbia Council in approving the Comprehensive Policing and Justice Reform Amendment Act of 2022. This was the fourth veto of his presidency. H.J.Res.42 was a joint resolution of disapproval under the terms of the District of Columbia Self-Government…
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DeSantis signs bill removing resign-to-run requirement for presidential candidates in Florida
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) signed SB 7050 into law on May 24, 2023. SB 7050 is an elections bill that includes a provision removing Florida’s resign-to-run requirement for presidential and vice presidential candidates. DeSantis also filed to run in the 2024 presidential election that day. Under the new law, president and vice president are the only…
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Trump leads 2024 Republican presidential primary polling and PredictIt market
As of May 23, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 56%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 19%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…
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Democratic Party committees lead Republican Party committees in fundraising for the 2024 election cycle
The three committees associated with the Democratic Party have raised a cumulative $106 million for the 2024 election cycle, while the three committees associated with the Republican Party have raised $84 million. Those figures are as of April 30, 2023, the most recent party committee campaign finance filing deadline. The three Democratic committees are the…
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Biden issues third veto of his presidency to maintain suspension of solar panel import tariffs
President Joe Biden (D) vetoed the third bill of his presidency on May 16, 2023. Biden vetoed H.J.Res.39, a joint resolution of disapproval under the terms of the Congressional Review Act (CRA) that sought to void a Department of Commerce rule suspending some tariffs on solar panel imports. In his veto message, Biden said, “I…
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Donna Deegan (D) wins runoff election for mayor of Jacksonville, Florida
Donna Deegan (D) defeated Daniel Davis (R) 52% to 48% in the May 16 runoff election for mayor of Jacksonville, Florida. Deegan will be the second Democrat to hold the office since 1993. Incumbent Mayor Lenny Curry (R) was term-limited. Curry was first elected in 2015, making Jacksonville the most populous American city with a…
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Biden leads PredictIt’s 2024 presidential election market
As of May 15, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows President Joe Biden (D) leading at $0.42, followed by former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.34, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.19. Biden has held the lead in this market since Jan. 22, 2023. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share…
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Trump leads PredictIt’s 2024 Republican presidential primary market
As of May 8, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows President Joe Biden (D) leading at $0.49, followed by former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.32, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.16. Biden has held the lead in this market since Jan. 22, 2023. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share…