Category: 2024 elections
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Democratic party committees cumulatively outraise Republican counterparts for fourteenth consecutive month
As of Feb. 29, 2024, the end of the most recent party committee campaign finance filing period, the three committees associated with the Democratic Party have raised a cumulative $393 million and spent $331 million for the 2024 election cycle, while the three committees associated with the Republican Party have raised $320 million and spent…
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Joe Biden, Donald Trump tied in PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market
As of March 19, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market shows President Joe Biden (D) and former President Donald Trump (R) tied at $0.47. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which rises and falls based on market demand, roughly corresponds to the market’s estimate of the probability…
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Eight candidates are running in the Republican primary for Indiana’s 3rd Congressional District
Eight candidates are running in the Republican primary for Indiana’s 3rd Congressional Districton May 7, 2024. Four lead in fundraising and endorsements: Wendy W. Davis (R), Tim Smith (R), Marlin A. Stutzman (R), and Andy Zay (R). This is the first open race in the district since 2016. Incumbent Jim Banks (R) is running for…
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104 candidates filed for congressional and statewide offices last week
One-hundred-four people declared candidacies for congressional or statewide offices in the past week, nine fewer than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Forty-two of those candidates were Democratic, while 57 were Republican. Five declared candidacies for minor or third parties. Thirty-five candidates are running for Congress and 69…
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Voters in North Dakota to decide on congressional age limit ballot initiative on June 11
A citizen-initiated ballot measure to establish an age limit for congressional members is on the ballot in North Dakota’s primary election on June 11, 2024. The campaign, Retire Congress North Dakota, submitted 42,107 signatures for the initiative on Feb. 9. At least 31,164 signatures needed to be valid to qualify for the ballot. On March…
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2.6% of state legislative incumbents who filed for re-election have lost in primaries
So far this year, 12 state legislative incumbents — one Democrat and 11 Republicans — have lost to primary challengers. Across the four states that have held primaries, 2.6% of incumbents running for re-election have lost, which is less than at this point in 2022 (3.6%). These totals include data from elections in both legislative…
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Donald Trump leads PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market
As of March 12, 2024, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market shows former President Donald Trump (R) leading at $0.47 followed by President Joe Biden (D) at $0.45. Trump has held the lead in this market since Feb. 9. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which rises and…
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Florida legislature sends constitutional amendment to repeal public campaign financing to Nov. 2024 ballot
The Florida State Legislature referred a constitutional amendment to the Nov. ballot that would repeal Section 7 of Article VI of the Florida Constitution, which provides for public campaign financing for candidates who agree to spending limits. The amendment was sponsored by state Sen. Travis Hutson (R-7). Florida enacted a public campaign financing law in…
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Ten candidates are running in West Virginia’s U.S. House primaries—the fewest this decade
This year’s filing deadline for candidates running for Congress in West Virginia was Jan. 27, 2024. Ten candidates are running for West Virginia’s two U.S. House districts, including three Democrats and seven Republicans. That’s five candidates per district, lower than the 6.5 candidates who ran in 2022 but higher than the 4.7 candidates who ran…
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Adam Schiff and Steve Garvey advance from 31-candidate top-two primary for U.S. Senate in California
Adam Schiff (D) and Steve Garvey (R) advanced from the 31-candidate March 5 top-two primary for U.S. Senate in California. As of March 6, Schiff received 33.2% of the vote and Garvey received 32.5%. Incumbent Laphonza Butler (D) announced she would not run for re-election on October 19, 2023. Governor Gavin Newsom (D) appointed Butler…