Tag: 2024 elections
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Number of U.S. Senators not running for re-election tied with 2022; number of House members not running below 2022 and 2018, tied with 2020
As of Aug. 15, 18 members of Congress—five Senators and 13 Representatives—have announced they will not seek re-election in 2024. This includes 13 Democrats—four in the Senate and nine in the House—as well as five Republicans—U.S. Sen. Mike Braun (R-Ind.) and four House members. The same number of U.S. Senators (5) had announced they were…
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Eight candidates have qualified for the first Republican presidential primary debate
The first Republican presidential primary debate is next week, with candidates scheduled to appear in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on August 23, 2023. As of August 16, eight candidates had met the polling and fundraising thresholds necessary to qualify for the debate stage. Those candidates were: North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie…
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93 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week
Ninety-three (93) people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, 53 fewer than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Twenty-three of those candidates were Democratic, while 62 were Republican. Eight are minor-party candidates. Fifty candidates are running for Congress, 27 for state legislatures, two…
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One new candidate declares in Texas
Ballotpedia tracked one new state-level candidate in Texas between July 31 and Aug. 6. This was eight fewer candidates than the prior week. The candidate is a Democrat and is running for state legislature in 2024. Details on the candidate are below: Incumbent Juan Hinojosa (D) is running for Texas State Senate District 20. Hinojosa…
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146 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week
One hundred forty-six (146) people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, 24 fewer than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Seventy (70) of those candidates were Democratic, while 69 were Republican. Seven are minor-party candidates. One hundred twenty-two (122) candidates are running for…
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Update on this year’s and next year’s ballot measure certifications
As of July 25, 2023, 40 statewide measures have been certified for the ballot in eight states, 15 more measures more than the average number certified at this point in other even-numbered years from 2010 to 2020. For 2024, 45 statewide measures have been certified in 21 states. That’s equal to the average number certified…
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Democratic party committees lead Republican counterparts in cumulative fundraising
As of June 30, 2023, the end of the most recent party committee campaign finance filing period, the three committees associated with the Democratic Party raised a cumulative $156 million for the 2024 election cycle, while the three committees associated with the Republican Party have raised $134 million. The three Democratic committees are the Democratic…
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Trump holds the lead in Republican presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt market
As of July 18, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) held the lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average stood at 54%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 20%. No other candidate had more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s…
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Odd-year open seat rate currently at a decade-high with further increases likely
The percentage of open seats in state executive and legislative elections is at a decade-high 22% compared to all odd-year election cycles since 2011. And it’s almost definitely going to get even higher. The 2023 rate is around one percentage point higher than the recent peak in 2019 (21%) and about six percentage points higher…
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72 candidates filed for federal and statewide offices last week
Seventy-two people declared candidacies for federal or statewide offices in the past week, 20 fewer than last week. All of these candidates declared before their state’s official filing deadline. Twenty-five of those candidates were Democratic, while 43 were Republican. Four are minor-party candidates. Fifty-seven candidates are running for Congress, five for state legislatures, four for…