The percentage of open seats in state executive and legislative elections is at a decade-high 22% compared to all odd-year election cycles since 2011. And it’s almost definitely going to get even higher. The 2023 rate is around one percentage point higher than the recent peak in 2019 (21%) and about six percentage points higher…
There are 44 contested state legislative primaries coming up on Aug. 8 in the Mississippi House, a decade-low for the chamber, down one from the previous low in 2019. While the total number of contested primaries is down, the number of contested Republican primaries is at a decade-high. This year, 30 state legislative races have…
Since 2010, Ballotpedia has covered state legislative elections to 44,639 seats across all 50 states over 13 election cycles. During that time, 8,404 of those seats have been open, those where no incumbents ran for re-election. That represents 18.8% of all seats up for election between 2010 and 2022. The key determinant of the magnitude…
New Jersey held state legislative primaries on June 6, the first in the 2023 election cycle. One Democratic incumbent—Nia Gill—lost, representing 1.1% of the 93 incumbents running for re-election. Overall, 17 incumbents ran in contested primaries, meaning 82% were guaranteed to advance to the general election. It is uncommon for state legislative incumbents to lose…