Author: Ellen Morrissey

  • Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

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    Image of the south facade of the White House.

    As of Oct. 31, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 59%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 13%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…

  • Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

    Posted on

    Image of the south facade of the White House.

    As of Oct. 24, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 59%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 13%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…

  • Democratic party committees end September with almost twice as much in cash on hand than Republican party committees

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    As of Sept. 30, 2023, the end of the most recent party committee campaign finance filing period, the three committees associated with the Democratic Party have raised a cumulative $229 million and spent $205 million for the 2024 election cycle, while the three committees associated with the Republican Party have raised $194 million and spent…

  • Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

    Posted on

    Image of donkey and elephant to symbolize the Democratic and Republican parties.

    As of Oct. 17, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 58%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 13%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…

  • Donald Trump (R) and Joe Biden (D) lead respective presidential primaries in fundraising

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    Image of the south facade of the White House.

    Former President Donald Trump (R) leads the field of Republican presidential primary candidates in fundraising with $57 million in cumulative receipts through Sept. 30, 2023. He is followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) with $31 million, entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy (R) with $27 million, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley (R) with $19 million, and North…

  • Nikki Haley has the second-highest share price in PredictIt’s 2024 Republican presidential primary market

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    As of October 11, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 58%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 13%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…

  • Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

    Posted on

    Image of the south facade of the White House.

    As of Oct. 3, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 57%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 14%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican…

  • Biden ends September with a 41% approval rating

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    At the end of September, polling averages showed President Joe Biden (D) at 41% approval. Fifty-five percent of voters disapproved of his performance. This was the same approval rating he received at the end of August. Throughout September, Biden’s approval rating ranged from 41% to 42%. The lowest approval rating he’s received during his presidency…

  • Biden issues executive orders on executive committees and East Palestine, Ohio, in September

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    President Joe Biden (D) issued two executive orders in September, bringing his total number to 123. The two orders he issued in September were: Biden issued 25 executive orders in January 2021, more than any other month of his presidency. He did not issue any executive orders in November 2022 and January 2023. Biden is…

  • Donald Trump’s share price in PredictIt’s 2024 Republican presidential primary market highest since at least September 2022

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    As of Sept. 26, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market. Trump’s polling average currently stands at 57%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 15%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In…