Author: Ellen Morrissey

  • President Joe Biden ends January with a 43% approval rating, same as last month

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    At the end of January, approval polling averages showed President Joe Biden (D) at 43% approval. Fifty-two percent of voters disapproved of his performance.  He held a 44% approval rating at the start of 2022. Throughout January, Biden’s approval rating has remained at either 43% or 44%. The lowest approval rating he’s received is 38%,…

  • DeSantis leads PredictIt’s 2024 general presidential election market

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    As of January 23, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) leading at $0.31, followed by President Joe Biden (D) at $0.29, former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.21, and California Governor Gavin Newsom (D) at $0.12. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price. The share price, which…

  • 2024 presidential candidate filings currently at third-highest level in forty years

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    Photo of the White House in Washington, D.C.

    Five hundred and thirty-one people have filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) to run for president in 2024 as of January 17. The list includes 77 Democratic candidates (14.5%), 145 Republican candidates (27.3%), and 309 nonpartisan or minor party candidates (58.2%). This figure excludes candidates whose filings have expired or who we identified as…

  • PredictIt markets show Joe Biden and Ron DeSantis at even odds in the 2024 presidential election

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    Photo of the White House in Washington, D.C.

    As of January 17, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows incumbent Joe Biden (D) tied with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.31. At this time last week, Biden led DeSantis by $0.03. Former President Donald Trump’s (R) share price has risen over the last week, going from $0.16 to $0.20. No other candidate has…

  • 2022 elections see second-highest nationwide midterm voter turnout since 2002

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    Image of several stickers with the words "I voted"

    The 2022 elections saw the second-highest midterm voter turnout since 2002, according to data compiled by the United States Election Project. The turnout rate in 2022 was 46.8%. Since 2002, the highest midterm turnout rate was in 2018, at 50.3%, and the lowest was in 2014, at 36.7%. At the state level, Oregon had the…

  • Biden currently leads PredictIt’s 2024 presidential general election market

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    As of January 9, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows incumbent Joe Biden (D) holding a lead at $0.34, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.31, and former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.16. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price.  Trump is the only candidate of this group to…

  • President Joe Biden (D) holds narrow lead in PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market

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    As of January 3, 2023, PredictIt’s 2024 presidential market shows incumbent Joe Biden (D) holding a narrow lead at $0.33, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0.32, and former President Donald Trump (R) at $0.16. No other candidate has more than a $0.10 share price.  Trump is the only candidate of this group…

  • President Joe Biden (D) issued 29 executive orders in 2022

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    Photo of the White House in Washington, D.C.

    President Joe Biden (D) issued 29 executive orders in 2022, the fewest by a president in their second year in office since Bill Clinton (D) issued one executive order in 1994. President Donald Trump (R) issued 37 executive orders in his second year in office in 2018, the most since Clinton. Biden has issued 106…

  • President Joe Biden ends 2022 with a 43% approval rating, the second-highest rating he received in 2022

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    At the end of 2022, polling averages showed 43% of voters approved of President Joe Biden’s (D) performance. Fifty-three percent of voters disapproved of his performance.  Biden’s highest approval rating in 2022 was 44%, last seen on November 2, and the lowest was 38%, last seen on July 27. This is also the lowest approval…

  • Here’s how the timeline of presidential campaign announcements played out in 2020 and 2016

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    Former President Donald Trump (R) declared his candidacy for president in the 2024 election in November. Incumbent President Joe Biden (D) has said he plans to make his intentions about running for re-election public after the holidays. As 2023 begins, here’s a look at when presidential candidates declared their candidacies in 2020 and 2016. In…